Risk factors and prediction models for severe radiation-induced oral mucositis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing chemoradiotherapy
Abstract Objective This study aimed to investigate the factors associated with severe radiation-induced oral mucositis (SRIOM) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients undergoing chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and to establish a prediction model for SRIOM. Methods A total of 262 NPC patients who underwen...
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Springer
2025-05-01
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| Series: | Discover Oncology |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1007/s12672-025-02458-7 |
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| author | Yi Liang XiaoQin Wang XunRen Shi XinXiong Fei |
| author_facet | Yi Liang XiaoQin Wang XunRen Shi XinXiong Fei |
| author_sort | Yi Liang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Objective This study aimed to investigate the factors associated with severe radiation-induced oral mucositis (SRIOM) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients undergoing chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and to establish a prediction model for SRIOM. Methods A total of 262 NPC patients who underwent CRT were analyzed retrospectively, including 192 in the modeling group and 70 in the validation group. The modeling group was divided into the non-SRIOM group (n = 112) and the SRIOM group (n = 80), and the validation group was divided into the non-SRIOM group (n = 40) and the SRIOM group (n = 30) according to the presence of SRIOM. Univariate and multivariate logistic logistic analyses were performed on the clinical data and general characteristics of all patients to construct a prediction model for SRIOM in NPC patients. The practical efficacy of the prediction model was evaluated using Hosmer–Lemeshow test, receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results BMI < 23.9 kg/m2, history of periodontal disease, history of alcohol consumption, history of smoking, non-use of oral mucosal protectants, and poor oral hygiene were independent risk factors for SRIOM in NPC patients. The prediction model showed an area under the ROC curve of 0.813 (95% CI 0.752–0.875). The prediction model demonstrated strong predictive accuracy and clinical utility, as evidenced by both calibration and DCA curves. Conclusion The SRIOM prediction model, developed from the clinical characteristics and general information of NPC patients, is beneficial in clinical practice for identifying high-risk SRIOM and creating tailored treatment plans. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-c037b5c51ff34f14a20bbb08df7c2e98 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2730-6011 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-05-01 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Discover Oncology |
| spelling | doaj-art-c037b5c51ff34f14a20bbb08df7c2e982025-08-20T03:48:18ZengSpringerDiscover Oncology2730-60112025-05-0116111010.1007/s12672-025-02458-7Risk factors and prediction models for severe radiation-induced oral mucositis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing chemoradiotherapyYi Liang0XiaoQin Wang1XunRen Shi2XinXiong Fei3Department of Head and Neck (Esophagus) Oncology, Huangshi Central Hospital (Affiliated Hospital of Hubei Polytechnic University)Department of Head and Neck (Esophagus) Oncology, Huangshi Central Hospital (Affiliated Hospital of Hubei Polytechnic University)Department of Head and Neck (Esophagus) Oncology, Huangshi Central Hospital (Affiliated Hospital of Hubei Polytechnic University)Department of Head and Neck (Esophagus) Oncology, Huangshi Central Hospital (Affiliated Hospital of Hubei Polytechnic University)Abstract Objective This study aimed to investigate the factors associated with severe radiation-induced oral mucositis (SRIOM) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients undergoing chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and to establish a prediction model for SRIOM. Methods A total of 262 NPC patients who underwent CRT were analyzed retrospectively, including 192 in the modeling group and 70 in the validation group. The modeling group was divided into the non-SRIOM group (n = 112) and the SRIOM group (n = 80), and the validation group was divided into the non-SRIOM group (n = 40) and the SRIOM group (n = 30) according to the presence of SRIOM. Univariate and multivariate logistic logistic analyses were performed on the clinical data and general characteristics of all patients to construct a prediction model for SRIOM in NPC patients. The practical efficacy of the prediction model was evaluated using Hosmer–Lemeshow test, receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results BMI < 23.9 kg/m2, history of periodontal disease, history of alcohol consumption, history of smoking, non-use of oral mucosal protectants, and poor oral hygiene were independent risk factors for SRIOM in NPC patients. The prediction model showed an area under the ROC curve of 0.813 (95% CI 0.752–0.875). The prediction model demonstrated strong predictive accuracy and clinical utility, as evidenced by both calibration and DCA curves. Conclusion The SRIOM prediction model, developed from the clinical characteristics and general information of NPC patients, is beneficial in clinical practice for identifying high-risk SRIOM and creating tailored treatment plans.https://doi.org/10.1007/s12672-025-02458-7Nasopharyngeal carcinomaSevere radiation-induced oral mucositisPrediction modelClinical application |
| spellingShingle | Yi Liang XiaoQin Wang XunRen Shi XinXiong Fei Risk factors and prediction models for severe radiation-induced oral mucositis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing chemoradiotherapy Discover Oncology Nasopharyngeal carcinoma Severe radiation-induced oral mucositis Prediction model Clinical application |
| title | Risk factors and prediction models for severe radiation-induced oral mucositis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing chemoradiotherapy |
| title_full | Risk factors and prediction models for severe radiation-induced oral mucositis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing chemoradiotherapy |
| title_fullStr | Risk factors and prediction models for severe radiation-induced oral mucositis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing chemoradiotherapy |
| title_full_unstemmed | Risk factors and prediction models for severe radiation-induced oral mucositis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing chemoradiotherapy |
| title_short | Risk factors and prediction models for severe radiation-induced oral mucositis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing chemoradiotherapy |
| title_sort | risk factors and prediction models for severe radiation induced oral mucositis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing chemoradiotherapy |
| topic | Nasopharyngeal carcinoma Severe radiation-induced oral mucositis Prediction model Clinical application |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1007/s12672-025-02458-7 |
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