Burden of diseases attributable to excess body weight in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019 by Saeid Safiri, Jessica A. Grieger, Amir Ghaffari Jolfayi, Seyed Ehsan Mousavi, Seyed Aria Nejadghaderi, Asra Fazlollahi, Mark J. M. Sullman, Nahid Karamzad, Fikrettin Sahin, Kuljit Singh, Gary S. Collins, Ali-Asghar Kolahi

“…The burden was reported in terms of numbers, proportions, and age-standardised rates per 100,000, accompanied by corresponding 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Results In 2019, there were an estimated 5.0 million deaths (95% UI: 3.2–7.1) and 160.3 million DALYs (106.0–218.9) attributable to EBW worldwide. …”
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Introducing a Coopetition Model for Domestic Airlines in Iran by Saedeh Ghayourisales, Mohsen Nazari, Mohammadali Shahhoseini

“…As a result of shifts in both internal and external landscapes, along with the swift advancements in technology encapsulated by the term VUCA (signifying volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity), the conventional dichotomy of pure competition or complete cooperation has diminished in its efficacy. …”
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Forecasting contrail climate forcing for flight planning and air traffic management applications: the CocipGrid model in pycontrails 0.51.0 by Z. Engberg, R. Teoh, T. Abbott, T. Dean, M. E. J. Stettler, M. L. Shapiro

“…We also demonstrate a probabilistic formulation of the grid-based CoCiP by running it with ensemble meteorology and excluding grid cells with significant uncertainties in the simulated EF<span class="inline-formula">_contrail</span>. …”
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Protocol for the economic evaluation of metacognitive therapy for cardiac rehabilitation participants with symptoms of anxiety and/or depression by Patrick Doherty, David Reeves, Gemma E Shields, Adrian Wells, Lora Capobianco, Anthony Heagerty, Deborah Buck, Linda M Davies

“…Sensitivity analysis will explore uncertainty. Guidance of the methods for economic models will be followed and dissemination will adhere to reporting guidelines.Ethics and dissemination The economic evaluation includes a within-trial analysis. …”
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OMIC Technologies and Vaccine Development: From the Identification of Vulnerable Individuals to the Formulation of Invulnerable Vaccines by Nicola Cotugno, Alessandra Ruggiero, Veronica Santilli, Emma Concetta Manno, Salvatore Rocca, Sonia Zicari, Donato Amodio, Manuela Colucci, Paolo Rossi, Ofer Levy, Federico Martinon-Torres, Andrew J. Pollard, Paolo Palma

“…In addition, these groups are undervaccinated for a number of reasons, including lack of awareness of vaccine-preventable diseases and uncertainty or misconceptions about the safety and efficacy of vaccination by parents and healthcare providers. …”
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Exploring the epidemiological impact of attractive targeted sugar bait against malaria in combination with standard malaria control by Nima R. Moghaddas, Mohamed M. Traore, Gunter C. Müller, Joseph Wagman, Javan Chanda, Julian Entwistle, Christen M. Fornadel, Thomas S. Churcher

“…For example, observing a dyed fraction of 5% would indicate a daily bait-feeding rate of 0.024 (range 0.008–0.049) which is projected to result in 0.13 clinical cases averted per person-year (range 0.051–0.22), a 39% efficacy (range 12–66%) in this particular site. Nevertheless, the uncertainty in the relationship between the observed dyed fraction and the true bait-feeding rate, and the underlying biology of mosquito sugar-feeding means that the epidemiological benefit of this new possible intervention remains unclear.…”
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Species richness is not a good predictor for above-ground biomass in a warm temperate deciduous broadleaf forest by Chunmei He, Yushan Li, Xiaoxia Dai, Na Liu, Fangfang Wu, Jiangbo Yan, Meiping Gao, Yonghui Liang, Zuoqiang Yuan, Zhanqing Hao, Qiulong Yin

“…Although there is increasing empirical evidence supporting the positive impact of biodiversity on forest productivity and biomass, there is still uncertainty about the relative importance of tree diversity in determining carbon storage compared to other factors such as environmental conditions, functional characteristics and stand structure, especially in complex forest ecosystems. …”
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Adaptations to the welsh national exercise referral scheme during the COVID-19 pandemic: a qualitative study exploring the experiences of service users and providers and supplement... by Katie Newby, Neil Howlett, Adam P. Wagner, Nigel Lloyd, Imogen Freethy, Charis Bontoft, Olujoke Fakoya, Shelley Jackson, Carla Jackson, Wendy Wills, Mary-Ann McKibben, Annie Petherick, Katherine E. Brown

