Impact of climate dynamics on food security in Burkina Faso and Nigeria using FMOLS and geospatial analysis
Abstract West Africa’s food security is seriously threatened by climate change. There are a number of reasons for the current food crisis in West Africa, but climate change is one of the main ones. While the debate about the precise influence of climate change on food security lingers, the question...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Springer
2025-07-01
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| Series: | Discover Sustainability |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-025-01518-w |
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| author | Loveth C. Ode Omenka Evans S. Osabuohien Ese Urhie Godwin O. Ode Kabore N. Eric Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan |
| author_facet | Loveth C. Ode Omenka Evans S. Osabuohien Ese Urhie Godwin O. Ode Kabore N. Eric Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan |
| author_sort | Loveth C. Ode Omenka |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract West Africa’s food security is seriously threatened by climate change. There are a number of reasons for the current food crisis in West Africa, but climate change is one of the main ones. While the debate about the precise influence of climate change on food security lingers, the question of whether variation in relative humidity really impacts on food insecurity remains largely unanswered. Several studies have focused on the impact of temperature and precipitation while neglecting the impact of relative humidity on food security especially in Nigeria and Burkina Faso among other West Africa countries. Thus, the study explored the relationship between climate change and food security in West Africa using the case of Burkina Faso and Nigeria by analysing the extent of impact of weather conditions such as precipitation, temperature and relative humidity on food security with a view of making suggestions on strategies to mitigate the impact of climate change on food security. Data for the study was sourced from the World Bank climate knowledge portal and World development index. The study utilised Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS) to analyse the impact of these variables on food security and geospatial analytical tools to graphically represent these variables. The findings of the study, among others showed that the included variables (Relative humidity, Precipitation, and Temperature) collectively account for a significant portion of the variability in food production across the observations, noting specially the impact of relative humidity on food security which has limited studies. The use of Geospatial analysis showed the impact of climate identifying the various states and the extent of climate change impact. The FMOLS results highlighted the importance of considering weather conditions such as relative humidity, precipitation, and temperature in understanding food production dynamics in Burkina Faso and Nigeria. Policymakers and agricultural stakeholders can utilise these insights to develop adaptive and resilience strategies. Training farmers on the impact of weather conditions on crops and best timing for farming and storing different food crops could mitigate the adverse effects of weather conditions on food agricultural productivity. The GIS results would enable stakeholders focus interventions on states and communities with adverse climate change impact, thereby promoting food security and sustainability. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-1c9e8a66fcea40d0809f23e6ecaf26d4 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2662-9984 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-07-01 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Discover Sustainability |
| spelling | doaj-art-1c9e8a66fcea40d0809f23e6ecaf26d42025-08-20T04:01:43ZengSpringerDiscover Sustainability2662-99842025-07-016112310.1007/s43621-025-01518-wImpact of climate dynamics on food security in Burkina Faso and Nigeria using FMOLS and geospatial analysisLoveth C. Ode Omenka0Evans S. Osabuohien1Ese Urhie2Godwin O. Ode3Kabore N. Eric4Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan5Centre for Economic Policy and Development Research (CEPDeR), Covenant UniversityCentre for Economic Policy and Development Research (CEPDeR), Covenant UniversityCentre for Economic Policy and Development Research (CEPDeR), Covenant UniversityBells University of TechnologyDGESS/Ministère de l’Agriculture, des Ressources animales et halieutiquesBoard Member and Head of the Scientific Committee at the Saudi Economic AssociationAbstract West Africa’s food security is seriously threatened by climate change. There are a number of reasons for the current food crisis in West Africa, but climate change is one of the main ones. While the debate about the precise influence of climate change on food security lingers, the question of whether variation in relative humidity really impacts on food insecurity remains largely unanswered. Several studies have focused on the impact of temperature and precipitation while neglecting the impact of relative humidity on food security especially in Nigeria and Burkina Faso among other West Africa countries. Thus, the study explored the relationship between climate change and food security in West Africa using the case of Burkina Faso and Nigeria by analysing the extent of impact of weather conditions such as precipitation, temperature and relative humidity on food security with a view of making suggestions on strategies to mitigate the impact of climate change on food security. Data for the study was sourced from the World Bank climate knowledge portal and World development index. The study utilised Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS) to analyse the impact of these variables on food security and geospatial analytical tools to graphically represent these variables. The findings of the study, among others showed that the included variables (Relative humidity, Precipitation, and Temperature) collectively account for a significant portion of the variability in food production across the observations, noting specially the impact of relative humidity on food security which has limited studies. The use of Geospatial analysis showed the impact of climate identifying the various states and the extent of climate change impact. The FMOLS results highlighted the importance of considering weather conditions such as relative humidity, precipitation, and temperature in understanding food production dynamics in Burkina Faso and Nigeria. Policymakers and agricultural stakeholders can utilise these insights to develop adaptive and resilience strategies. Training farmers on the impact of weather conditions on crops and best timing for farming and storing different food crops could mitigate the adverse effects of weather conditions on food agricultural productivity. The GIS results would enable stakeholders focus interventions on states and communities with adverse climate change impact, thereby promoting food security and sustainability.https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-025-01518-wClimate changeFood securityRelative humidityPrecipitationTemperature |
| spellingShingle | Loveth C. Ode Omenka Evans S. Osabuohien Ese Urhie Godwin O. Ode Kabore N. Eric Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan Impact of climate dynamics on food security in Burkina Faso and Nigeria using FMOLS and geospatial analysis Discover Sustainability Climate change Food security Relative humidity Precipitation Temperature |
| title | Impact of climate dynamics on food security in Burkina Faso and Nigeria using FMOLS and geospatial analysis |
| title_full | Impact of climate dynamics on food security in Burkina Faso and Nigeria using FMOLS and geospatial analysis |
| title_fullStr | Impact of climate dynamics on food security in Burkina Faso and Nigeria using FMOLS and geospatial analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impact of climate dynamics on food security in Burkina Faso and Nigeria using FMOLS and geospatial analysis |
| title_short | Impact of climate dynamics on food security in Burkina Faso and Nigeria using FMOLS and geospatial analysis |
| title_sort | impact of climate dynamics on food security in burkina faso and nigeria using fmols and geospatial analysis |
| topic | Climate change Food security Relative humidity Precipitation Temperature |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-025-01518-w |
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