Retrospective evaluation of real-time estimates of global COVID-19 transmission trends and mortality forecasts.

Since 8th March 2020 up to the time of writing, we have been producing near real-time weekly estimates of SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility and forecasts of deaths due to COVID-19 for all countries with evidence of sustained transmission, shared online. We also developed a novel heuristic to combine weekl...

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Main Authors: Sangeeta Bhatia, Kris V Parag, Jack Wardle, Rebecca K Nash, Natsuko Imai, Sabine L Van Elsland, Britta Lassmann, John S Brownstein, Angel Desai, Mark Herringer, Kara Sewalk, Sarah Claire Loeb, John Ramatowski, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Elita Jauneikaite, H Juliette T Unwin, Steven Riley, Neil Ferguson, Christl A Donnelly, Anne Cori, Pierre Nouvellet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2023-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0286199&type=printable
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