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161
Modeling Climate‐Driven Vegetation Changes Under Contrasting Temperate and Arid Conditions in the Mediterranean Basin
Published 2025-01-01“…Using WorldClim's CMCC‐ESM2 climate model, future vegetation distribution was predicted for 2050 and 2080 under SSP 245 (optimistic) and 585 (pessimistic) scenarios. …”
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162
The very-high-resolution configuration of the EC-Earth global model for HighResMIP
Published 2025-01-01“…<p>We present the very-high-resolution (VHR) version of the EC-Earth global climate model, EC-Earth3P-VHR, developed for HighResMIP. …”
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163
Preindustrial-to-present-day changes in atmospheric carbon monoxide: agreement and gaps between ice archives and global model reconstructions
Published 2025-01-01“…<p>Global chemistry–climate models (CCMs) play an important role in assessing the climate and air pollution implications of aerosols and chemically reactive gases. …”
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164
Causes of growing middle-to-upper tropospheric ozone over the northwest Pacific region
Published 2025-01-01“…This study aims to address these gaps by analyzing O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> soundings at four sites along the northwestern Pacific coastal region over the past 3 decades and by assessing their consistency with an atmospheric chemistry–climate model simulation. Utilizing the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Hamburg (ECHAM)/Modular Earth Submodel System (MESSy) Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) nudged simulations, it is demonstrated that trends between model and ozonesonde measurements are overall consistent, thereby gaining confidence in the model's ability to simulate O<span class="inline-formula"><sub>3</sub></span> trends and confirming the utility of potentially imperfect observational data. …”
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165
Impact of mineral dust on the global nitrate aerosol direct and indirect radiative effect
Published 2025-01-01“…For this purpose, multiyear simulations nudged towards the observed atmospheric circulation were performed with the global atmospheric chemistry and climate model EMAC, while the thermodynamics of the interactions between inorganic aerosols and mineral dust were simulated with the thermodynamic equilibrium model ISORROPIA-lite. …”
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166
Bias-corrected high-resolution temperature and precipitation projections for Canada
Published 2025-02-01“…The SPQM-CMIP6-CAN database encompasses 693 simulations derived from 34 diverse climate models for precipitation. Similarly, for temperature projections, our database comprises 581 simulations from 27 climate models. …”
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167
Epistemic Uncertainties in Climate Predictions: A Challenge for Practical Decision Making
Published 2009-10-01“…Most scientists agree that, at least for the time being, unquantified uncertainties are inevitably connected to predictions of climate models. Uncertainties, however, do not justify political inaction. …”
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168
A hybrid ice-mélange model based on particle and continuum methods
Published 2025-01-01“…However, ice mélange has not been represented in climate models because numerically efficient realizations do not exist. …”
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169
Emergent constraints on global soil moisture projections under climate change
Published 2025-01-01“…Such projections are mostly based on climate models, which show large uncertainty (i.e., inter-model spread) partly due to inadequate observational constraint. …”
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170
Emergence of the North Pacific heat storage pattern delayed by decadal wind-driven redistribution
Published 2025-01-01“…Abstract Storage of anthropogenic heat in the oceans is spatially inhomogeneous, impacting regional climates and human societies. Climate models project enhanced heat storage in the mid-latitude North Pacific (MNP) and much weaker storage in the tropical Pacific. …”
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171
Unsupervised Classification of Global Temperature Profiles Based on Gaussian Mixture Models
Published 2025-01-01“…The results highlight the significant roles of ocean currents, climatic phenomena, and ecological factors in temperature distribution, providing insights for ocean circulation studies, climate modeling, and marine biodiversity conservation. …”
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172
Evaluation of biases in mid-to-high-latitude surface snowfall and cloud phase in ERA5 and CMIP6 using satellite observations
Published 2025-01-01“…Understanding the origin(s) of the biases identified here is, therefore, crucial for improving the overall reliability of climate models.</p>…”
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173
Technical note: Recommendations for diagnosing cloud feedbacks and rapid cloud adjustments using cloud radiative kernels
Published 2025-02-01“…Here, we provide a methodology for properly diagnosing the impact of changing obscuration on cloud feedbacks and adjustments and quantify these effects across climate models. Averaged globally and across global climate models, properly accounting for obscuration leads to weaker positive feedbacks from lower-level clouds and stronger positive feedbacks from upper-level clouds while simultaneously removing a mostly artificial anti-correlation between them. …”
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174
What Will the European Climate Look Like in the Future? A Climate Analog Analysis Accounting for Dependencies Between Variables
Published 2025-01-01“…The agreement between climate models in the location and degree of similarity of the best analogs decreases as warming intensifies and/or as time approaches the end of the century. …”
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175
The surface tension and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) activation of sea spray aerosol particles
Published 2025-01-01“…For a quaternary model system of SSA particles, it is shown that high content of hydrophobic organic material (i.e. strong surfactants) in Aitken mode particles does not necessarily prevent good CCN activation but rather facilitates effective activation via surface tension lowering. Since common climate models use parameterizations that are based on classical Köhler theory, these results suggest that the CCN activity of small SSA particles might be underestimated in climate models.…”
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176
Future Changes in Winter‐Time Extratropical Cyclones Over South Africa From CORDEX‐CORE Simulations
Published 2025-01-01“…We utilized three regional climate models, each driven by three different global climate models that simulate both the current climate and a future climate experiencing strong human‐induced warming. …”
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177
Global surface eddy mixing ellipses: spatio-temporal variability and machine learning prediction
Published 2025-01-01“…Coarse-resolution climate models are sensitive to the specification of eddy diffusivity tensor. …”
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178
Design, evaluation, and future projections of the NARCliM2.0 CORDEX-CMIP6 Australasia regional climate ensemble
Published 2025-02-01“…<p>NARCliM2.0 (New South Wales and Australian Regional Climate Modelling) comprises two Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) regional climate models (RCMs) which downscale five Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) global climate models contributing to the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) over Australasia at 20 km resolution and southeast Australia at 4 km convection-permitting resolution. …”
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179
Attributing heatwave-related mortality to climate change: a case study of the 2009 Victorian heatwave in Australia
Published 2025-01-01“…Despite the small total number of attributable deaths as per the epidemiological model, six out of eight climate models predicted a statistically significant anthropogenic influence, indicating that climate change increased the heatwave-related mortality impact of this event. …”
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180
Western disturbances and climate variability: a review of recent developments
Published 2025-01-01“…Improvements in paleoclimate and future climate modelling experiments have helped to explain how WDs and their impacts over the Himalaya respond to large-scale natural and anthropogenic forcings. …”
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