Use of machine learning techniques for modeling of snow depth

Snow exerts significant regulating effect on the land hydrological cycle since it controls intensity of heat and water exchange between the soil-vegetative cover and the atmosphere. Estimating of a spring flood runoff or a rain-flood on mountainous rivers requires understanding of the snow cover dyn...

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Main Author: G. V. Ayzel
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Nauka 2017-04-01
Series:Лëд и снег
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/357
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author G. V. Ayzel
author_facet G. V. Ayzel
author_sort G. V. Ayzel
collection DOAJ
description Snow exerts significant regulating effect on the land hydrological cycle since it controls intensity of heat and water exchange between the soil-vegetative cover and the atmosphere. Estimating of a spring flood runoff or a rain-flood on mountainous rivers requires understanding of the snow cover dynamics on a watershed. In our work, solving a problem of the snow cover depth modeling is based on both available databases of hydro-meteorological observations and easily accessible scientific software that allows complete reproduction of investigation results and further development of this theme by scientific community. In this research we used the daily observational data on the snow cover and surface meteorological parameters, obtained at three stations situated in different geographical regions: Col de Porte (France), Sodankyla (Finland), and Snoquamie Pass (USA).Statistical modeling of the snow cover depth is based on a complex of freely distributed the present-day machine learning models: Decision Trees, Adaptive Boosting, Gradient Boosting. It is demonstrated that use of combination of modern machine learning methods with available meteorological data provides the good accuracy of the snow cover modeling. The best results of snow cover depth modeling for every investigated site were obtained by the ensemble method of gradient boosting above decision trees – this model reproduces well both, the periods of snow cover accumulation and its melting. The purposeful character of learning process for models of the gradient boosting type, their ensemble character, and use of combined redundancy of a test sample in learning procedure makes this type of models a good and sustainable research tool. The results obtained can be used for estimating the snow cover characteristics for river basins where hydro-meteorological information is absent or insufficient.
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institution Kabale University
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2412-3765
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publisher Nauka
record_format Article
series Лëд и снег
spelling doaj-art-1c72b18c3ca84f3bac947b34c04c839a2025-08-20T03:44:18ZrusNaukaЛëд и снег2076-67342412-37652017-04-01571344410.15356/2076-6734-2017-1-34-44302Use of machine learning techniques for modeling of snow depthG. V. Ayzel0Institute of Water Problems, Russian Academy of SciencesSnow exerts significant regulating effect on the land hydrological cycle since it controls intensity of heat and water exchange between the soil-vegetative cover and the atmosphere. Estimating of a spring flood runoff or a rain-flood on mountainous rivers requires understanding of the snow cover dynamics on a watershed. In our work, solving a problem of the snow cover depth modeling is based on both available databases of hydro-meteorological observations and easily accessible scientific software that allows complete reproduction of investigation results and further development of this theme by scientific community. In this research we used the daily observational data on the snow cover and surface meteorological parameters, obtained at three stations situated in different geographical regions: Col de Porte (France), Sodankyla (Finland), and Snoquamie Pass (USA).Statistical modeling of the snow cover depth is based on a complex of freely distributed the present-day machine learning models: Decision Trees, Adaptive Boosting, Gradient Boosting. It is demonstrated that use of combination of modern machine learning methods with available meteorological data provides the good accuracy of the snow cover modeling. The best results of snow cover depth modeling for every investigated site were obtained by the ensemble method of gradient boosting above decision trees – this model reproduces well both, the periods of snow cover accumulation and its melting. The purposeful character of learning process for models of the gradient boosting type, their ensemble character, and use of combined redundancy of a test sample in learning procedure makes this type of models a good and sustainable research tool. The results obtained can be used for estimating the snow cover characteristics for river basins where hydro-meteorological information is absent or insufficient.https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/357boostingmachine learningmodelingopen datasnow depth
spellingShingle G. V. Ayzel
Use of machine learning techniques for modeling of snow depth
Лëд и снег
boosting
machine learning
modeling
open data
snow depth
title Use of machine learning techniques for modeling of snow depth
title_full Use of machine learning techniques for modeling of snow depth
title_fullStr Use of machine learning techniques for modeling of snow depth
title_full_unstemmed Use of machine learning techniques for modeling of snow depth
title_short Use of machine learning techniques for modeling of snow depth
title_sort use of machine learning techniques for modeling of snow depth
topic boosting
machine learning
modeling
open data
snow depth
url https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/357
work_keys_str_mv AT gvayzel useofmachinelearningtechniquesformodelingofsnowdepth