Estimating the respiratory syncytial virus-associated hospitalisation burden in older adults in European countries: a systematic analysis
Abstract Background With respiratory syncytial virus vaccines recently approved for use among older adults, country-level respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease burden estimates are needed to inform local RSV immunisation strategy. We aimed to estimate country-level RSV hospitalisation burden in...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
BMC
2025-08-01
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| Series: | BMC Medicine |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-025-04249-x |
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| Summary: | Abstract Background With respiratory syncytial virus vaccines recently approved for use among older adults, country-level respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease burden estimates are needed to inform local RSV immunisation strategy. We aimed to estimate country-level RSV hospitalisation burden in older adults in Europe. Methods We compiled data on RSV hospitalisation burden in adults aged ≥ 60 years in Europe from published studies (systematic review: PROSPERO CRD42024516945), surveillance data, and unpublished data from international collaborators. We adjusted for diagnostic testing, clinical specimens, and case definitions through statistical modelling techniques and generated country-level hospitalisation rate estimates; for countries with no available data, we developed an ensemble model to predict RSV hospitalisation rates. We also estimated RSV in-hospital case fatality ratio (hCFR) for countries with available data. Results We included 14 studies (3 unpublished studies). The adjusted RSV-associated hospitalisation rates were overall 2.2 to 6.4 times higher than unadjusted estimates. Among 5 countries with available data, adjusted annual RSV hospitalisation rates ranged from 193/100,000 person-years in the Netherlands (95% confidence interval [CI]: 125–304) and Finland (141–274) to 414/100,000 in Denmark (322–514). The RSV hospitalisation rates predicted by the ensemble model in 23 additional countries ranged from 223/100,000 to 317/100,000 person-years. RSV hCFR ranged from 6.73% (4.63–9.69) in Spain to 10.14% (4.91–19.79) in Switzerland. Conclusions This study addresses knowledge gaps in RSV hospitalisation burden among older adults in Europe while highlighting the importance of adjusting for RSV case under-ascertainment. These findings might be relevant for country’s considerations of RSV immunisation strategies for older adults. Graphical Abstract |
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| ISSN: | 1741-7015 |