Holistic uncertainty quantification and attribution for real-time seasonal streamflow predictions: Insights from input, parameter and initial condition

Holistic uncertainty quantification and attribution for real-time seasonal streamflow predictions: Insights from input, parameter and initial condition

Study region: Two mesoscale watersheds in the East China, where increased occurrences of hydrometeorological extreme events (drought-flood abrupt alternation) were observed over the last few years. Study focus: To investigate the impact of different uncertainty sources in seasonal streamflow predict...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Li Liu, Peng Zhou, Yue-Ping Xu, Chaohao Zheng, Lu Wang, Xiao Liang, Yuxue Guo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Subjects:
Uncertainty quantification
Ensemble seasonal streamflow forecast
CFSv2 forecasts
Parameter uncertainty
Initial condition uncertainty
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825002526
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