Accounting for dependencies among performance shaping factors in SPAR-H using a regularized autoencoder and WINGS-AISM

The standardized plant analysis risk human reliability analysis (SPAR-H) method is widely used for human reliability analysis to adjust the nominal human error probability (HEP) by assigning different multipliers to the performance shaping factors (PSFs). Nevertheless, SPAR-H suffers from assuming P...

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Main Authors: Xin Liu, Shengyuan Yan, Xiaodan Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Nuclear Engineering and Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573324004133
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author Xin Liu
Shengyuan Yan
Xiaodan Zhang
author_facet Xin Liu
Shengyuan Yan
Xiaodan Zhang
author_sort Xin Liu
collection DOAJ
description The standardized plant analysis risk human reliability analysis (SPAR-H) method is widely used for human reliability analysis to adjust the nominal human error probability (HEP) by assigning different multipliers to the performance shaping factors (PSFs). Nevertheless, SPAR-H suffers from assuming PSFs to be independent without considering any overlaps and dependencies. Therefore, this study introduces a new systematic method to analyze the relationships among the PSFs in SPAR-H qualitatively and quantitatively to obtain more reasonable HEP estimation results. The proposed method comprises three primary aspects: 1) a regularized autoencoder for the denoising and feature extraction of expert evaluation results, 2) the weighted influence non-linear gauge system-based adversarial interpretive structure modeling (WINGS-AISM) method to analyze the relationships among the PSFs and construct their causal hierarchy, and 3) a new relative weighting system to modify the PSF multipliers based on this hierarchy. The results of experiments comparing the proposed method with conventional methods highlight that our method effectively reduces the double counting of overlapping PSFs in SPAR-H, providing more reasonable and accurate HEP estimation results.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1738-5733
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Elsevier
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series Nuclear Engineering and Technology
spelling doaj-art-bdba848d629e4c4b88f7970b2e0627212025-01-12T05:24:40ZengElsevierNuclear Engineering and Technology1738-57332025-01-01571103165Accounting for dependencies among performance shaping factors in SPAR-H using a regularized autoencoder and WINGS-AISMXin Liu0Shengyuan Yan1Xiaodan Zhang2Corresponding author.; College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin, 150001, PR ChinaCollege of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin, 150001, PR ChinaCollege of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin, 150001, PR ChinaThe standardized plant analysis risk human reliability analysis (SPAR-H) method is widely used for human reliability analysis to adjust the nominal human error probability (HEP) by assigning different multipliers to the performance shaping factors (PSFs). Nevertheless, SPAR-H suffers from assuming PSFs to be independent without considering any overlaps and dependencies. Therefore, this study introduces a new systematic method to analyze the relationships among the PSFs in SPAR-H qualitatively and quantitatively to obtain more reasonable HEP estimation results. The proposed method comprises three primary aspects: 1) a regularized autoencoder for the denoising and feature extraction of expert evaluation results, 2) the weighted influence non-linear gauge system-based adversarial interpretive structure modeling (WINGS-AISM) method to analyze the relationships among the PSFs and construct their causal hierarchy, and 3) a new relative weighting system to modify the PSF multipliers based on this hierarchy. The results of experiments comparing the proposed method with conventional methods highlight that our method effectively reduces the double counting of overlapping PSFs in SPAR-H, providing more reasonable and accurate HEP estimation results.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573324004133Nuclear power plantsHuman reliability analysisSPAR-HHuman error probabilityPerformance shaping factorRegularized autoencoder
spellingShingle Xin Liu
Shengyuan Yan
Xiaodan Zhang
Accounting for dependencies among performance shaping factors in SPAR-H using a regularized autoencoder and WINGS-AISM
Nuclear Engineering and Technology
Nuclear power plants
Human reliability analysis
SPAR-H
Human error probability
Performance shaping factor
Regularized autoencoder
title Accounting for dependencies among performance shaping factors in SPAR-H using a regularized autoencoder and WINGS-AISM
title_full Accounting for dependencies among performance shaping factors in SPAR-H using a regularized autoencoder and WINGS-AISM
title_fullStr Accounting for dependencies among performance shaping factors in SPAR-H using a regularized autoencoder and WINGS-AISM
title_full_unstemmed Accounting for dependencies among performance shaping factors in SPAR-H using a regularized autoencoder and WINGS-AISM
title_short Accounting for dependencies among performance shaping factors in SPAR-H using a regularized autoencoder and WINGS-AISM
title_sort accounting for dependencies among performance shaping factors in spar h using a regularized autoencoder and wings aism
topic Nuclear power plants
Human reliability analysis
SPAR-H
Human error probability
Performance shaping factor
Regularized autoencoder
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573324004133
work_keys_str_mv AT xinliu accountingfordependenciesamongperformanceshapingfactorsinsparhusingaregularizedautoencoderandwingsaism
AT shengyuanyan accountingfordependenciesamongperformanceshapingfactorsinsparhusingaregularizedautoencoderandwingsaism
AT xiaodanzhang accountingfordependenciesamongperformanceshapingfactorsinsparhusingaregularizedautoencoderandwingsaism