Estimation of economic loss by earthquakes in Taiwan Region

Abstract Earthquakes in the Taiwan region have caused significant economic losses. We develop a model to assess seismic economic losses in the Taiwan region using the records of economic losses caused by historical earthquakes. Unlike existing models, we introduce Gross National Income Per Capita (G...

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Main Authors: Yang Shi, Yilong Li, Zhenguo Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-11-01
Series:npj Natural Hazards
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-024-00030-x
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author Yang Shi
Yilong Li
Zhenguo Zhang
author_facet Yang Shi
Yilong Li
Zhenguo Zhang
author_sort Yang Shi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Earthquakes in the Taiwan region have caused significant economic losses. We develop a model to assess seismic economic losses in the Taiwan region using the records of economic losses caused by historical earthquakes. Unlike existing models, we introduce Gross National Income Per Capita (GNIPC) as a parameter that responds to the influence of socio-economic development. The results show that our model can accurately estimate the earthquake economic losses in Taiwan region. The difference between the results of this model and those of existing models is evident, indicating differences between the Taiwan region and mainland China regarding geological background, seismic tectonics, and social resistance to earthquakes. The prediction results also imply that the society significantly underestimates the seismic economic losses in the Taiwan region. Our model can help the Taiwan region in disaster prevention and preparedness, contingency planning, allocation of relief resources, and post-disaster socio-economic recovery.
format Article
id doaj-art-0a3803cccadc4d8f88bebb41782a113a
institution Kabale University
issn 2948-2100
language English
publishDate 2024-11-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series npj Natural Hazards
spelling doaj-art-0a3803cccadc4d8f88bebb41782a113a2024-11-10T12:08:39ZengNature Portfolionpj Natural Hazards2948-21002024-11-01111810.1038/s44304-024-00030-xEstimation of economic loss by earthquakes in Taiwan RegionYang Shi0Yilong Li1Zhenguo Zhang2Department of Earth and Space Sciences, Southern University of Science and TechnologySchool of National Safety and Emergency Management, Beijing Normal UniversityDepartment of Earth and Space Sciences, Southern University of Science and TechnologyAbstract Earthquakes in the Taiwan region have caused significant economic losses. We develop a model to assess seismic economic losses in the Taiwan region using the records of economic losses caused by historical earthquakes. Unlike existing models, we introduce Gross National Income Per Capita (GNIPC) as a parameter that responds to the influence of socio-economic development. The results show that our model can accurately estimate the earthquake economic losses in Taiwan region. The difference between the results of this model and those of existing models is evident, indicating differences between the Taiwan region and mainland China regarding geological background, seismic tectonics, and social resistance to earthquakes. The prediction results also imply that the society significantly underestimates the seismic economic losses in the Taiwan region. Our model can help the Taiwan region in disaster prevention and preparedness, contingency planning, allocation of relief resources, and post-disaster socio-economic recovery.https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-024-00030-x
spellingShingle Yang Shi
Yilong Li
Zhenguo Zhang
Estimation of economic loss by earthquakes in Taiwan Region
npj Natural Hazards
title Estimation of economic loss by earthquakes in Taiwan Region
title_full Estimation of economic loss by earthquakes in Taiwan Region
title_fullStr Estimation of economic loss by earthquakes in Taiwan Region
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of economic loss by earthquakes in Taiwan Region
title_short Estimation of economic loss by earthquakes in Taiwan Region
title_sort estimation of economic loss by earthquakes in taiwan region
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-024-00030-x
work_keys_str_mv AT yangshi estimationofeconomiclossbyearthquakesintaiwanregion
AT yilongli estimationofeconomiclossbyearthquakesintaiwanregion
AT zhenguozhang estimationofeconomiclossbyearthquakesintaiwanregion