A GIS-based on application of Monte Carlo and multi-criteria decision-making approach for site suitability analysis of solar-hydrogen production: Case of Cameroon

This article analyzes and compares three methodologies for identifying suitable regions for solar hydrogen production using photovoltaic panels: AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process), FAHP (Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process), and MC-FAHP (Monte Carlo FAHP), integrated with GIS (Geographic Information Syst...

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Main Author: Fotsing Metegam Isabelle Flora
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Heliyon
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S240584402417572X
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author Fotsing Metegam Isabelle Flora
author_facet Fotsing Metegam Isabelle Flora
author_sort Fotsing Metegam Isabelle Flora
collection DOAJ
description This article analyzes and compares three methodologies for identifying suitable regions for solar hydrogen production using photovoltaic panels: AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process), FAHP (Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process), and MC-FAHP (Monte Carlo FAHP), integrated with GIS (Geographic Information Systems). The study employs ten criteria across technical (Global Horizontal Irradiance, temperature, slope, elevation, orientation), economic (distance from transportation and electrical networks), and social (population density, proximity to residential areas) factors. Environmental and exclusion criteria define restrictive zones. The analysis reveals that while all three methods agree on areas of low suitability, they diverge in their classification of ''Suitable,'' ''Highly Suitable,'' and ''Most Suitable'' regions. FAHP identifies 229.573 km2 as ''Highly Suitable,'' compared to AHP's 222.048 km2 and MC-FAHP's 230.299 km2 for ''Suitable'' areas. Despite these differences, the energy potential is consistent across methods, totaling around 79,000 TWh/year, with MC-FAHP estimating the highest hydrogen production potential at 1.51 billion tons/year. The study concludes that fuzzy-based methods (FAHP and MC-FAHP) better handle uncertainties than traditional AHP. The MC-FAHP method, in particular, performs well in managing stochastic variability and yielding more reliable results. The findings are validated through a case study in Guider and Maroua, highlighting the importance of socio-economic and environmental criteria in decision-making. A sensitivity analysis reveals that economic and social criteria significantly influence land suitability, underscoring the importance of criteria selection in decision-making.
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spelling doaj-art-2be38bab8a5a489eab6605e45f35ab602025-01-17T04:51:35ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402025-01-01111e41541A GIS-based on application of Monte Carlo and multi-criteria decision-making approach for site suitability analysis of solar-hydrogen production: Case of CameroonFotsing Metegam Isabelle Flora0Environmental Energy Technologies Laboratory (EETL), Department of Physics, University of Yaounde I, P.O Box 812 Yaounde, Cameroon; Department of Energetic, Environment and Thermal Engineering, UR-ISIE, University Institute of Technology Fotso Victor, University of Dschang, P.O Box 134, Bandjoun, CameroonThis article analyzes and compares three methodologies for identifying suitable regions for solar hydrogen production using photovoltaic panels: AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process), FAHP (Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process), and MC-FAHP (Monte Carlo FAHP), integrated with GIS (Geographic Information Systems). The study employs ten criteria across technical (Global Horizontal Irradiance, temperature, slope, elevation, orientation), economic (distance from transportation and electrical networks), and social (population density, proximity to residential areas) factors. Environmental and exclusion criteria define restrictive zones. The analysis reveals that while all three methods agree on areas of low suitability, they diverge in their classification of ''Suitable,'' ''Highly Suitable,'' and ''Most Suitable'' regions. FAHP identifies 229.573 km2 as ''Highly Suitable,'' compared to AHP's 222.048 km2 and MC-FAHP's 230.299 km2 for ''Suitable'' areas. Despite these differences, the energy potential is consistent across methods, totaling around 79,000 TWh/year, with MC-FAHP estimating the highest hydrogen production potential at 1.51 billion tons/year. The study concludes that fuzzy-based methods (FAHP and MC-FAHP) better handle uncertainties than traditional AHP. The MC-FAHP method, in particular, performs well in managing stochastic variability and yielding more reliable results. The findings are validated through a case study in Guider and Maroua, highlighting the importance of socio-economic and environmental criteria in decision-making. A sensitivity analysis reveals that economic and social criteria significantly influence land suitability, underscoring the importance of criteria selection in decision-making.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S240584402417572XSolar energy hydrogen productionMonte CarloGeographical information system (GIS)Multi-criteria decision making (MCDM)Cameroon
spellingShingle Fotsing Metegam Isabelle Flora
A GIS-based on application of Monte Carlo and multi-criteria decision-making approach for site suitability analysis of solar-hydrogen production: Case of Cameroon
Heliyon
Solar energy hydrogen production
Monte Carlo
Geographical information system (GIS)
Multi-criteria decision making (MCDM)
Cameroon
title A GIS-based on application of Monte Carlo and multi-criteria decision-making approach for site suitability analysis of solar-hydrogen production: Case of Cameroon
title_full A GIS-based on application of Monte Carlo and multi-criteria decision-making approach for site suitability analysis of solar-hydrogen production: Case of Cameroon
title_fullStr A GIS-based on application of Monte Carlo and multi-criteria decision-making approach for site suitability analysis of solar-hydrogen production: Case of Cameroon
title_full_unstemmed A GIS-based on application of Monte Carlo and multi-criteria decision-making approach for site suitability analysis of solar-hydrogen production: Case of Cameroon
title_short A GIS-based on application of Monte Carlo and multi-criteria decision-making approach for site suitability analysis of solar-hydrogen production: Case of Cameroon
title_sort gis based on application of monte carlo and multi criteria decision making approach for site suitability analysis of solar hydrogen production case of cameroon
topic Solar energy hydrogen production
Monte Carlo
Geographical information system (GIS)
Multi-criteria decision making (MCDM)
Cameroon
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S240584402417572X
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