Prediction of water inrush from coal seam floor based on machine learning with small sample data

With the development of computer technology, machine learning method has become an important technology for the prediction of water inrush in coal seam floor. However, the prediction accuracy of many machine learning algorithms requires a high number of samples, which restricts the practical applica...

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Main Authors: Chenxi LI, Haifeng LU
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Safety in Coal Mines 2025-01-01
Series:Meikuang Anquan
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Online Access:https://www.mkaqzz.com/cn/article/doi/10.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.20231371
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author Chenxi LI
Haifeng LU
author_facet Chenxi LI
Haifeng LU
author_sort Chenxi LI
collection DOAJ
description With the development of computer technology, machine learning method has become an important technology for the prediction of water inrush in coal seam floor. However, the prediction accuracy of many machine learning algorithms requires a high number of samples, which restricts the practical application. In this paper, by using the nearest neighbor algorithm (KNN) and the combination algorithm of gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) and logistic regression (LR), a water inrush prediction model was established based on the sample data of six indexes, including water pressure, mining height, water-barrier thickness, fault drop, coal seam inclination, and fault distance from the working face. The influence rule of sample number on prediction accuracy was discussed, and the comparison study was conducted with the commonly used particle swarm, support vector machine, BP neural network, random forest and convolutional neural network. The results show that when the number of samples reaches 18, the prediction accuracy of KNN and GBDT+LR remains stable. The prediction accuracy of KNN and GBDT+LR is higher than that of conventional models under small sample conditions. The predicted results of the model agree with the actual situation.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1003-496X
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publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Editorial Office of Safety in Coal Mines
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spelling doaj-art-f411ae06489b4f15a3b4c7f637ec86f22025-01-15T04:32:08ZzhoEditorial Office of Safety in Coal MinesMeikuang Anquan1003-496X2025-01-0156117117910.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.20231371gMKAQ20231371Prediction of water inrush from coal seam floor based on machine learning with small sample dataChenxi LI0Haifeng LU1School of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science & Technology, Huainan 232001, ChinaSchool of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science & Technology, Huainan 232001, ChinaWith the development of computer technology, machine learning method has become an important technology for the prediction of water inrush in coal seam floor. However, the prediction accuracy of many machine learning algorithms requires a high number of samples, which restricts the practical application. In this paper, by using the nearest neighbor algorithm (KNN) and the combination algorithm of gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) and logistic regression (LR), a water inrush prediction model was established based on the sample data of six indexes, including water pressure, mining height, water-barrier thickness, fault drop, coal seam inclination, and fault distance from the working face. The influence rule of sample number on prediction accuracy was discussed, and the comparison study was conducted with the commonly used particle swarm, support vector machine, BP neural network, random forest and convolutional neural network. The results show that when the number of samples reaches 18, the prediction accuracy of KNN and GBDT+LR remains stable. The prediction accuracy of KNN and GBDT+LR is higher than that of conventional models under small sample conditions. The predicted results of the model agree with the actual situation.https://www.mkaqzz.com/cn/article/doi/10.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.20231371water inrush from floormining water disastermine inflowmachine learningwater inrush prediction
spellingShingle Chenxi LI
Haifeng LU
Prediction of water inrush from coal seam floor based on machine learning with small sample data
Meikuang Anquan
water inrush from floor
mining water disaster
mine inflow
machine learning
water inrush prediction
title Prediction of water inrush from coal seam floor based on machine learning with small sample data
title_full Prediction of water inrush from coal seam floor based on machine learning with small sample data
title_fullStr Prediction of water inrush from coal seam floor based on machine learning with small sample data
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of water inrush from coal seam floor based on machine learning with small sample data
title_short Prediction of water inrush from coal seam floor based on machine learning with small sample data
title_sort prediction of water inrush from coal seam floor based on machine learning with small sample data
topic water inrush from floor
mining water disaster
mine inflow
machine learning
water inrush prediction
url https://www.mkaqzz.com/cn/article/doi/10.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.20231371
work_keys_str_mv AT chenxili predictionofwaterinrushfromcoalseamfloorbasedonmachinelearningwithsmallsampledata
AT haifenglu predictionofwaterinrushfromcoalseamfloorbasedonmachinelearningwithsmallsampledata