The Frequency‐Domain Characterization of Cosmic Ray Intensity Variations Before Forbush Decreases Associated With Geomagnetic Storms

Abstract Nonrecurrent geomagnetic storms caused by Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) can induce serious impacts on space‐ and ground‐based equipment. However, these nonrecurrent geomagnetic storms are hard to predict since CMEs are not periodic. Previous studies have shown that the variations of Cosmic Ra...

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Main Authors: Qian Ye, Cong Wang, Fei He, Bingsen Xue, Xiaoxin Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-03-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002863
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author Qian Ye
Cong Wang
Fei He
Bingsen Xue
Xiaoxin Zhang
author_facet Qian Ye
Cong Wang
Fei He
Bingsen Xue
Xiaoxin Zhang
author_sort Qian Ye
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Nonrecurrent geomagnetic storms caused by Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) can induce serious impacts on space‐ and ground‐based equipment. However, these nonrecurrent geomagnetic storms are hard to predict since CMEs are not periodic. Previous studies have shown that the variations of Cosmic Ray Intensity (CRI) before nonrecurrent storms may forebode the coming geomagnetic storm. But it is difficult to extract the variations since the cosmic ray flux is a complex signal. In order to identify the precursory signal in CRI variations triggered by CME, an ensemble self‐adaptive time‐frequency analysis method was proposed and applied to 65 nonrecurrent geomagnetic storms occurred between 1998 and 2019. The results indicate that the precursory signals are successfully identified in 43 of 45 storms, after excluding 20 storms accompanied by ground level enhancement. In addition, it is also found that the spectral density of the precursory signal could reflect the active level of geomagnetic condition, which is lower during geomagnetic quiet period.
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series Space Weather
spelling doaj-art-eef714990a7642fd99d5b785686bc4f02025-01-14T16:30:57ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902022-03-01203n/an/a10.1029/2021SW002863The Frequency‐Domain Characterization of Cosmic Ray Intensity Variations Before Forbush Decreases Associated With Geomagnetic StormsQian Ye0Cong Wang1Fei He2Bingsen Xue3Xiaoxin Zhang4National Satellite Meteorological Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing ChinaNational Satellite Meteorological Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Earth and Planetary Physics Institute of Geology and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaNational Satellite Meteorological Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing ChinaNational Satellite Meteorological Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing ChinaAbstract Nonrecurrent geomagnetic storms caused by Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) can induce serious impacts on space‐ and ground‐based equipment. However, these nonrecurrent geomagnetic storms are hard to predict since CMEs are not periodic. Previous studies have shown that the variations of Cosmic Ray Intensity (CRI) before nonrecurrent storms may forebode the coming geomagnetic storm. But it is difficult to extract the variations since the cosmic ray flux is a complex signal. In order to identify the precursory signal in CRI variations triggered by CME, an ensemble self‐adaptive time‐frequency analysis method was proposed and applied to 65 nonrecurrent geomagnetic storms occurred between 1998 and 2019. The results indicate that the precursory signals are successfully identified in 43 of 45 storms, after excluding 20 storms accompanied by ground level enhancement. In addition, it is also found that the spectral density of the precursory signal could reflect the active level of geomagnetic condition, which is lower during geomagnetic quiet period.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002863non‐recurrent stormcontinuous wavelet transformCosmic Ray IntensityEmpirical Mode Decompositionprecursor
spellingShingle Qian Ye
Cong Wang
Fei He
Bingsen Xue
Xiaoxin Zhang
The Frequency‐Domain Characterization of Cosmic Ray Intensity Variations Before Forbush Decreases Associated With Geomagnetic Storms
Space Weather
non‐recurrent storm
continuous wavelet transform
Cosmic Ray Intensity
Empirical Mode Decomposition
precursor
title The Frequency‐Domain Characterization of Cosmic Ray Intensity Variations Before Forbush Decreases Associated With Geomagnetic Storms
title_full The Frequency‐Domain Characterization of Cosmic Ray Intensity Variations Before Forbush Decreases Associated With Geomagnetic Storms
title_fullStr The Frequency‐Domain Characterization of Cosmic Ray Intensity Variations Before Forbush Decreases Associated With Geomagnetic Storms
title_full_unstemmed The Frequency‐Domain Characterization of Cosmic Ray Intensity Variations Before Forbush Decreases Associated With Geomagnetic Storms
title_short The Frequency‐Domain Characterization of Cosmic Ray Intensity Variations Before Forbush Decreases Associated With Geomagnetic Storms
title_sort frequency domain characterization of cosmic ray intensity variations before forbush decreases associated with geomagnetic storms
topic non‐recurrent storm
continuous wavelet transform
Cosmic Ray Intensity
Empirical Mode Decomposition
precursor
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002863
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