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A Model of High Latitude Ionospheric Convection Derived From SuperDARN EOF Model Data
Published 2023-07-01Subjects: Get full text
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123
Employing the Coupled EUHFORIA‐OpenGGCM Model to Predict CME Geoeffectiveness
Published 2024-05-01Subjects: “…solar wind/magnetosphere interactions…”
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124
Magnetopause Standoff Position Changes and Geosynchronous Orbit Crossings: Models and Observations
Published 2023-06-01“…The magnetopause position prediction and response time to the solar wind changes is then compared to extreme solar wind conditions where magnetopause crossing of geosynchronous orbit have been observed by the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) satellites. …”
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125
Quantifying the Uncertainty in CME Kinematics Derived From Geometric Modeling of Heliospheric Imager Data
Published 2022-01-01“…We use a large number of Cone CME simulations with the HUXt solar wind model to quantify the scale of uncertainty introduced into geometric modeling and the ELEvoHI CME arrival times by solar wind structure. …”
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126
Investigating Potential Causes for the Prediction of Spurious Magnetopause Crossings at Geosynchronous Orbit in MHD Simulations
Published 2023-06-01“…Spacecraft operators turn to numerical models to predict the response of the magnetopause to solar wind conditions, but the predictions of the models are not always accurate. …”
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SIR‐HUXt—A Particle Filter Data Assimilation Scheme for CME Time‐Elongation Profiles
Published 2023-06-01“…The idealized scenario studied here likely enhances SIR‐HUXt's performance relative to the challenge of simulating real‐world CMEs and solar wind conditions. Future work should validate SIR‐HUXt with case studies of real CMEs in structured solar wind.…”
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128
Thermosphere‐Ionosphere Modeling With Forecastable Inputs: Case Study of the June 2012 High‐Speed Stream Geomagnetic Storm
Published 2020-02-01“…We adopt an approach to drive the models with solar wind parameters and the 10.7 cm solar radio flux. …”
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129
A Framework for Understanding and Quantifying the Loss and Acceleration of Relativistic Electrons in the Outer Radiation Belt During Geomagnetic Storms
Published 2020-05-01“…During the second phase, radiation belt enhancements are well organized by the amplitude of ultralow frequency waves, the auroral electroject index, and solar wind energy input. Overall, our results demonstrate that storm time dynamics of the RBC is repeatable and well characterized by solar wind and geomagnetic driving, albeit with different dependencies during the two phases of a storm.…”
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130
Geosynchronous Magnetopause Crossings and Their Relationships With Magnetic Storms and Substorms
Published 2021-06-01“…The difference might be explained by the different behavior of the solar wind velocity.…”
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131
Space Weather Forecasts of Ground Level Space Weather in the UK: Evaluating Performance and Limitations
Published 2024-11-01“…Abstract Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) are a severe space weather hazard, driven through coupling between the solar wind and magnetosphere. GICs are rarely measured directly, instead the ground magnetic field variability is often used as a proxy. …”
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132
Sensitivity of Model Estimates of CME Propagation and Arrival Time to Inner Boundary Conditions
Published 2023-04-01“…For the 12 December 2008 Earth‐directed CME event, we compute ensembles using the HUXt solar wind model to analyze CME distortion with a structured solar wind and explore hindcast arrival time error (ATE). …”
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133
Forecasting the Probability of Large Rates of Change of the Geomagnetic Field in the UK: Timescales, Horizons, and Thresholds
Published 2021-09-01“…We attribute this to the use of propagated solar wind data not allowing the models notice to forecast impulsive phenomenon. …”
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134
Meeting Report: International Magnetosphere Coupling IV (IMC‐IV) Workshop GFZ‐Potsdam, Germany, 2–7 June 2024
Published 2025-01-01“…Abstract The International Magnetospheric Coupling (IMC‐IV) Workshop was held from 2–7 June 2024, at GFZ‐Potsdam, Germany and convened over 140 scientists to explore the solar wind and magnetosphere‐ionosphere‐thermosphere coupling. …”
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Large Geomagnetically Induced Currents at Equator Caused by an Interplanetary Magnetic Cloud
Published 2022-06-01“…Abstract Here, we report a rare observation of an extremely large and rapid change of geomagnetic field (dB/dt), a proxy for the geomagnetically induced currents (GICs), at the equator caused by a sudden drop in solar wind density at the front boundary of a magnetic cloud (MC) during the great 31 March 2001 storm. …”
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MHD‐Test Particles Simulations of Moderate CME and CIR‐Driven Geomagnetic Storms at Solar Minimum
Published 2021-12-01“…Abstract As part of the Whole Heliosphere and Planetary Interactions initiative, contrasting drivers of radiation belt electron response at solar minimum have been investigated with MHD‐test particle simulations for the May 13–14, 2019 Coronal Mass Ejection (CME)‐shock event and the August 30–September 3, 2019 high speed solar wind interval. Both solar wind drivers produced moderate geomagnetic storms characterized by a minimum Dst = −65 nT and −52 nT, respectively, with the August ‐ September event accompanied by prolonged substorm activity. …”
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Probabilistic Forecasting of Ground Magnetic Perturbation Spikes at Mid‐Latitude Stations
Published 2023-06-01“…Overall, we find that the models using both the solar wind and ground magnetometer data had better metric scores than the solar wind only and persistence models, and was able to capture more spatially localized variations in the dB/dt threshold crossings.…”
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138
Predictive Capabilities of Corotating Interaction Regions Using STEREO and Wind In‐Situ Observations
Published 2022-07-01“…Abstract Solar wind stream interaction regions (SIRs) and corotating interaction regions (CIRs) can cause geomagnetic storms and change energetic particle environment, ionospheric composition on Earth. …”
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139
Relativistic Electron Model in the Outer Radiation Belt Using a Neural Network Approach
Published 2021-12-01“…The Outer RadIation belt Electron Neural net model for Relativistic electrons (ORIENT‐R) uses only solar wind conditions and geomagnetic indices as input. …”
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Calculating the High‐Latitude Ionospheric Electrodynamics Using a Machine Learning‐Based Field‐Aligned Current Model
Published 2024-04-01“…ML‐AIM is unique and innovative because it predicts ionospheric responses to the time‐varying solar wind and geomagnetic conditions, while the other traditional empirical models like Weimer (2005, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004ja010884) designed to provide a quasi‐static ionospheric condition under quasi‐steady solar wind/IMF conditions. …”
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