THE PUBLIC DEBT OF UKRAINE: A NEW DIMENSION OF DYNAMICS AND ARCHITECTURE OF THE MODEL FRAMEWORK OF THE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM by Serhii Petrukha, Nina Petrukha, Roman Miakota

“…The purpose of the work is to provide a long-term assessment (up to 2029) of fiscal stability, taking into account the invariance of macroeconomic factors and forecasts - GDP growth rates, inflation, exchange rate and debt structure. …”
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Early Warning Model and Currency Crisis in the Iranian Economy A Probit Approach by Mohammadjavad Khosrosereshki, Yavar Dashtbany

“…Among the internal variables of the model, the variables of liquidity growth, exchange rate growth, foreign exchange reserve growth, oil income to GDP ratio, and sanctions are effective factors in predicting a currency crisis. GDP growth, the Brent crude oil growth, and the difference in exchange rate growth from the long-term trend are also more effective variables in reducing the possibility of currency crises. …”
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