Global disease burden analysis of Cardiometabolic disease attributable to second-hand smoke exposure from 1990 to 2040
Objective: Secondhand smoke (SHS) is a strong but comparatively controllable cardiometabolic risk factor. This study aims to assess the present and future burden of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) from SHS exposure. Methods: Using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) framework, we examined mortality a...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-03-01
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| Series: | American Journal of Preventive Cardiology |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266666772400271X |
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| author | Yan Liu Yi Gao Guangcan Yan Yige Liu Wei Tian Yiying Zhang Shanjie Wang Bo Yu |
| author_facet | Yan Liu Yi Gao Guangcan Yan Yige Liu Wei Tian Yiying Zhang Shanjie Wang Bo Yu |
| author_sort | Yan Liu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Objective: Secondhand smoke (SHS) is a strong but comparatively controllable cardiometabolic risk factor. This study aims to assess the present and future burden of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) from SHS exposure. Methods: Using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) framework, we examined mortality and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) from CMDs attributable to SHS, by age, sex, and year, including cardiovascular disease [CVD, ischemic heart disease (IHD) and/or stroke], and/or Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) from 1990 to 2019. The predicted death number and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) from 2020 to 2040 were estimated by the Bayesian age-period cohort (BAPC) model. Results: SHS exposure declined until 2016 but stabilized or increased thereafter. From 1990 to 2019, CMD-related deaths and DALYs due to SHS are continuously increasing, particularly in low-middle and middle Sociodemographic Index (SDI) regions. In 2019, a significant proportion of CMD-related deaths and DALYs among females under 65 were attributed to SHS exposure. In females aged 25–29, SHS contributed to 16.12 % and 13.30 % of IHD and T2DM deaths, respectively. Surprisingly, forecasts show that annual deaths from IHD, stroke, and T2DM related to SHS exposure are anticipated to rise over the next 20 years. Conclusions: SHS exposure has stopped declining in recent years. CMD-related deaths from controlled SHS have increased and are predicted to rise substantially over the next 20 years. Reducing SHS exposure could have major benefits for cardiometabolic health worldwide, especially for women under 65 years in less developed regions. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-09ac92fbb7e84607b533c053b737831f |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2666-6677 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-03-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | American Journal of Preventive Cardiology |
| spelling | doaj-art-09ac92fbb7e84607b533c053b737831f2024-12-06T05:15:03ZengElsevierAmerican Journal of Preventive Cardiology2666-66772025-03-0121100902Global disease burden analysis of Cardiometabolic disease attributable to second-hand smoke exposure from 1990 to 2040Yan Liu0Yi Gao1Guangcan Yan2Yige Liu3Wei Tian4Yiying Zhang5Shanjie Wang6Bo Yu7Department of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China; The Key Laboratory of Myocardial Ischemia, Chinese Ministry of Education, National Key Laboratory of Frigid Zone Cardiovascular Diseases, Harbin, China; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Jiamusi University, Jiamusi, ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Jiamusi University, Jiamusi, ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, ChinaDepartment of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China; The Key Laboratory of Myocardial Ischemia, Chinese Ministry of Education, National Key Laboratory of Frigid Zone Cardiovascular Diseases, Harbin, ChinaDepartment of Cell Biology, Harbin Medical University, No. 157 Baojian Road, Harbin 150081, ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Jiamusi University, Jiamusi, China; Corresponding author at: 258 Xuefu Road, Xiangyang District, 154007 Jiamusi, China.Department of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China; The Key Laboratory of Myocardial Ischemia, Chinese Ministry of Education, National Key Laboratory of Frigid Zone Cardiovascular Diseases, Harbin, China; Corresponding authors at: 246 Xuefu Road, Nangang District, 150086 Harbin, China.Department of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China; The Key Laboratory of Myocardial Ischemia, Chinese Ministry of Education, National Key Laboratory of Frigid Zone Cardiovascular Diseases, Harbin, ChinaObjective: Secondhand smoke (SHS) is a strong but comparatively controllable cardiometabolic risk factor. This study aims to assess the present and future burden of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) from SHS exposure. Methods: Using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) framework, we examined mortality and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) from CMDs attributable to SHS, by age, sex, and year, including cardiovascular disease [CVD, ischemic heart disease (IHD) and/or stroke], and/or Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) from 1990 to 2019. The predicted death number and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) from 2020 to 2040 were estimated by the Bayesian age-period cohort (BAPC) model. Results: SHS exposure declined until 2016 but stabilized or increased thereafter. From 1990 to 2019, CMD-related deaths and DALYs due to SHS are continuously increasing, particularly in low-middle and middle Sociodemographic Index (SDI) regions. In 2019, a significant proportion of CMD-related deaths and DALYs among females under 65 were attributed to SHS exposure. In females aged 25–29, SHS contributed to 16.12 % and 13.30 % of IHD and T2DM deaths, respectively. Surprisingly, forecasts show that annual deaths from IHD, stroke, and T2DM related to SHS exposure are anticipated to rise over the next 20 years. Conclusions: SHS exposure has stopped declining in recent years. CMD-related deaths from controlled SHS have increased and are predicted to rise substantially over the next 20 years. Reducing SHS exposure could have major benefits for cardiometabolic health worldwide, especially for women under 65 years in less developed regions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266666772400271XSecond-hand smokeGlobal disease burdenCardiometabolic diseaseBayesian age-period-cohort |
| spellingShingle | Yan Liu Yi Gao Guangcan Yan Yige Liu Wei Tian Yiying Zhang Shanjie Wang Bo Yu Global disease burden analysis of Cardiometabolic disease attributable to second-hand smoke exposure from 1990 to 2040 American Journal of Preventive Cardiology Second-hand smoke Global disease burden Cardiometabolic disease Bayesian age-period-cohort |
| title | Global disease burden analysis of Cardiometabolic disease attributable to second-hand smoke exposure from 1990 to 2040 |
| title_full | Global disease burden analysis of Cardiometabolic disease attributable to second-hand smoke exposure from 1990 to 2040 |
| title_fullStr | Global disease burden analysis of Cardiometabolic disease attributable to second-hand smoke exposure from 1990 to 2040 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global disease burden analysis of Cardiometabolic disease attributable to second-hand smoke exposure from 1990 to 2040 |
| title_short | Global disease burden analysis of Cardiometabolic disease attributable to second-hand smoke exposure from 1990 to 2040 |
| title_sort | global disease burden analysis of cardiometabolic disease attributable to second hand smoke exposure from 1990 to 2040 |
| topic | Second-hand smoke Global disease burden Cardiometabolic disease Bayesian age-period-cohort |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266666772400271X |
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