Forecasting financial distress for organizational sustainability: An empirical analysis

Predicting corporate financial distress has always been a key theme in the world's economic and financial development. The technology to predict a company's financial distress is critical for business and policy decision-makers, shareholders, and policymakers to take the necessary measures...

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Main Authors: Soumya Ranjan Sethi, Dushyant Ashok Mahadik
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Sustainable Futures
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824002776
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author Soumya Ranjan Sethi
Dushyant Ashok Mahadik
author_facet Soumya Ranjan Sethi
Dushyant Ashok Mahadik
author_sort Soumya Ranjan Sethi
collection DOAJ
description Predicting corporate financial distress has always been a key theme in the world's economic and financial development. The technology to predict a company's financial distress is critical for business and policy decision-makers, shareholders, and policymakers to take the necessary measures to adopt the appropriate decisions and policies for sustainable growth. This study touches the sustainability of the economic view to analyse the probability of insolvency of Indian non – financial service sector companies throughout 2012- 2013 to 2021–2022. This study aims to assess the predictive capabilities of Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Logistic Regression (LR), and Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) in predicting a company's bankruptcy. A panel dataset encompassing ten years was subjected to applying all three models. The Logit model obtained an accuracy of 87.28%, which was superior to the ANN's 85.39% in training, 86.39% in testing, and 72.02% in LDA. Managers, depositors, regulatory agencies, shareholders, and all other stakeholders in the service sector economy may anticipate that our investigation's conclusions will prove advantageous in their pursuance of interest management.
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spelling doaj-art-ce4617dd40394a818e87fb981b0481982025-01-08T04:53:31ZengElsevierSustainable Futures2666-18882025-06-019100429Forecasting financial distress for organizational sustainability: An empirical analysisSoumya Ranjan Sethi0Dushyant Ashok Mahadik1Corresponding author.; School of Management (SOM), National Institute of Technology Rourkela, Odisha, IndiaSchool of Management (SOM), National Institute of Technology Rourkela, Odisha, IndiaPredicting corporate financial distress has always been a key theme in the world's economic and financial development. The technology to predict a company's financial distress is critical for business and policy decision-makers, shareholders, and policymakers to take the necessary measures to adopt the appropriate decisions and policies for sustainable growth. This study touches the sustainability of the economic view to analyse the probability of insolvency of Indian non – financial service sector companies throughout 2012- 2013 to 2021–2022. This study aims to assess the predictive capabilities of Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Logistic Regression (LR), and Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) in predicting a company's bankruptcy. A panel dataset encompassing ten years was subjected to applying all three models. The Logit model obtained an accuracy of 87.28%, which was superior to the ANN's 85.39% in training, 86.39% in testing, and 72.02% in LDA. Managers, depositors, regulatory agencies, shareholders, and all other stakeholders in the service sector economy may anticipate that our investigation's conclusions will prove advantageous in their pursuance of interest management.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824002776G01G00G33
spellingShingle Soumya Ranjan Sethi
Dushyant Ashok Mahadik
Forecasting financial distress for organizational sustainability: An empirical analysis
Sustainable Futures
G01
G00
G33
title Forecasting financial distress for organizational sustainability: An empirical analysis
title_full Forecasting financial distress for organizational sustainability: An empirical analysis
title_fullStr Forecasting financial distress for organizational sustainability: An empirical analysis
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting financial distress for organizational sustainability: An empirical analysis
title_short Forecasting financial distress for organizational sustainability: An empirical analysis
title_sort forecasting financial distress for organizational sustainability an empirical analysis
topic G01
G00
G33
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824002776
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