Informal Employment, the Tertiary Sector, and the Gross Domestic Product: A Structural Equations Model for the Mexican Economy

In Mexico, approximately 55% of the working population is employed informally, contributing 24.4% to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2022. This study analyzed the impact of wages, taxes, government spending, and unemployment on the informal economy of Mexico from 1980 to 2022, as well as its rel...

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Main Authors: David Robles Ortiz, Raymundo Alexei Ambriz Torres
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/11/301
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author David Robles Ortiz
Raymundo Alexei Ambriz Torres
author_facet David Robles Ortiz
Raymundo Alexei Ambriz Torres
author_sort David Robles Ortiz
collection DOAJ
description In Mexico, approximately 55% of the working population is employed informally, contributing 24.4% to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2022. This study analyzed the impact of wages, taxes, government spending, and unemployment on the informal economy of Mexico from 1980 to 2022, as well as its relationship with the tertiary sector’s contribution to the GDP. The methodology of the study was structural equation modeling. The findings of this study revealed that an increase in taxes, the unemployment rate, and the minimum wage in Mexico tends to be accompanied by a rise in informal employment. Finally, a unitary change in the latent variable informality affected the growth of the tertiary sector’s contribution to the GDP by 0.37 units.
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spelling doaj-art-db06bab37a8e43fa9a022580a176e6432024-11-26T18:00:59ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992024-11-01121130110.3390/economies12110301Informal Employment, the Tertiary Sector, and the Gross Domestic Product: A Structural Equations Model for the Mexican EconomyDavid Robles Ortiz0Raymundo Alexei Ambriz Torres1Escuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Mexico City 11350, MexicoEscuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Mexico City 11350, MexicoIn Mexico, approximately 55% of the working population is employed informally, contributing 24.4% to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2022. This study analyzed the impact of wages, taxes, government spending, and unemployment on the informal economy of Mexico from 1980 to 2022, as well as its relationship with the tertiary sector’s contribution to the GDP. The methodology of the study was structural equation modeling. The findings of this study revealed that an increase in taxes, the unemployment rate, and the minimum wage in Mexico tends to be accompanied by a rise in informal employment. Finally, a unitary change in the latent variable informality affected the growth of the tertiary sector’s contribution to the GDP by 0.37 units.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/11/301government spendinginformal employmentMexico GDPSEM modelstaxesunemployment
spellingShingle David Robles Ortiz
Raymundo Alexei Ambriz Torres
Informal Employment, the Tertiary Sector, and the Gross Domestic Product: A Structural Equations Model for the Mexican Economy
Economies
government spending
informal employment
Mexico GDP
SEM models
taxes
unemployment
title Informal Employment, the Tertiary Sector, and the Gross Domestic Product: A Structural Equations Model for the Mexican Economy
title_full Informal Employment, the Tertiary Sector, and the Gross Domestic Product: A Structural Equations Model for the Mexican Economy
title_fullStr Informal Employment, the Tertiary Sector, and the Gross Domestic Product: A Structural Equations Model for the Mexican Economy
title_full_unstemmed Informal Employment, the Tertiary Sector, and the Gross Domestic Product: A Structural Equations Model for the Mexican Economy
title_short Informal Employment, the Tertiary Sector, and the Gross Domestic Product: A Structural Equations Model for the Mexican Economy
title_sort informal employment the tertiary sector and the gross domestic product a structural equations model for the mexican economy
topic government spending
informal employment
Mexico GDP
SEM models
taxes
unemployment
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/11/301
work_keys_str_mv AT davidroblesortiz informalemploymentthetertiarysectorandthegrossdomesticproductastructuralequationsmodelforthemexicaneconomy
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