Trend of mobile communication market pattern under the reform of industry co-competition

In October 2019, with the nationwide implementation of mobile number portability, MIIT and SASAC strengthened industry competition supervision and initiated the industry co-competition of the three major telecom operators in China.The short-term development trend of China mobile communications marke...

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Main Authors: Su DIAO, Cheng JIANG
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Beijing Xintong Media Co., Ltd 2021-03-01
Series:Dianxin kexue
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Online Access:http://www.telecomsci.com/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-0801.2021053/
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author Su DIAO
Cheng JIANG
author_facet Su DIAO
Cheng JIANG
author_sort Su DIAO
collection DOAJ
description In October 2019, with the nationwide implementation of mobile number portability, MIIT and SASAC strengthened industry competition supervision and initiated the industry co-competition of the three major telecom operators in China.The short-term development trend of China mobile communications market was predicted by utilizing Markov chain model to analyze the changes in the market share of mobile communication market, and the state transition probability matrixes before and after the change of the industry’s competitive environment caused by regulatory policies were innovatively compared.The study shows that the impact of industry co-competition reform is greater the nationwide implementation of MNP, the probability of mobile users to lock-in has increased.According to the prediction of the state transition probability matrix after industry co-competition, China Telecom’s mobile market share will increase, while China Mobile and China Unicom Mobile’s market share will decline in the short and medium term.However, China Mobile will continue to maintain its dominant position.To accelerate 5G high-quality development and open up a new pattern in the mobile communication market, the industry co-competition environment needs to be further optimized to strengthen regulatory policy, 5Gco-construction, and operation management.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-5c7858f82fdd429a9bf7062408dd88272025-01-15T03:26:02ZzhoBeijing Xintong Media Co., LtdDianxin kexue1000-08012021-03-013715416159807345Trend of mobile communication market pattern under the reform of industry co-competitionSu DIAOCheng JIANGIn October 2019, with the nationwide implementation of mobile number portability, MIIT and SASAC strengthened industry competition supervision and initiated the industry co-competition of the three major telecom operators in China.The short-term development trend of China mobile communications market was predicted by utilizing Markov chain model to analyze the changes in the market share of mobile communication market, and the state transition probability matrixes before and after the change of the industry’s competitive environment caused by regulatory policies were innovatively compared.The study shows that the impact of industry co-competition reform is greater the nationwide implementation of MNP, the probability of mobile users to lock-in has increased.According to the prediction of the state transition probability matrix after industry co-competition, China Telecom’s mobile market share will increase, while China Mobile and China Unicom Mobile’s market share will decline in the short and medium term.However, China Mobile will continue to maintain its dominant position.To accelerate 5G high-quality development and open up a new pattern in the mobile communication market, the industry co-competition environment needs to be further optimized to strengthen regulatory policy, 5Gco-construction, and operation management.http://www.telecomsci.com/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-0801.2021053/industry co-competitionmobile number portabilitymobile market shareMarkov chainstate transition probability matrix
spellingShingle Su DIAO
Cheng JIANG
Trend of mobile communication market pattern under the reform of industry co-competition
Dianxin kexue
industry co-competition
mobile number portability
mobile market share
Markov chain
state transition probability matrix
title Trend of mobile communication market pattern under the reform of industry co-competition
title_full Trend of mobile communication market pattern under the reform of industry co-competition
title_fullStr Trend of mobile communication market pattern under the reform of industry co-competition
title_full_unstemmed Trend of mobile communication market pattern under the reform of industry co-competition
title_short Trend of mobile communication market pattern under the reform of industry co-competition
title_sort trend of mobile communication market pattern under the reform of industry co competition
topic industry co-competition
mobile number portability
mobile market share
Markov chain
state transition probability matrix
url http://www.telecomsci.com/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-0801.2021053/
work_keys_str_mv AT sudiao trendofmobilecommunicationmarketpatternunderthereformofindustrycocompetition
AT chengjiang trendofmobilecommunicationmarketpatternunderthereformofindustrycocompetition