“…Themes included: opaqueness and uncertainty around referral; Exercise Referral Professionals allaying concerns and providing reassurance at scheme entry; the mixed appeal and accessibility of virtual delivery; factors that support ongoing engagement; and personal and financial circumstances restricting uptake and engagement. …”
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The benefits and trade-offs of multi-variable calibration of the WaterGAP global hydrological model (WGHM) in the Ganges and Brahmaputra basins by H. M. M. Hasan, P. Döll, P. Döll, S.-M. Hosseini-Moghari, F. Papa, A. Güntner, A. Güntner

“…<p>While global hydrological models (GHMs) are affected by large uncertainties regarding model structure, forcing and calibration data, and parameters, observations of model output variables are rarely used to calibrate the model. …”
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Estimated Aerosol Health and Radiative Effects of the Residential Coal Ban in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region of China by Kelsey R. Bilsback, Jill Baumgartner, Michael Cheeseman, Bonne Ford, John K. Kodros, Xiaoying Li, Emily Ramnarine, Shu Tao, Yuanxun Zhang, Ellison Carter, Jeffrey R Pierce

“…Additionally, we estimate that the residential-coal-ban scenarios will result in a positive top-of-the-atmosphere aerosol direct radiative effect (DRE) (model domain average: Beijing-off: 0.023 W m−2; Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei-off: 0.30 W m−2) and a negligible cloud-albedo aerosol indirect effect (AIE) (Beijing-off: 0.0001 W m−2; Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei-off: 0.0027 W m−2). To evaluate the uncertainty of the radiative effects, we calculated the DRE under four black-carbon mixing-state assumptions and both the DRE and AIE assuming three different black-carbon-to-organic-aerosol (BC:OA) ratios for residential-coal emissions. …”
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Global, regional and national sodium intakes in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis of 24 h urinary sodium excretion and dietary surveys worldwide by J Lennert Veerman, Sarah Lewis, John Britton, Bruce Neal, Kathryn G Andrews, Goodarz Danaei, Majid Ezzati, Yanping Li, Yu Chen, Farshad Farzadfar, Jean-Michel Gaspoz, Idris Guessous, Lital Keinan-Boker, Paul Elliott, Carukshi Arambepola, Antonia Trichopoulou, Philippos Orfanos, Martin C Gulliford, Renata Micha, Dariush Mozaffarian, Wen-Harn Pan, Shoichiro Tsugane, Habibul Ahsan, Manami Inoue, Luz Maria Sanchez-Romero, Andrew Fogarty, Christos Pitsavos, Edward Giovannucci, Stefaan De Henauw, Stephen S Lim, Cho-il Kim, Inge Huybrechts, Didier Garriguet, Simón Barquera, Katia Castetbon, Neville Calleja, Peilin Shi, Hsing-Yi Chang, Yasuhiro Matsumura, Hubert Barennes, Guansheng Ma, Shahab Khatibzadeh, Saman Fahimi, John Powles, Morteza Abdollahi, Anahita Houshiar-rad, Eda Koksal, Sahar Zaghloul, Sirje Vaask, Ana Baylin, Simon Forsyth, Rosely Sichieri, Christian Haerpfer, Ian Brown, Demosthenes B Panagiotakos, Jacqui Webster, Androniki Naska, Dorothy Gauci, Rebecca E Engell, Tim E Byers, Stephanie Smith-Warner, Ibrahim Elmadfa, Mayuree Rao, Pamela A Abbott, Enrique O Abeyá Gilardon, Suad N Al-Hooti, Wulf Becker, Peter Bjerregaard, Lesley T Bourne, Mario V Capanzana, Melanie J Cowan, Dulitha N Fernando, Regina M Fisberg, Brahmam NV Ginnela, Wilbur Hadden, Daniel J Hoffman, Nahla C Hwalla, Hajah Masni Ibrahim, Maria D Jackson, Lars Johansson, Hae-Jeung Lee, Chan Mei Fen, Gert BM Mensink, Rafael A Monge-Rojas, Balakrishna Nagalla, Marga C Ocke, Maciej Oltarzewski, Marja-Leena Ovaskainen, Gulden Ayla Pekcan, Stefka Petrova, Noppawan Piaseu, Leanne M Riley, Rusidah BT Selamat, Chansimaly Simmala, Laufey Steingrimsdottir, Gillian Swan, Lucjan Szponar, Heli Tapanainen, Robert Templeton, Anastasia Thanopoulou, Holmfridur Thorgeirsdóttir, Inga Thorsdottir, Aida Turrini, Nowak Verena, Anna Waskiewicz, Gábor Zajkás, Shadi Kalantarian, Pattra Wirojratana, Mary Anne Land, Tricia McKeever, Mohannad Abed Alfattah Al Nsour, Medical Science, Heléne Enghardt Barbieri, Aida Filipovic Hadziomeragic, Nur Indrawaty Lipoeto, Stephen T. McGarvey, Abdulrahman Obaid. Musaiger, Luz Gladys. Posada, Elz˙bieta Halina. Sygnowska

