Channelling and taxation in European online gambling markets: evolution and policy implications

Abstract Background Taxation can be used to direct consumption and provision of harmful commodities. Prior research on gambling taxation has nevertheless been inconclusive on whether this can also apply to gambling. In gambling policy, optimal taxation rates have particularly been debated from the p...

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Main Authors: Virve Marionneau, Nicola Matteucci, Sabrina Vieira Lima, Janne Nikkinen, Jani Selin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:Harm Reduction Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12954-024-01145-0
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author Virve Marionneau
Nicola Matteucci
Sabrina Vieira Lima
Janne Nikkinen
Jani Selin
author_facet Virve Marionneau
Nicola Matteucci
Sabrina Vieira Lima
Janne Nikkinen
Jani Selin
author_sort Virve Marionneau
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Taxation can be used to direct consumption and provision of harmful commodities. Prior research on gambling taxation has nevertheless been inconclusive on whether this can also apply to gambling. In gambling policy, optimal taxation rates have particularly been debated from the perspective of channelling consumption from offshore markets to regulated markets. Prior industry-sponsored reports have suggested that lower tax rates may be correlated with higher channelling rates. Methods We analyse data on two cross-sections (2018; 2021) derived from 29 European countries. The data consist of estimated channelling rates, information on taxation levels, and controls including blocking policies. We produce a descriptive overview of the recent evolution of market channelling and taxation for online gambling products across Europe. We also produce a multivariate regression analysis on the extent that market channelling is correlated with taxation of online gambling. Results Our results show important divergence in taxation of online gambling markets in Europe. We also found that over time, the market share of offshore markets has declined in relative terms. However, this decline is explained by a more rapid growth in the regulated market in absolute terms. The regression analysis found no evidence of a negative correlation between that taxation rates and channelling rates within Europe. Conclusions Gambling policy needs to be based on empirical, impartial evidence. Misleading estimates may result in increased harms to societies. Channelling objectives are important for better regulation and harm reduction, but taxation levels do not appear to be correlated to the success of channelling policies.
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spelling doaj-art-6e08ea9c7478466c91792b4cfc501a462025-01-05T12:12:45ZengBMCHarm Reduction Journal1477-75172025-01-0122111210.1186/s12954-024-01145-0Channelling and taxation in European online gambling markets: evolution and policy implicationsVirve Marionneau0Nicola Matteucci1Sabrina Vieira Lima2Janne Nikkinen3Jani Selin4Centre for Research on Addiction, Control, and Governance, Faculty of Social Sciences. Unioninkatu 33, University of HelsinkiDiSES, Marche Polytechnic UniversityIndependent ResearcherCentre for Research on Addiction, Control, and Governance, Faculty of Social Sciences. Unioninkatu 33, University of HelsinkiFinnish Institute for Health and WelfareAbstract Background Taxation can be used to direct consumption and provision of harmful commodities. Prior research on gambling taxation has nevertheless been inconclusive on whether this can also apply to gambling. In gambling policy, optimal taxation rates have particularly been debated from the perspective of channelling consumption from offshore markets to regulated markets. Prior industry-sponsored reports have suggested that lower tax rates may be correlated with higher channelling rates. Methods We analyse data on two cross-sections (2018; 2021) derived from 29 European countries. The data consist of estimated channelling rates, information on taxation levels, and controls including blocking policies. We produce a descriptive overview of the recent evolution of market channelling and taxation for online gambling products across Europe. We also produce a multivariate regression analysis on the extent that market channelling is correlated with taxation of online gambling. Results Our results show important divergence in taxation of online gambling markets in Europe. We also found that over time, the market share of offshore markets has declined in relative terms. However, this decline is explained by a more rapid growth in the regulated market in absolute terms. The regression analysis found no evidence of a negative correlation between that taxation rates and channelling rates within Europe. Conclusions Gambling policy needs to be based on empirical, impartial evidence. Misleading estimates may result in increased harms to societies. Channelling objectives are important for better regulation and harm reduction, but taxation levels do not appear to be correlated to the success of channelling policies.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12954-024-01145-0GamblingTaxationChannellingOffshoreRegulationHarm reduction
spellingShingle Virve Marionneau
Nicola Matteucci
Sabrina Vieira Lima
Janne Nikkinen
Jani Selin
Channelling and taxation in European online gambling markets: evolution and policy implications
Harm Reduction Journal
Gambling
Taxation
Channelling
Offshore
Regulation
Harm reduction
title Channelling and taxation in European online gambling markets: evolution and policy implications
title_full Channelling and taxation in European online gambling markets: evolution and policy implications
title_fullStr Channelling and taxation in European online gambling markets: evolution and policy implications
title_full_unstemmed Channelling and taxation in European online gambling markets: evolution and policy implications
title_short Channelling and taxation in European online gambling markets: evolution and policy implications
title_sort channelling and taxation in european online gambling markets evolution and policy implications
topic Gambling
Taxation
Channelling
Offshore
Regulation
Harm reduction
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12954-024-01145-0
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AT sabrinavieiralima channellingandtaxationineuropeanonlinegamblingmarketsevolutionandpolicyimplications
AT jannenikkinen channellingandtaxationineuropeanonlinegamblingmarketsevolutionandpolicyimplications
AT janiselin channellingandtaxationineuropeanonlinegamblingmarketsevolutionandpolicyimplications