Current trends in surface air temperature changes in the Barents and Kara Seas region

The aim of the study is to assess observed trends in the surface air temperature (SAT) in the Barents and Kara Seas under conditions of current global warming. Regular meteorological observations from 31 Russian and Norwegian meteorological stations (MS) were used. Time trends in SAT series for cale...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: T.K. Karandasheva, B.V. Ivanov, V.I. Demin, A.D. Revina, I.A. Ilyushchenkova, A.R. Antsiferova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: LLC Center for Information and Legal Support for the Development of the Arctic 2024-10-01
Series:Российская Арктика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://en.russian-arctic.info/info/articles/meteorology/current-trends-in-surface-air-temperature-changes-in-the-barents-and-kara-seas-region/
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1841553416398045184
author T.K. Karandasheva
B.V. Ivanov
V.I. Demin
A.D. Revina
I.A. Ilyushchenkova
A.R. Antsiferova
author_facet T.K. Karandasheva
B.V. Ivanov
V.I. Demin
A.D. Revina
I.A. Ilyushchenkova
A.R. Antsiferova
author_sort T.K. Karandasheva
collection DOAJ
description The aim of the study is to assess observed trends in the surface air temperature (SAT) in the Barents and Kara Seas under conditions of current global warming. Regular meteorological observations from 31 Russian and Norwegian meteorological stations (MS) were used. Time trends in SAT series for calendar months and the year as a whole were assessed for all MS. Parameters of linear regression equations were calculated, and statistical significance of the identified linear trends was assessed. Linear trends in average annual SAT values are statistically significant at p<0.01 and positive for the entire study region. The warming rate in the study region increases from the southwest to the northeast. The highest warming rate (>2 °C/10 years) is observed in the northern areas of the Barents and Kara Seas, the lowest (<0.75 °C/10 years) – in the southwestern ice-free part of the Barents Sea. Linear trends of SAT for the year are generally determined by the tendencies observed in October-February. The warming rate field has a clearly defined "relief" with an increase in the direction from the southwest to the northeast during these months. The warming rate field is uniform in the warm season (May-August), the rates do not exceed 1 °C/10 years. The restructuring of the warming rate field from a clearly defined "relief" to a uniform field and back is observed in March-April and September.
format Article
id doaj-art-e2f6c4dd725e451a8eb0202d1b7ada5a
institution Kabale University
issn 2658-4255
language English
publishDate 2024-10-01
publisher LLC Center for Information and Legal Support for the Development of the Arctic
record_format Article
series Российская Арктика
spelling doaj-art-e2f6c4dd725e451a8eb0202d1b7ada5a2025-01-09T08:53:43ZengLLC Center for Information and Legal Support for the Development of the ArcticРоссийская Арктика2658-42552024-10-0110.24412/2658-4255-2024-3-55-64Current trends in surface air temperature changes in the Barents and Kara Seas regionT.K. KarandashevaB.V. IvanovV.I. DeminA.D. RevinaI.A. IlyushchenkovaA.R. AntsiferovaThe aim of the study is to assess observed trends in the surface air temperature (SAT) in the Barents and Kara Seas under conditions of current global warming. Regular meteorological observations from 31 Russian and Norwegian meteorological stations (MS) were used. Time trends in SAT series for calendar months and the year as a whole were assessed for all MS. Parameters of linear regression equations were calculated, and statistical significance of the identified linear trends was assessed. Linear trends in average annual SAT values are statistically significant at p<0.01 and positive for the entire study region. The warming rate in the study region increases from the southwest to the northeast. The highest warming rate (>2 °C/10 years) is observed in the northern areas of the Barents and Kara Seas, the lowest (<0.75 °C/10 years) – in the southwestern ice-free part of the Barents Sea. Linear trends of SAT for the year are generally determined by the tendencies observed in October-February. The warming rate field has a clearly defined "relief" with an increase in the direction from the southwest to the northeast during these months. The warming rate field is uniform in the warm season (May-August), the rates do not exceed 1 °C/10 years. The restructuring of the warming rate field from a clearly defined "relief" to a uniform field and back is observed in March-April and September. https://en.russian-arctic.info/info/articles/meteorology/current-trends-in-surface-air-temperature-changes-in-the-barents-and-kara-seas-region/arcticrecent warmingtemperature trends
spellingShingle T.K. Karandasheva
B.V. Ivanov
V.I. Demin
A.D. Revina
I.A. Ilyushchenkova
A.R. Antsiferova
Current trends in surface air temperature changes in the Barents and Kara Seas region
Российская Арктика
arctic
recent warming
temperature trends
title Current trends in surface air temperature changes in the Barents and Kara Seas region
title_full Current trends in surface air temperature changes in the Barents and Kara Seas region
title_fullStr Current trends in surface air temperature changes in the Barents and Kara Seas region
title_full_unstemmed Current trends in surface air temperature changes in the Barents and Kara Seas region
title_short Current trends in surface air temperature changes in the Barents and Kara Seas region
title_sort current trends in surface air temperature changes in the barents and kara seas region
topic arctic
recent warming
temperature trends
url https://en.russian-arctic.info/info/articles/meteorology/current-trends-in-surface-air-temperature-changes-in-the-barents-and-kara-seas-region/
work_keys_str_mv AT tkkarandasheva currenttrendsinsurfaceairtemperaturechangesinthebarentsandkaraseasregion
AT bvivanov currenttrendsinsurfaceairtemperaturechangesinthebarentsandkaraseasregion
AT videmin currenttrendsinsurfaceairtemperaturechangesinthebarentsandkaraseasregion
AT adrevina currenttrendsinsurfaceairtemperaturechangesinthebarentsandkaraseasregion
AT iailyushchenkova currenttrendsinsurfaceairtemperaturechangesinthebarentsandkaraseasregion
AT arantsiferova currenttrendsinsurfaceairtemperaturechangesinthebarentsandkaraseasregion