From Many to One: Consensus Inference in a MIP

Abstract A Model Intercomparison Project (MIP) consists of teams who estimate the same underlying quantity (e.g., temperature projections to the year 2070). A simple average of the ensemble of the teams' outputs gives a consensus estimate, but it does not recognize that some outputs are more va...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Noel Cressie, Michael Bertolacci, Andrew Zammit‐Mangion
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-07-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL098277
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