3D Modeling of Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Sweden—Validation and Extreme Event Analysis

Abstract Rosenqvist and Hall (2019), https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018SW002084 developed a proof‐of‐concept modeling capability that incorporates a detailed 3D structure of Earth's electrical conductivity in a geomagnetically induced current estimation procedure (GIC‐...

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Main Authors: L. Rosenqvist, T. Fristedt, A. P. Dimmock, P. Davidsson, R. Fridström, J. O. Hall, L. Hesslow, J. Kjäll, M. Yu Smirnov, D. Welling, P. Wintoft
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-03-01
Series:Space Weather
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002988
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author L. Rosenqvist
T. Fristedt
A. P. Dimmock
P. Davidsson
R. Fridström
J. O. Hall
L. Hesslow
J. Kjäll
M. Yu Smirnov
D. Welling
P. Wintoft
author_facet L. Rosenqvist
T. Fristedt
A. P. Dimmock
P. Davidsson
R. Fridström
J. O. Hall
L. Hesslow
J. Kjäll
M. Yu Smirnov
D. Welling
P. Wintoft
author_sort L. Rosenqvist
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Rosenqvist and Hall (2019), https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018SW002084 developed a proof‐of‐concept modeling capability that incorporates a detailed 3D structure of Earth's electrical conductivity in a geomagnetically induced current estimation procedure (GIC‐SMAP). The model was verified based on GIC measurements in northern Sweden. The study showed that southern Sweden is exposed to stronger electric fields due to a combined effect of low crustal conductivity and the influence of the surrounding coast. This study aims at further verifying the model in this region. GIC measurements on a power line at the west coast of southern Sweden are utilized. The location of the transmission line was selected to include coast effects at the ocean‐land interface to investigate the importance of using 3D induction modeling methods. The model is used to quantify the hazard of severe GICs in this particular transmission line by using historic recordings of strong geomagnetic disturbances. To quantify a worst‐case scenario GICs are calculated from modeled magnetic disturbances by the Space Weather Modeling Framework based on estimates for an idealized extreme interplanetary coronal mass ejection. The observed and estimated GIC based on the 3D GIC‐SMAP procedure in the transmission line in southern Sweden are in good agreement. In contrast, 1D methods underestimate GICs by about 50%. The estimated GICs in the studied transmission line exceed 100 A for one of 14 historical geomagnetic storm intervals. The peak GIC during the sudden impulse phase of a “perfect” storm exceeds 300 A but depends on the locality of the station as the interplanetary magnetic cloud hits Earth.
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spelling doaj-art-5bf19c025ac7498191df5032680cca072025-01-14T16:30:57ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902022-03-01203n/an/a10.1029/2021SW0029883D Modeling of Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Sweden—Validation and Extreme Event AnalysisL. Rosenqvist0T. Fristedt1A. P. Dimmock2P. Davidsson3R. Fridström4J. O. Hall5L. Hesslow6J. Kjäll7M. Yu Smirnov8D. Welling9P. Wintoft10Swedish Defence Research Agency Stockholm SwedenDepartment of Marine Technology Multiconsult Norge AS Tromsø NorwaySwedish Institute of Space Physics Uppsala SwedenSwedish Defence Research Agency Stockholm SwedenSwedish Defence Research Agency Stockholm SwedenSwedish Defence Research Agency Stockholm SwedenSwedish Defence Research Agency Stockholm SwedenSwedish Defence Research Agency Stockholm SwedenLuleå University of Technology Luleå SwedenUniversity of Texas at Arlington Arlington TX USASwedish Institute of Space Physics Uppsala SwedenAbstract Rosenqvist and Hall (2019), https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018SW002084 developed a proof‐of‐concept modeling capability that incorporates a detailed 3D structure of Earth's electrical conductivity in a geomagnetically induced current estimation procedure (GIC‐SMAP). The model was verified based on GIC measurements in northern Sweden. The study showed that southern Sweden is exposed to stronger electric fields due to a combined effect of low crustal conductivity and the influence of the surrounding coast. This study aims at further verifying the model in this region. GIC measurements on a power line at the west coast of southern Sweden are utilized. The location of the transmission line was selected to include coast effects at the ocean‐land interface to investigate the importance of using 3D induction modeling methods. The model is used to quantify the hazard of severe GICs in this particular transmission line by using historic recordings of strong geomagnetic disturbances. To quantify a worst‐case scenario GICs are calculated from modeled magnetic disturbances by the Space Weather Modeling Framework based on estimates for an idealized extreme interplanetary coronal mass ejection. The observed and estimated GIC based on the 3D GIC‐SMAP procedure in the transmission line in southern Sweden are in good agreement. In contrast, 1D methods underestimate GICs by about 50%. The estimated GICs in the studied transmission line exceed 100 A for one of 14 historical geomagnetic storm intervals. The peak GIC during the sudden impulse phase of a “perfect” storm exceeds 300 A but depends on the locality of the station as the interplanetary magnetic cloud hits Earth.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002988space weathergeomagnetically induced currentsmodel verificationfield trialmagnetotelluricscoast effect
spellingShingle L. Rosenqvist
T. Fristedt
A. P. Dimmock
P. Davidsson
R. Fridström
J. O. Hall
L. Hesslow
J. Kjäll
M. Yu Smirnov
D. Welling
P. Wintoft
3D Modeling of Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Sweden—Validation and Extreme Event Analysis
Space Weather
space weather
geomagnetically induced currents
model verification
field trial
magnetotellurics
coast effect
title 3D Modeling of Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Sweden—Validation and Extreme Event Analysis
title_full 3D Modeling of Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Sweden—Validation and Extreme Event Analysis
title_fullStr 3D Modeling of Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Sweden—Validation and Extreme Event Analysis
title_full_unstemmed 3D Modeling of Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Sweden—Validation and Extreme Event Analysis
title_short 3D Modeling of Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Sweden—Validation and Extreme Event Analysis
title_sort 3d modeling of geomagnetically induced currents in sweden validation and extreme event analysis
topic space weather
geomagnetically induced currents
model verification
field trial
magnetotellurics
coast effect
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2021SW002988
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