Social media disagreement and financial markets: A comparison of stocks and Bitcoin

We examine whether disagreement in social media discussions related to financial markets affects subsequent volatility and abnormal trading volume. We also compare how traditional and digital asset markets differ by comparing stocks and Bitcoin. We show that social media disagreement is positively a...

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Main Authors: Akarsu Sergen, Yilmaz Neslihan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2024-12-01
Series:Economics and Business Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2024.4.1683
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author Akarsu Sergen
Yilmaz Neslihan
author_facet Akarsu Sergen
Yilmaz Neslihan
author_sort Akarsu Sergen
collection DOAJ
description We examine whether disagreement in social media discussions related to financial markets affects subsequent volatility and abnormal trading volume. We also compare how traditional and digital asset markets differ by comparing stocks and Bitcoin. We show that social media disagreement is positively associated with future market volatility and abnormal trading volume in the stock market. The effect of disagreement is more pronounced at the individual stock level than at the index level. A higher level of social media disagreement also increases the probability of extremely negative stock market returns. In contrast, disagreement in Bitcoin-related social media weakly affects subsequent volatility but does not affect trading volume or extremely negative returns. Our findings also reveal that market activity impacts the disagreement in the stock market and Bitcoin communities differently.
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series Economics and Business Review
spelling doaj-art-c9ea6cff7bd540b8a6f44de99296d97c2025-01-14T14:22:32ZengSciendoEconomics and Business Review2450-00972024-12-0110418921310.18559/ebr.2024.4.1683Social media disagreement and financial markets: A comparison of stocks and BitcoinAkarsu Sergen0Yilmaz Neslihan1Boğaziçi University, Department of Management, Bebek, Istanbul, 34342, TürkiyeBoğaziçi University, Department of Management, Bebek, Istanbul, 34342, TürkiyeWe examine whether disagreement in social media discussions related to financial markets affects subsequent volatility and abnormal trading volume. We also compare how traditional and digital asset markets differ by comparing stocks and Bitcoin. We show that social media disagreement is positively associated with future market volatility and abnormal trading volume in the stock market. The effect of disagreement is more pronounced at the individual stock level than at the index level. A higher level of social media disagreement also increases the probability of extremely negative stock market returns. In contrast, disagreement in Bitcoin-related social media weakly affects subsequent volatility but does not affect trading volume or extremely negative returns. Our findings also reveal that market activity impacts the disagreement in the stock market and Bitcoin communities differently.https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2024.4.1683disagreementtrading volumevolatilitybitcoinredditg10g41d83
spellingShingle Akarsu Sergen
Yilmaz Neslihan
Social media disagreement and financial markets: A comparison of stocks and Bitcoin
Economics and Business Review
disagreement
trading volume
volatility
bitcoin
reddit
g10
g41
d83
title Social media disagreement and financial markets: A comparison of stocks and Bitcoin
title_full Social media disagreement and financial markets: A comparison of stocks and Bitcoin
title_fullStr Social media disagreement and financial markets: A comparison of stocks and Bitcoin
title_full_unstemmed Social media disagreement and financial markets: A comparison of stocks and Bitcoin
title_short Social media disagreement and financial markets: A comparison of stocks and Bitcoin
title_sort social media disagreement and financial markets a comparison of stocks and bitcoin
topic disagreement
trading volume
volatility
bitcoin
reddit
g10
g41
d83
url https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2024.4.1683
work_keys_str_mv AT akarsusergen socialmediadisagreementandfinancialmarketsacomparisonofstocksandbitcoin
AT yilmazneslihan socialmediadisagreementandfinancialmarketsacomparisonofstocksandbitcoin