Economic effects of livestock disease burden in Ethiopia: A computable general equilibrium analysis.

The burden of animal disease is widespread globally and is especially severe for developing countries dependent on livestock production. Ethiopia has the largest livestock population in Africa and the second-largest human population on the continent. Ethiopia is one of the fastest-growing economies...

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Main Authors: Amanda M Countryman, Taís C de Menezes, Dustin L Pendell, Jonathan Rushton, Thomas L Marsh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2024-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0310268
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author Amanda M Countryman
Taís C de Menezes
Dustin L Pendell
Jonathan Rushton
Thomas L Marsh
author_facet Amanda M Countryman
Taís C de Menezes
Dustin L Pendell
Jonathan Rushton
Thomas L Marsh
author_sort Amanda M Countryman
collection DOAJ
description The burden of animal disease is widespread globally and is especially severe for developing countries dependent on livestock production. Ethiopia has the largest livestock population in Africa and the second-largest human population on the continent. Ethiopia is one of the fastest-growing economies in Africa; however, much of the population still lives in extreme poverty, and most households depend on agriculture. Animal disease negatively affects domestic livestock production and limits growth potential across the domestic agricultural supply chain. This research investigates the economic effects of livestock disease burden in Ethiopia by employing a computable general equilibrium model in tandem with animal health loss estimates from a compartmental livestock population model. Two scenarios for disease burden are simulated to understand the effects of improved animal health on domestic production, prices, trade, gross domestic product (GDP), and economic welfare in Ethiopia. Results show that improved animal health may increase Ethiopian GDP by up to 3.6%, which improves national welfare by approximately $US 2.5 billion. This research illustrates the economic effects of improved livestock health, which is critical for Ethiopian households and the national economy.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-f63dd27173a748f9b45630768dcfc1202025-01-08T05:32:14ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032024-01-011912e031026810.1371/journal.pone.0310268Economic effects of livestock disease burden in Ethiopia: A computable general equilibrium analysis.Amanda M CountrymanTaís C de MenezesDustin L PendellJonathan RushtonThomas L MarshThe burden of animal disease is widespread globally and is especially severe for developing countries dependent on livestock production. Ethiopia has the largest livestock population in Africa and the second-largest human population on the continent. Ethiopia is one of the fastest-growing economies in Africa; however, much of the population still lives in extreme poverty, and most households depend on agriculture. Animal disease negatively affects domestic livestock production and limits growth potential across the domestic agricultural supply chain. This research investigates the economic effects of livestock disease burden in Ethiopia by employing a computable general equilibrium model in tandem with animal health loss estimates from a compartmental livestock population model. Two scenarios for disease burden are simulated to understand the effects of improved animal health on domestic production, prices, trade, gross domestic product (GDP), and economic welfare in Ethiopia. Results show that improved animal health may increase Ethiopian GDP by up to 3.6%, which improves national welfare by approximately $US 2.5 billion. This research illustrates the economic effects of improved livestock health, which is critical for Ethiopian households and the national economy.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0310268
spellingShingle Amanda M Countryman
Taís C de Menezes
Dustin L Pendell
Jonathan Rushton
Thomas L Marsh
Economic effects of livestock disease burden in Ethiopia: A computable general equilibrium analysis.
PLoS ONE
title Economic effects of livestock disease burden in Ethiopia: A computable general equilibrium analysis.
title_full Economic effects of livestock disease burden in Ethiopia: A computable general equilibrium analysis.
title_fullStr Economic effects of livestock disease burden in Ethiopia: A computable general equilibrium analysis.
title_full_unstemmed Economic effects of livestock disease burden in Ethiopia: A computable general equilibrium analysis.
title_short Economic effects of livestock disease burden in Ethiopia: A computable general equilibrium analysis.
title_sort economic effects of livestock disease burden in ethiopia a computable general equilibrium analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0310268
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