Predicting successful extubation in very preterm infants: A case–control study on key respiratory and clinical predictors

Background: Respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation (MV) is a significant challenge for preterm infants, particularly those born before 29 weeks of gestation. Prolonged MV is associated with adverse respiratory and neurodevelopmental outcomes. Extubation failure (EF) remains common, wit...

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Main Authors: Khalid Altirkawi, Alwalid Alteraif, Abobaker Alshathli, Khalid Almoosa, Turki Alshahrani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications 2025-07-01
Series:Advances in Biomedical and Health Sciences
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Online Access:https://journals.lww.com/10.4103/abhs.abhs_7_25
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author Khalid Altirkawi
Alwalid Alteraif
Abobaker Alshathli
Khalid Almoosa
Turki Alshahrani
author_facet Khalid Altirkawi
Alwalid Alteraif
Abobaker Alshathli
Khalid Almoosa
Turki Alshahrani
author_sort Khalid Altirkawi
collection DOAJ
description Background: Respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation (MV) is a significant challenge for preterm infants, particularly those born before 29 weeks of gestation. Prolonged MV is associated with adverse respiratory and neurodevelopmental outcomes. Extubation failure (EF) remains common, with ˃67% of preterm infants failing initial attempts. This study aimed to identify predictors of EF and develop a practical extubation readiness model. Methods: This case–control study included preterm infants born before 33 weeks of gestation. Infants were categorized into EF (n = 27) and extubation success (n = 81) groups, matched for gestational age (GA), birth weight (BW), sex, and admission month. Pre- and postextubation variables, including ventilator settings, blood gas measurements, and comorbidities were analyzed. Logistic regression and Kaplan–Meier analyses identified predictors and characterized EF timing. Results: Lower preextubation fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) (0.27 vs. 0.32, P < 0.05) and mean airway pressure (MAP) (8.05 vs. 8.44 cmH2O, P = 0.052) were associated with successful extubation. EF was associated with higher mortality (26% vs. 7%, P = 0.01) and severe broncho-pulmonary dysplasia (BPD) (22% vs. 4%, P < 0.002). A three-variable model (surfactant use, FiO2, and MAP) achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.77. Most reintubations (59%) occurred within 24 h, with higher BW and GA associated with delayed reintubation. Conclusion: Lower FiO2 and MAP before extubation were predictive of successful extubation, whereas EF was associated with higher mortality and severe BPD. This three-variable model offers practical utility in assessing extubation readiness. Further research should standardize the extubation criteria and explore the integration of advanced technologies to support decision-making.
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spelling doaj-art-f3b5a1a5e7514b92b7020a4e1bec1fc12025-08-20T03:44:32ZengWolters Kluwer Medknow PublicationsAdvances in Biomedical and Health Sciences2773-15452773-15532025-07-014314114710.4103/abhs.abhs_7_25Predicting successful extubation in very preterm infants: A case–control study on key respiratory and clinical predictorsKhalid AltirkawiAlwalid AlteraifAbobaker AlshathliKhalid AlmoosaTurki AlshahraniBackground: Respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation (MV) is a significant challenge for preterm infants, particularly those born before 29 weeks of gestation. Prolonged MV is associated with adverse respiratory and neurodevelopmental outcomes. Extubation failure (EF) remains common, with ˃67% of preterm infants failing initial attempts. This study aimed to identify predictors of EF and develop a practical extubation readiness model. Methods: This case–control study included preterm infants born before 33 weeks of gestation. Infants were categorized into EF (n = 27) and extubation success (n = 81) groups, matched for gestational age (GA), birth weight (BW), sex, and admission month. Pre- and postextubation variables, including ventilator settings, blood gas measurements, and comorbidities were analyzed. Logistic regression and Kaplan–Meier analyses identified predictors and characterized EF timing. Results: Lower preextubation fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) (0.27 vs. 0.32, P < 0.05) and mean airway pressure (MAP) (8.05 vs. 8.44 cmH2O, P = 0.052) were associated with successful extubation. EF was associated with higher mortality (26% vs. 7%, P = 0.01) and severe broncho-pulmonary dysplasia (BPD) (22% vs. 4%, P < 0.002). A three-variable model (surfactant use, FiO2, and MAP) achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.77. Most reintubations (59%) occurred within 24 h, with higher BW and GA associated with delayed reintubation. Conclusion: Lower FiO2 and MAP before extubation were predictive of successful extubation, whereas EF was associated with higher mortality and severe BPD. This three-variable model offers practical utility in assessing extubation readiness. Further research should standardize the extubation criteria and explore the integration of advanced technologies to support decision-making.https://journals.lww.com/10.4103/abhs.abhs_7_25extubation readinessmechanical ventilationneonatepredictors of extubation successpreterm
spellingShingle Khalid Altirkawi
Alwalid Alteraif
Abobaker Alshathli
Khalid Almoosa
Turki Alshahrani
Predicting successful extubation in very preterm infants: A case–control study on key respiratory and clinical predictors
Advances in Biomedical and Health Sciences
extubation readiness
mechanical ventilation
neonate
predictors of extubation success
preterm
title Predicting successful extubation in very preterm infants: A case–control study on key respiratory and clinical predictors
title_full Predicting successful extubation in very preterm infants: A case–control study on key respiratory and clinical predictors
title_fullStr Predicting successful extubation in very preterm infants: A case–control study on key respiratory and clinical predictors
title_full_unstemmed Predicting successful extubation in very preterm infants: A case–control study on key respiratory and clinical predictors
title_short Predicting successful extubation in very preterm infants: A case–control study on key respiratory and clinical predictors
title_sort predicting successful extubation in very preterm infants a case control study on key respiratory and clinical predictors
topic extubation readiness
mechanical ventilation
neonate
predictors of extubation success
preterm
url https://journals.lww.com/10.4103/abhs.abhs_7_25
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