“…Dietary estimates were converted to urine equivalents based on 79 pairs of dual measurements.Modelling methods Bayesian hierarchical modelling used survey data and their characteristics to estimate mean sodium intake, by sex, 5 years age group and associated uncertainty for persons aged 20+ in 187 countries in 1990 and 2010. …”
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Deciphering the effect of exercise timing on glucose metabolism: a randomised controlled trial by Fabienne Bruggisser, Denis Infanger, Henner Hanssen, Raphael Knaier

“…Yet, these effects were accompanied by considerable uncertainty. Pairwise comparisons of the exercise groups showed varying magnitudes of differences in AUC, likewise accompanied by considerable uncertainty. …”
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Remote-sensing-based forest canopy height mapping: some models are useful, but might they provide us with even more insights when combined? by N. Besic, N. Picard, C. Vega, J.-D. Bontemps, L. Hertzog, J.-P. Renaud, J.-P. Renaud, F. Fogel, M. Schwartz, A. Pellissier-Tanon, G. Destouet, F. Mortier, F. Mortier, M. Planells-Rodriguez, P. Ciais

“…This has resulted in the availability of multiple, sometimes conflicting, sources of information, but, at face value, it also makes it possible to learn about forest attribute uncertainty through the joint interpretation of multiple models. …”
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Geometrical Distances of Extragalactic Binaries through Spectroastrometry by Yu-Yang Songsheng, Jian-Min Wang, Yuan Cao, XueFei Chen, JianPing Xiong, Zhi-Xiang Zhang, Rong-Gen Cai

“…For a typical eclipsing binary in the Large Magellanic Cloud, the distance uncertainty is approximately 6% under reasonable observational conditions. …”
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The matricellular protein Fibulin-5 regulates β-cell proliferation in an autocrine/paracrine manner by Tomoko Okuyama, Takahiro Tsuno, Ryota Inoue, Setsuko Fukushima, Mayu Kyohara, Anzu Matsumura, Daisuke Miyashita, Kuniyuki Nishiyama, Yusuke Takano, Yu Togashi, Makiko Meguro-Horike, Shin-ichi Horike, Tatsuya Kin, A.M. James Shapiro, Hiromi Yanagisawa, Yasuo Terauchi, Jun Shirakawa

“…Summary: The matricellular protein Fibulin-5 (Fbln5) is a secreted protein that is essential for elastic fiber formation, and pancreatic islets are usually surrounded by the extracellular matrix (ECM), which includes elastic fibers. However, much uncertainty remains regarding the function of the ECM and its components in β-cells. …”
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Enhancing Diagnostic Accuracy of Lung Nodules in Chest Computed Tomography Using Artificial Intelligence: Retrospective Analysis by Weiqi Liu, You Wu, Zhuozhao Zheng, Mark Bittle, Wei Yu, Hadi Kharrazi

“… BackgroundUncertainty in the diagnosis of lung nodules is a challenge for both patients and physicians. …”
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Temperature-dependent toxicity and mechanisms of florfenicol on the embryonic development of marine medaka (Oryzias melastigma) by Xingying Guo, Xu Gong, Jinhui Wang, Tan-Duc Nguyen, Syed Shabi Ul Hassan Kazmi, Jiezhang Mo, Feng Hua, Wenhua Liu, Zhen Wang

“…The frequent occurrence of extreme weather due to climate change has also increased the uncertainty of effective toxicity identification and risk assessment of the chemicals of concern. …”
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The prevalence and associated disability burden of mental disorders in children and adolescents in China: a systematic analysis of data from the Global Burden of Disease StudyResea... by Wanyue Dong, Yunning Liu, Ruhai Bai, Lei Zhang, Maigeng Zhou

“…Findings: In 2021, the age-standardized prevalence of mental disorders in children and adolescents was 8.9% (uncertainty intervals [UI]: 8.1, 9.8) in China, accounting for 30.8 million cases (26.0, 36.3) and 2.8 million DALYs (2.0, 3.7). …”
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AI-based analysis of fetal growth restriction in a prospective obstetric cohort quantifies compound risks for perinatal morbidity and mortality and identifies previously unrecogniz... by Raquel M. Zimmerman, Edgar J. Hernandez, Mark Yandell, Martin Tristani-Firouzi, Robert M. Silver, William Grobman, David Haas, George Saade, Jonathan Steller, Nathan R. Blue

“…Abstract Background Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is a leading risk factor for stillbirth, yet the diagnosis of FGR confers considerable prognostic uncertainty, as most infants with FGR do not experience any morbidity. …”
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Dust Scattering Albedo at Millimeter Wavelengths in the TW Hya Disk by Tomohiro C. Yoshida, Hideko Nomura, Takashi Tsukagoshi, Kiyoaki Doi, Kenji Furuya, Akimasa Kataoka

“…We also note that the absolute flux uncertainty of ~10% (1 σ ) is measured and used in the analysis, which is approximately twice the usually assumed value.…”
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