Accurate GRACE terrestrial water storage estimations via a new fusion method

The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On missions hold a pivotal role in exploring global mass change and migration. However, inconsistencies in terrestrial water storage (TWS), arising from variations in geophysical background models and processing techniques among di...

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Main Authors: Min Dai, Hao Zhou, Wenjing Ma, Shuyun Zheng, Mingyang Xia, Yaozong Li, Zhicai Luo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-08-01
Series:Geo-spatial Information Science
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10095020.2025.2543967
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author Min Dai
Hao Zhou
Wenjing Ma
Shuyun Zheng
Mingyang Xia
Yaozong Li
Zhicai Luo
author_facet Min Dai
Hao Zhou
Wenjing Ma
Shuyun Zheng
Mingyang Xia
Yaozong Li
Zhicai Luo
author_sort Min Dai
collection DOAJ
description The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On missions hold a pivotal role in exploring global mass change and migration. However, inconsistencies in terrestrial water storage (TWS), arising from variations in geophysical background models and processing techniques among different products, hinder the global and regional applicability of GRACE. The absence of independent observations at the commensurate scale compromises detection accuracy and reliability when relying on a single-institution solution. Urgently addressing this issue by optimizing different products with rigorous algorithms is crucial to enhance the comprehension of global and regional TWS variability. We employ the generalized three-cornered hat (GTCH) method to quantify uncertainties of different GRACE products and integrate it with the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) method to construct a new fusion algorithm, GTCH+BMA, which generates integrated TWS products. At the basin scale, fused TWS products exhibit excellent reliability in capturing annual amplitude and trend variations. In comparison with the single-institution solution, the fusion products effectively attenuate noise and enhance the SNR, enabling a 59.7% reduction in the average uncertainty and an 8.05-fold improvement in the SNR, especially in regions with weak hydrological signals. A 62.8% reduction in average uncertainty and a 1.54-fold improvement in the SNR are similarly achieved globally. The fusion methodology significantly improves the effectiveness of probing TWS changes globally and regionally, helping to provide a valuable basic dataset for future exploration of related environmental changes and water resources management based on reliable data.
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spelling doaj-art-c62f87c1c0e54ca1b84b039a22d2846d2025-08-20T03:47:02ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeo-spatial Information Science1009-50201993-51532025-08-0111410.1080/10095020.2025.2543967Accurate GRACE terrestrial water storage estimations via a new fusion methodMin Dai0Hao Zhou1Wenjing Ma2Shuyun Zheng3Mingyang Xia4Yaozong Li5Zhicai Luo6National Gravitation Laboratory, Institute of Geophysics, MOE Key Laboratory of Fundamental Physical Quantities Measurement, and School of Physics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, ChinaNational Gravitation Laboratory, Institute of Geophysics, MOE Key Laboratory of Fundamental Physical Quantities Measurement, and School of Physics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, ChinaNational Gravitation Laboratory, Institute of Geophysics, MOE Key Laboratory of Fundamental Physical Quantities Measurement, and School of Physics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, ChinaNational Gravitation Laboratory, Institute of Geophysics, MOE Key Laboratory of Fundamental Physical Quantities Measurement, and School of Physics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, ChinaNational Gravitation Laboratory, Institute of Geophysics, MOE Key Laboratory of Fundamental Physical Quantities Measurement, and School of Physics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, ChinaNational Gravitation Laboratory, Institute of Geophysics, MOE Key Laboratory of Fundamental Physical Quantities Measurement, and School of Physics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, ChinaNational Gravitation Laboratory, Institute of Geophysics, MOE Key Laboratory of Fundamental Physical Quantities Measurement, and School of Physics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, ChinaThe Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On missions hold a pivotal role in exploring global mass change and migration. However, inconsistencies in terrestrial water storage (TWS), arising from variations in geophysical background models and processing techniques among different products, hinder the global and regional applicability of GRACE. The absence of independent observations at the commensurate scale compromises detection accuracy and reliability when relying on a single-institution solution. Urgently addressing this issue by optimizing different products with rigorous algorithms is crucial to enhance the comprehension of global and regional TWS variability. We employ the generalized three-cornered hat (GTCH) method to quantify uncertainties of different GRACE products and integrate it with the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) method to construct a new fusion algorithm, GTCH+BMA, which generates integrated TWS products. At the basin scale, fused TWS products exhibit excellent reliability in capturing annual amplitude and trend variations. In comparison with the single-institution solution, the fusion products effectively attenuate noise and enhance the SNR, enabling a 59.7% reduction in the average uncertainty and an 8.05-fold improvement in the SNR, especially in regions with weak hydrological signals. A 62.8% reduction in average uncertainty and a 1.54-fold improvement in the SNR are similarly achieved globally. The fusion methodology significantly improves the effectiveness of probing TWS changes globally and regionally, helping to provide a valuable basic dataset for future exploration of related environmental changes and water resources management based on reliable data.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10095020.2025.2543967Multi-source GRACE datasetsgeneralized three-cornered hat methodBayesian model averaging methoddata fusionaccurate TWS products
spellingShingle Min Dai
Hao Zhou
Wenjing Ma
Shuyun Zheng
Mingyang Xia
Yaozong Li
Zhicai Luo
Accurate GRACE terrestrial water storage estimations via a new fusion method
Geo-spatial Information Science
Multi-source GRACE datasets
generalized three-cornered hat method
Bayesian model averaging method
data fusion
accurate TWS products
title Accurate GRACE terrestrial water storage estimations via a new fusion method
title_full Accurate GRACE terrestrial water storage estimations via a new fusion method
title_fullStr Accurate GRACE terrestrial water storage estimations via a new fusion method
title_full_unstemmed Accurate GRACE terrestrial water storage estimations via a new fusion method
title_short Accurate GRACE terrestrial water storage estimations via a new fusion method
title_sort accurate grace terrestrial water storage estimations via a new fusion method
topic Multi-source GRACE datasets
generalized three-cornered hat method
Bayesian model averaging method
data fusion
accurate TWS products
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10095020.2025.2543967
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AT mingyangxia accurategraceterrestrialwaterstorageestimationsviaanewfusionmethod
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