Application of Random Forest Algorithm in Xijiang River Flood Forecasting

Based on the measured flood data from 1952 to 2005 in Qianjiang Station,Liuzhou Station,and Wuxuan Station of Xijiang River,this paper selects the characteristic factors of flood forecasting by analyzing the correlation of flood flow at upstream and downstream stations.Meanwhile,the random forest al...

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Main Authors: LIU Hechang, ZHAO Bohua, SUN Bo
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2023-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2023.10.014
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author LIU Hechang
ZHAO Bohua
SUN Bo
author_facet LIU Hechang
ZHAO Bohua
SUN Bo
author_sort LIU Hechang
collection DOAJ
description Based on the measured flood data from 1952 to 2005 in Qianjiang Station,Liuzhou Station,and Wuxuan Station of Xijiang River,this paper selects the characteristic factors of flood forecasting by analyzing the correlation of flood flow at upstream and downstream stations.Meanwhile,the random forest algorithm is adopted to build a flood forecasting model for Wuxuan Station.The results are as follows.The certainty coefficients of the 12~48 h flood process in the studied station during the calibration period are more than 0.98 with the pass rates more than 98%.Additionally,the certainty coefficients of the 12~24 h flood process during the verification period are more than 0.72,with a pass rate of more than 82%.Thus,the proposed model has high forecast accuracy and little uncertainty and can provide a reference for flood forecasting methods.
format Article
id doaj-art-0b0aac137a30475490bd44a8de594287
institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
language zho
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
record_format Article
series Renmin Zhujiang
spelling doaj-art-0b0aac137a30475490bd44a8de5942872025-01-15T02:21:47ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352023-01-014447637114Application of Random Forest Algorithm in Xijiang River Flood ForecastingLIU HechangZHAO BohuaSUN BoBased on the measured flood data from 1952 to 2005 in Qianjiang Station,Liuzhou Station,and Wuxuan Station of Xijiang River,this paper selects the characteristic factors of flood forecasting by analyzing the correlation of flood flow at upstream and downstream stations.Meanwhile,the random forest algorithm is adopted to build a flood forecasting model for Wuxuan Station.The results are as follows.The certainty coefficients of the 12~48 h flood process in the studied station during the calibration period are more than 0.98 with the pass rates more than 98%.Additionally,the certainty coefficients of the 12~24 h flood process during the verification period are more than 0.72,with a pass rate of more than 82%.Thus,the proposed model has high forecast accuracy and little uncertainty and can provide a reference for flood forecasting methods.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2023.10.014flood forecastingrandom forest algorithmcorrelation analysisdata miningforecast characteristic factors
spellingShingle LIU Hechang
ZHAO Bohua
SUN Bo
Application of Random Forest Algorithm in Xijiang River Flood Forecasting
Renmin Zhujiang
flood forecasting
random forest algorithm
correlation analysis
data mining
forecast characteristic factors
title Application of Random Forest Algorithm in Xijiang River Flood Forecasting
title_full Application of Random Forest Algorithm in Xijiang River Flood Forecasting
title_fullStr Application of Random Forest Algorithm in Xijiang River Flood Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Application of Random Forest Algorithm in Xijiang River Flood Forecasting
title_short Application of Random Forest Algorithm in Xijiang River Flood Forecasting
title_sort application of random forest algorithm in xijiang river flood forecasting
topic flood forecasting
random forest algorithm
correlation analysis
data mining
forecast characteristic factors
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2023.10.014
work_keys_str_mv AT liuhechang applicationofrandomforestalgorithminxijiangriverfloodforecasting
AT zhaobohua applicationofrandomforestalgorithminxijiangriverfloodforecasting
AT sunbo applicationofrandomforestalgorithminxijiangriverfloodforecasting