Daily Plasmaspheric TEC Variations From COSMIC GPS Observations Based on RBF Neural Network‐Kriging Method

Abstract The low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite provides valuable direct observations for scientific investigation of the plasmasphere, while the plasmaspheric total electron content (PTEC) with a high temporal resolution cannot be precisely estimated due to fewer LEO satellites. In this paper, a novel...

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Main Authors: Qiqi Shi, Shuanggen Jin, Linlin Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-07-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003347
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author Qiqi Shi
Shuanggen Jin
Linlin Li
author_facet Qiqi Shi
Shuanggen Jin
Linlin Li
author_sort Qiqi Shi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite provides valuable direct observations for scientific investigation of the plasmasphere, while the plasmaspheric total electron content (PTEC) with a high temporal resolution cannot be precisely estimated due to fewer LEO satellites. In this paper, a novel joint method of radial basis function neural network—Kriging (RBF‐Kr) method is designed to construct the daily PTEC model using the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate Global Positioning System observations during the low (2009) and high (2013) solar activity years. Compared with the original RBF method, the RBF‐Kr method reduces the mean absolute error and root mean square error from 0.77 to 0.60 TEC unit (TECU) and 0.99 to 0.80 TECU, respectively. The correlation coefficient (Corr) increased from 0.90 to 0.94. Furthermore, daily PTEC variations show that the PTEC at low latitudes is evenly distributed during equinox periods. The South American‐Atlantic Ocean sector has a peak and trough in PTEC during the December and June solstices. A certain symmetrical distribution of PTEC is observed in the latitudinal direction, and the symcenter moves toward the summer hemisphere. The duration of extremal PTEC at 60°W is observed, which lasted up to more than 80 days around the December solstice. An obvious correlation between the solar flux and PTEC is found with up to 0.86, indicating that daily PTEC variations are mainly related to solar activities.
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language English
publishDate 2023-07-01
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spelling doaj-art-dd67d85bd27a47948045a56145d4ea2e2025-01-14T16:27:34ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902023-07-01217n/an/a10.1029/2022SW003347Daily Plasmaspheric TEC Variations From COSMIC GPS Observations Based on RBF Neural Network‐Kriging MethodQiqi Shi0Shuanggen Jin1Linlin Li2Shanghai Astronomical Observatory Chinese Academy of Sciences Shanghai ChinaShanghai Astronomical Observatory Chinese Academy of Sciences Shanghai ChinaShanghai Astronomical Observatory Chinese Academy of Sciences Shanghai ChinaAbstract The low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite provides valuable direct observations for scientific investigation of the plasmasphere, while the plasmaspheric total electron content (PTEC) with a high temporal resolution cannot be precisely estimated due to fewer LEO satellites. In this paper, a novel joint method of radial basis function neural network—Kriging (RBF‐Kr) method is designed to construct the daily PTEC model using the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate Global Positioning System observations during the low (2009) and high (2013) solar activity years. Compared with the original RBF method, the RBF‐Kr method reduces the mean absolute error and root mean square error from 0.77 to 0.60 TEC unit (TECU) and 0.99 to 0.80 TECU, respectively. The correlation coefficient (Corr) increased from 0.90 to 0.94. Furthermore, daily PTEC variations show that the PTEC at low latitudes is evenly distributed during equinox periods. The South American‐Atlantic Ocean sector has a peak and trough in PTEC during the December and June solstices. A certain symmetrical distribution of PTEC is observed in the latitudinal direction, and the symcenter moves toward the summer hemisphere. The duration of extremal PTEC at 60°W is observed, which lasted up to more than 80 days around the December solstice. An obvious correlation between the solar flux and PTEC is found with up to 0.86, indicating that daily PTEC variations are mainly related to solar activities.https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003347plasmaspheric TECCOSMICRBF neural networkkriging
spellingShingle Qiqi Shi
Shuanggen Jin
Linlin Li
Daily Plasmaspheric TEC Variations From COSMIC GPS Observations Based on RBF Neural Network‐Kriging Method
Space Weather
plasmaspheric TEC
COSMIC
RBF neural network
kriging
title Daily Plasmaspheric TEC Variations From COSMIC GPS Observations Based on RBF Neural Network‐Kriging Method
title_full Daily Plasmaspheric TEC Variations From COSMIC GPS Observations Based on RBF Neural Network‐Kriging Method
title_fullStr Daily Plasmaspheric TEC Variations From COSMIC GPS Observations Based on RBF Neural Network‐Kriging Method
title_full_unstemmed Daily Plasmaspheric TEC Variations From COSMIC GPS Observations Based on RBF Neural Network‐Kriging Method
title_short Daily Plasmaspheric TEC Variations From COSMIC GPS Observations Based on RBF Neural Network‐Kriging Method
title_sort daily plasmaspheric tec variations from cosmic gps observations based on rbf neural network kriging method
topic plasmaspheric TEC
COSMIC
RBF neural network
kriging
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003347
work_keys_str_mv AT qiqishi dailyplasmaspherictecvariationsfromcosmicgpsobservationsbasedonrbfneuralnetworkkrigingmethod
AT shuanggenjin dailyplasmaspherictecvariationsfromcosmicgpsobservationsbasedonrbfneuralnetworkkrigingmethod
AT linlinli dailyplasmaspherictecvariationsfromcosmicgpsobservationsbasedonrbfneuralnetworkkrigingmethod