Does famine during the fetal period increase the degree of disability of the elderly?—An empirical study based on data from China

Abstract Background People who have experienced the Chinese Great Famine (1959–1961) in their fetal period are getting old. It is particularly important for China’s response to the ageing of this cohort to study the impact of the Holodomor on disability. Method This paper presents an empirical analy...

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Main Authors: Zhibin Zhang, Junnan Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:BMC Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-21194-1
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author Zhibin Zhang
Junnan Jiang
author_facet Zhibin Zhang
Junnan Jiang
author_sort Zhibin Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background People who have experienced the Chinese Great Famine (1959–1961) in their fetal period are getting old. It is particularly important for China’s response to the ageing of this cohort to study the impact of the Holodomor on disability. Method This paper presents an empirical analysis that utilizes the survey data from the 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), employing a cohort Difference-in-Differences (DID) modeling approach. It integrates the excess mortality rate (EDR) from China’s Great Famine with the 2018 CHARLS survey data, selecting suitable control and experimental groups for a comprehensive study. The empirical analysis is conducted using the cohort DID model, comprising a total of 11,567 samples. Results This study found that the experience of famine would increase the level of disability in the population, with each 0.1% increase in excess mortality increasing the level of IADL by approximately 0.019. This experience during the fetal period will increase the incidence of handicaps, mainly in the brain and hearing. This thesis finds strong heterogeneity across gender and between urban and rural areas. Conclusions China’s long-term care capacity should be improved, with attention paid to the rural disabled population and to the health of pregnant women and fetuses.
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spelling doaj-art-f4c1168262504af0940631e5358c34202025-01-12T12:42:52ZengBMCBMC Public Health1471-24582025-01-0125111010.1186/s12889-024-21194-1Does famine during the fetal period increase the degree of disability of the elderly?—An empirical study based on data from ChinaZhibin Zhang0Junnan Jiang1School of Public Administration, Zhongnan University of Economics and LawSchool of Public Administration, Zhongnan University of Economics and LawAbstract Background People who have experienced the Chinese Great Famine (1959–1961) in their fetal period are getting old. It is particularly important for China’s response to the ageing of this cohort to study the impact of the Holodomor on disability. Method This paper presents an empirical analysis that utilizes the survey data from the 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), employing a cohort Difference-in-Differences (DID) modeling approach. It integrates the excess mortality rate (EDR) from China’s Great Famine with the 2018 CHARLS survey data, selecting suitable control and experimental groups for a comprehensive study. The empirical analysis is conducted using the cohort DID model, comprising a total of 11,567 samples. Results This study found that the experience of famine would increase the level of disability in the population, with each 0.1% increase in excess mortality increasing the level of IADL by approximately 0.019. This experience during the fetal period will increase the incidence of handicaps, mainly in the brain and hearing. This thesis finds strong heterogeneity across gender and between urban and rural areas. Conclusions China’s long-term care capacity should be improved, with attention paid to the rural disabled population and to the health of pregnant women and fetuses.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-21194-1FamineExposure during pregnancyDisabilityLong-term care insuranceCohort DID
spellingShingle Zhibin Zhang
Junnan Jiang
Does famine during the fetal period increase the degree of disability of the elderly?—An empirical study based on data from China
BMC Public Health
Famine
Exposure during pregnancy
Disability
Long-term care insurance
Cohort DID
title Does famine during the fetal period increase the degree of disability of the elderly?—An empirical study based on data from China
title_full Does famine during the fetal period increase the degree of disability of the elderly?—An empirical study based on data from China
title_fullStr Does famine during the fetal period increase the degree of disability of the elderly?—An empirical study based on data from China
title_full_unstemmed Does famine during the fetal period increase the degree of disability of the elderly?—An empirical study based on data from China
title_short Does famine during the fetal period increase the degree of disability of the elderly?—An empirical study based on data from China
title_sort does famine during the fetal period increase the degree of disability of the elderly an empirical study based on data from china
topic Famine
Exposure during pregnancy
Disability
Long-term care insurance
Cohort DID
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-21194-1
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AT junnanjiang doesfamineduringthefetalperiodincreasethedegreeofdisabilityoftheelderlyanempiricalstudybasedondatafromchina