Modes at Guangzhou Urban Rail Transit Stations

[Objective] In order to accurately calculate the required scale of the connection facilities at Guangzhou urban rail transit stations, it is necessary to study and predict the sharing rate of passenger flow under each transportation connection mode at the stations. [Method] Based on the on-site inve...

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Main Authors: CAI Hanzhe, LIN Junyan, WANG Zhi, YE Xiafei
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Urban Mass Transit Magazine Press 2025-01-01
Series:Chengshi guidao jiaotong yanjiu
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Online Access:https://umt1998.tongji.edu.cn/journal/paper/doi/10.16037/j.1007-869x.2025.01.037.html
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author CAI Hanzhe
LIN Junyan
WANG Zhi
YE Xiafei
author_facet CAI Hanzhe
LIN Junyan
WANG Zhi
YE Xiafei
author_sort CAI Hanzhe
collection DOAJ
description [Objective] In order to accurately calculate the required scale of the connection facilities at Guangzhou urban rail transit stations, it is necessary to study and predict the sharing rate of passenger flow under each transportation connection mode at the stations. [Method] Based on the on-site investigations of the inbound passenger flow connection data of Nancun Wanbo Station, Tonghe Station and other stations in Guangzhou urban rail transit under different weather conditions, on the basis of the traditional MNL (Multinomial Logit) model, and in consideration of the impact of weather and differences in the inbound and outbound connection characteristics, an improved model for classifying the passenger flow transportation connection modes at urban rail transit stations based on the MNL model is constructed, and calibrated by using the data from the questionnaire surveys. [Result & Conclusion] The results of model calibration indicate that only the characteristic variable of connection distance passes the significance test, and there is no obvious correlation between factors such as gender, travel purpose and the choice of rail transit connection modes. The investigated survey data fails to capture the correlation between the age of travelers and the choice of transportation connection modes. In the test of the improved model for classifying the transportation connection modes of the inbound passenger flow at Tonghe Station, on both sunny and rainy days,the passenger flow accuracy rates during the evening peak hours reach 86.0% and 77.2% respectively, showing that the improved model for the above scenario is superior to the traditional one. The improved model is applied to the target stations with similar land use attributes, confirming its effectiveness and rationality in actual passenger flow prediction.
format Article
id doaj-art-f6df91b6cdfd4d69ad8afdce0dd3c40d
institution Kabale University
issn 1007-869X
language zho
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Urban Mass Transit Magazine Press
record_format Article
series Chengshi guidao jiaotong yanjiu
spelling doaj-art-f6df91b6cdfd4d69ad8afdce0dd3c40d2025-01-13T08:04:42ZzhoUrban Mass Transit Magazine PressChengshi guidao jiaotong yanjiu1007-869X2025-01-0128120421110.16037/j.1007-869x.2025.01.037Modes at Guangzhou Urban Rail Transit StationsCAI Hanzhe0LIN Junyan1WANG Zhi2YE Xiafei3Guangzhou Metro Design & Research Institute Co., Ltd., 510010, Guangzhou, ChinaShanghai Key Laboratory of Rail Infrastructure Durability and System Safety, Tongji University, 201804, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Key Laboratory of Rail Infrastructure Durability and System Safety, Tongji University, 201804, Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Key Laboratory of Rail Infrastructure Durability and System Safety, Tongji University, 201804, Shanghai, China[Objective] In order to accurately calculate the required scale of the connection facilities at Guangzhou urban rail transit stations, it is necessary to study and predict the sharing rate of passenger flow under each transportation connection mode at the stations. [Method] Based on the on-site investigations of the inbound passenger flow connection data of Nancun Wanbo Station, Tonghe Station and other stations in Guangzhou urban rail transit under different weather conditions, on the basis of the traditional MNL (Multinomial Logit) model, and in consideration of the impact of weather and differences in the inbound and outbound connection characteristics, an improved model for classifying the passenger flow transportation connection modes at urban rail transit stations based on the MNL model is constructed, and calibrated by using the data from the questionnaire surveys. [Result & Conclusion] The results of model calibration indicate that only the characteristic variable of connection distance passes the significance test, and there is no obvious correlation between factors such as gender, travel purpose and the choice of rail transit connection modes. The investigated survey data fails to capture the correlation between the age of travelers and the choice of transportation connection modes. In the test of the improved model for classifying the transportation connection modes of the inbound passenger flow at Tonghe Station, on both sunny and rainy days,the passenger flow accuracy rates during the evening peak hours reach 86.0% and 77.2% respectively, showing that the improved model for the above scenario is superior to the traditional one. The improved model is applied to the target stations with similar land use attributes, confirming its effectiveness and rationality in actual passenger flow prediction.https://umt1998.tongji.edu.cn/journal/paper/doi/10.16037/j.1007-869x.2025.01.037.htmlurban rail transitpassenger flow at stationsclassification of transportation connection modesimproved model
spellingShingle CAI Hanzhe
LIN Junyan
WANG Zhi
YE Xiafei
Modes at Guangzhou Urban Rail Transit Stations
Chengshi guidao jiaotong yanjiu
urban rail transit
passenger flow at stations
classification of transportation connection modes
improved model
title Modes at Guangzhou Urban Rail Transit Stations
title_full Modes at Guangzhou Urban Rail Transit Stations
title_fullStr Modes at Guangzhou Urban Rail Transit Stations
title_full_unstemmed Modes at Guangzhou Urban Rail Transit Stations
title_short Modes at Guangzhou Urban Rail Transit Stations
title_sort modes at guangzhou urban rail transit stations
topic urban rail transit
passenger flow at stations
classification of transportation connection modes
improved model
url https://umt1998.tongji.edu.cn/journal/paper/doi/10.16037/j.1007-869x.2025.01.037.html
work_keys_str_mv AT caihanzhe modesatguangzhouurbanrailtransitstations
AT linjunyan modesatguangzhouurbanrailtransitstations
AT wangzhi modesatguangzhouurbanrailtransitstations
AT yexiafei modesatguangzhouurbanrailtransitstations