Asymptotic stability analysis of a fractional epidemic model for Ebola virus disease in Caputo sense

In this work, a non-integer-order epidemic system modelling the nonlinear dynamics of Ebola virus disease is formulated in the sense of Caputo-ractional derivative. The existence and uniqueness of solution of the model is established. More importantly, the theoretical analysis carried out is aimed...

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Main Authors: Samson Olaniyi, Furaha M. Chuma, Sulaimon F. Abimbade
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences 2025-02-01
Series:Journal of Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences
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Online Access:https://journal.nsps.org.ng/index.php/jnsps/article/view/2304
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author Samson Olaniyi
Furaha M. Chuma
Sulaimon F. Abimbade
author_facet Samson Olaniyi
Furaha M. Chuma
Sulaimon F. Abimbade
author_sort Samson Olaniyi
collection DOAJ
description In this work, a non-integer-order epidemic system modelling the nonlinear dynamics of Ebola virus disease is formulated in the sense of Caputo-ractional derivative. The existence and uniqueness of solution of the model is established. More importantly, the theoretical analysis carried out is aimed at establishing the local and global asymptotic stability properties of the disease-free steady state of the epidemic model using the fractional Routh-Hurwitz criterion and Lyapunov functional technique, respectively. It is proved that the steady state is locally and globally asymptotically stable at the value of the key epidemiological threshold quantity lower than unity. The result is numerically validated for different values of fractional order to show the asymptotic behavior of the disease dynamics. This result is significant for fighting and preventing Ebola epidemic in the population, since the Caputo derivative operator allows for effective description of the disease dynamics with memory, where the future evolution of the disease is governed by its prior history.
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spelling doaj-art-fe7feb7aa553404fb2a28b3645f7264c2025-01-17T18:52:27ZengNigerian Society of Physical SciencesJournal of Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences2714-28172714-47042025-02-017110.46481/jnsps.2025.2304Asymptotic stability analysis of a fractional epidemic model for Ebola virus disease in Caputo senseSamson Olaniyi0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6492-1405Furaha M. Chuma1Sulaimon F. Abimbade2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1992-9560Department of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Ladoke Akintola University of Technology, Ogbomoso, NigeriaDepartment of Physics, Mathematics and Informatics, Dar es Salaam University College of Education, TanzaniaDepartment of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Ladoke Akintola University of Technology, Ogbomoso, Nigeria In this work, a non-integer-order epidemic system modelling the nonlinear dynamics of Ebola virus disease is formulated in the sense of Caputo-ractional derivative. The existence and uniqueness of solution of the model is established. More importantly, the theoretical analysis carried out is aimed at establishing the local and global asymptotic stability properties of the disease-free steady state of the epidemic model using the fractional Routh-Hurwitz criterion and Lyapunov functional technique, respectively. It is proved that the steady state is locally and globally asymptotically stable at the value of the key epidemiological threshold quantity lower than unity. The result is numerically validated for different values of fractional order to show the asymptotic behavior of the disease dynamics. This result is significant for fighting and preventing Ebola epidemic in the population, since the Caputo derivative operator allows for effective description of the disease dynamics with memory, where the future evolution of the disease is governed by its prior history. https://journal.nsps.org.ng/index.php/jnsps/article/view/2304Mathematical modelFractional orderCaputo derivative operatorEbola virus diseaseLyapunov stability
spellingShingle Samson Olaniyi
Furaha M. Chuma
Sulaimon F. Abimbade
Asymptotic stability analysis of a fractional epidemic model for Ebola virus disease in Caputo sense
Journal of Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences
Mathematical model
Fractional order
Caputo derivative operator
Ebola virus disease
Lyapunov stability
title Asymptotic stability analysis of a fractional epidemic model for Ebola virus disease in Caputo sense
title_full Asymptotic stability analysis of a fractional epidemic model for Ebola virus disease in Caputo sense
title_fullStr Asymptotic stability analysis of a fractional epidemic model for Ebola virus disease in Caputo sense
title_full_unstemmed Asymptotic stability analysis of a fractional epidemic model for Ebola virus disease in Caputo sense
title_short Asymptotic stability analysis of a fractional epidemic model for Ebola virus disease in Caputo sense
title_sort asymptotic stability analysis of a fractional epidemic model for ebola virus disease in caputo sense
topic Mathematical model
Fractional order
Caputo derivative operator
Ebola virus disease
Lyapunov stability
url https://journal.nsps.org.ng/index.php/jnsps/article/view/2304
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AT furahamchuma asymptoticstabilityanalysisofafractionalepidemicmodelforebolavirusdiseaseincaputosense
AT sulaimonfabimbade asymptoticstabilityanalysisofafractionalepidemicmodelforebolavirusdiseaseincaputosense