Global burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990~2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study

BackgroundThis study aimed to quantify the global impact of pneumoconiosis resulting from occupational exposure to particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990 to 2021, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.MethodThe analysis evaluated the global, regional, and national burd...

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Main Authors: Mao Qingsong, Ruijie Xiao, Wenqi Yang, Xinyi Wang, Yu-zhe Kong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Public Health
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2024.1494942/full
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author Mao Qingsong
Ruijie Xiao
Wenqi Yang
Xinyi Wang
Yu-zhe Kong
author_facet Mao Qingsong
Ruijie Xiao
Wenqi Yang
Xinyi Wang
Yu-zhe Kong
author_sort Mao Qingsong
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundThis study aimed to quantify the global impact of pneumoconiosis resulting from occupational exposure to particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990 to 2021, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.MethodThe analysis evaluated the global, regional, and national burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to workplace exposure to particulate matter, gasses, and fumes. It explored variations in disease impact across different demographics, including age and gender, and analyzed the relationship between disease burden and the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). Furthermore, an ARIMA model was employed to forecast future trends of pneumoconiosis up to 2050.ResultThe year 2021 saw pneumoconiosis from occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes account for roughly 4,775 deaths and 117.80 thousand disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Over the past three decades, there was a notable decline in the disease’s burden. The condition predominantly affected males and those aged above 60. Future projections suggest a decrease in mortality rates in low to middle SDI regions, while high SDI regions may experience an increase in ASMR. Additionally, both ASMR and ASDR are anticipated to rise globally. Nationally, the Czech Republic, France, and the United States are expected to show relatively higher mortality rates in 2030 and 2050. Countries like Kazakhstan, Egypt, Mongolia, and Peru are projected to experience elevated levels of ASMR, DALY rates, and ASDR.ConclusionThe findings underscore the urgent need for policymakers to create and improve targeted preventive strategies to reduce the incidence of pneumoconiosis among specific populations.
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spelling doaj-art-ee60320b2ef4415785e0f2773740f17f2025-01-08T06:12:14ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Public Health2296-25652025-01-011210.3389/fpubh.2024.14949421494942Global burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990~2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based studyMao Qingsong0Ruijie Xiao1Wenqi Yang2Xinyi Wang3Yu-zhe Kong4Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Banan Hospital Affiliated of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, ChinaXiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, ChinaXiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, ChinaXiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, ChinaXiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, ChinaBackgroundThis study aimed to quantify the global impact of pneumoconiosis resulting from occupational exposure to particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990 to 2021, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.MethodThe analysis evaluated the global, regional, and national burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to workplace exposure to particulate matter, gasses, and fumes. It explored variations in disease impact across different demographics, including age and gender, and analyzed the relationship between disease burden and the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). Furthermore, an ARIMA model was employed to forecast future trends of pneumoconiosis up to 2050.ResultThe year 2021 saw pneumoconiosis from occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes account for roughly 4,775 deaths and 117.80 thousand disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Over the past three decades, there was a notable decline in the disease’s burden. The condition predominantly affected males and those aged above 60. Future projections suggest a decrease in mortality rates in low to middle SDI regions, while high SDI regions may experience an increase in ASMR. Additionally, both ASMR and ASDR are anticipated to rise globally. Nationally, the Czech Republic, France, and the United States are expected to show relatively higher mortality rates in 2030 and 2050. Countries like Kazakhstan, Egypt, Mongolia, and Peru are projected to experience elevated levels of ASMR, DALY rates, and ASDR.ConclusionThe findings underscore the urgent need for policymakers to create and improve targeted preventive strategies to reduce the incidence of pneumoconiosis among specific populations.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2024.1494942/fullpneumoconiosisoccupational riskmortality forecastingepidemiologydisease burden
spellingShingle Mao Qingsong
Ruijie Xiao
Wenqi Yang
Xinyi Wang
Yu-zhe Kong
Global burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990~2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study
Frontiers in Public Health
pneumoconiosis
occupational risk
mortality forecasting
epidemiology
disease burden
title Global burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990~2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study
title_full Global burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990~2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study
title_fullStr Global burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990~2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study
title_full_unstemmed Global burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990~2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study
title_short Global burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to occupational particulate matter, gasses, and fumes from 1990~2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study
title_sort global burden of pneumoconiosis attributable to occupational particulate matter gasses and fumes from 1990 2021 and forecasting the future trends a population based study
topic pneumoconiosis
occupational risk
mortality forecasting
epidemiology
disease burden
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2024.1494942/full
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