Artificial Intelligence Models May Aid in Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with T1 Colorectal Cancer

Background/Aims: Inaccurate prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM) may lead to unnecessary surgery following endoscopic resection of T1 colorectal cancer (CRC). We aimed to validate the usefulness of artificial intelligence (AI) models for predicting LNM in patients with T1 CRC. Methods: We analy...

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Main Authors: Ji Eun Baek, Hahn Yi, Seung Wook Hong, Subin Song, Ji Young Lee, Sung Wook Hwang, Sang Hyoung Park, Dong-Hoon Yang, Byong Duk Ye, Seung-Jae Myung, Suk-Kyun Yang, Namkug Kim, Jeong-Sik Byeon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Gastroenterology Council for Gut and Liver 2025-01-01
Series:Gut and Liver
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Online Access:http://gutnliver.org/journal/view.html?doi=10.5009/gnl240273
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author Ji Eun Baek
Hahn Yi
Seung Wook Hong
Subin Song
Ji Young Lee
Sung Wook Hwang
Sang Hyoung Park
Dong-Hoon Yang
Byong Duk Ye
Seung-Jae Myung
Suk-Kyun Yang
Namkug Kim
Jeong-Sik Byeon
author_facet Ji Eun Baek
Hahn Yi
Seung Wook Hong
Subin Song
Ji Young Lee
Sung Wook Hwang
Sang Hyoung Park
Dong-Hoon Yang
Byong Duk Ye
Seung-Jae Myung
Suk-Kyun Yang
Namkug Kim
Jeong-Sik Byeon
author_sort Ji Eun Baek
collection DOAJ
description Background/Aims: Inaccurate prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM) may lead to unnecessary surgery following endoscopic resection of T1 colorectal cancer (CRC). We aimed to validate the usefulness of artificial intelligence (AI) models for predicting LNM in patients with T1 CRC. Methods: We analyzed the clinical data, laboratory results, pathological reports, and endoscopic findings of patients who underwent radical surgery for T1 CRC. We developed AI models to predict LNM using four algorithms: regularized logistic regression classifier (RLRC), random forest classifier (RFC), CatBoost classifier (CBC), and the voting classifier (VC). Four histological factors and four endoscopic findings were included to develop AI models. Areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROCs) were measured to distinguish AI model performance in accordance with the Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum guidelines. Results: Among 1,386 patients with T1 CRC, 173 patients (12.5%) had LNM. The AUROC values of the RLRC, RFC, CBC, and VC models for LNM prediction were significantly higher (0.673, 0.640, 0.679, and 0.677, respectively) than the 0.525 suggested in accordance with the Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum guidelines (vs RLRC, p<0.001; vs RFC, p=0.001; vs CBC, p<0.001; vs VC, p<0.001). The AUROC value was similar between T1 colon versus T1 rectal cancers (0.718 vs 0.615, p=0.700). The AUROC value was also similar between the initial endoscopic resection and initial surgery groups (0.581 vs 0.746, p=0.845). Conclusions: AI models trained on the basis of endoscopic findings and pathological features performed well in predicting LNM in patients with T1 CRC regardless of tumor location and initial treatment method.
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spelling doaj-art-ffb8a345172c4bc290ab876046a1a97f2025-01-15T00:51:13ZengGastroenterology Council for Gut and LiverGut and Liver1976-22832025-01-01191697610.5009/gnl240273gnl240273Artificial Intelligence Models May Aid in Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with T1 Colorectal CancerJi Eun Baek0Hahn Yi1Seung Wook Hong2Subin Song3Ji Young Lee4Sung Wook Hwang5Sang Hyoung Park6Dong-Hoon Yang7Byong Duk Ye8Seung-Jae Myung9Suk-Kyun Yang10Namkug Kim11Jeong-Sik Byeon12Department of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Convergence Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaHealth Screening and Promotion Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Convergence Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaBackground/Aims: Inaccurate prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM) may lead to unnecessary surgery following endoscopic resection of T1 colorectal cancer (CRC). We aimed to validate the usefulness of artificial intelligence (AI) models for predicting LNM in patients with T1 CRC. Methods: We analyzed the clinical data, laboratory results, pathological reports, and endoscopic findings of patients who underwent radical surgery for T1 CRC. We developed AI models to predict LNM using four algorithms: regularized logistic regression classifier (RLRC), random forest classifier (RFC), CatBoost classifier (CBC), and the voting classifier (VC). Four histological factors and four endoscopic findings were included to develop AI models. Areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROCs) were measured to distinguish AI model performance in accordance with the Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum guidelines. Results: Among 1,386 patients with T1 CRC, 173 patients (12.5%) had LNM. The AUROC values of the RLRC, RFC, CBC, and VC models for LNM prediction were significantly higher (0.673, 0.640, 0.679, and 0.677, respectively) than the 0.525 suggested in accordance with the Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum guidelines (vs RLRC, p<0.001; vs RFC, p=0.001; vs CBC, p<0.001; vs VC, p<0.001). The AUROC value was similar between T1 colon versus T1 rectal cancers (0.718 vs 0.615, p=0.700). The AUROC value was also similar between the initial endoscopic resection and initial surgery groups (0.581 vs 0.746, p=0.845). Conclusions: AI models trained on the basis of endoscopic findings and pathological features performed well in predicting LNM in patients with T1 CRC regardless of tumor location and initial treatment method.http://gutnliver.org/journal/view.html?doi=10.5009/gnl240273artificial intelligence; t1 colorectal cancer; lymph node metastasis
spellingShingle Ji Eun Baek
Hahn Yi
Seung Wook Hong
Subin Song
Ji Young Lee
Sung Wook Hwang
Sang Hyoung Park
Dong-Hoon Yang
Byong Duk Ye
Seung-Jae Myung
Suk-Kyun Yang
Namkug Kim
Jeong-Sik Byeon
Artificial Intelligence Models May Aid in Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with T1 Colorectal Cancer
Gut and Liver
artificial intelligence; t1 colorectal cancer; lymph node metastasis
title Artificial Intelligence Models May Aid in Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with T1 Colorectal Cancer
title_full Artificial Intelligence Models May Aid in Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with T1 Colorectal Cancer
title_fullStr Artificial Intelligence Models May Aid in Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with T1 Colorectal Cancer
title_full_unstemmed Artificial Intelligence Models May Aid in Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with T1 Colorectal Cancer
title_short Artificial Intelligence Models May Aid in Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with T1 Colorectal Cancer
title_sort artificial intelligence models may aid in predicting lymph node metastasis in patients with t1 colorectal cancer
topic artificial intelligence; t1 colorectal cancer; lymph node metastasis
url http://gutnliver.org/journal/view.html?doi=10.5009/gnl240273
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