Recent methane surges reveal heightened emissions from tropical inundated areas

Abstract Record breaking atmospheric methane growth rates were observed in 2020 and 2021 (15.2±0.5 and 17.8±0.5 parts per billion per year), the highest since the early 1980s. Here we use an ensemble of atmospheric inversions informed by surface or satellite methane observations to infer emission ch...

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Main Authors: Xin Lin, Shushi Peng, Philippe Ciais, Didier Hauglustaine, Xin Lan, Gang Liu, Michel Ramonet, Yi Xi, Yi Yin, Zhen Zhang, Hartmut Bösch, Philippe Bousquet, Frédéric Chevallier, Bogang Dong, Cynthia Gerlein-Safdi, Santanu Halder, Robert J. Parker, Benjamin Poulter, Tianjiao Pu, Marine Remaud, Alexandra Runge, Marielle Saunois, Rona L. Thompson, Yukio Yoshida, Bo Zheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-12-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-55266-y
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author Xin Lin
Shushi Peng
Philippe Ciais
Didier Hauglustaine
Xin Lan
Gang Liu
Michel Ramonet
Yi Xi
Yi Yin
Zhen Zhang
Hartmut Bösch
Philippe Bousquet
Frédéric Chevallier
Bogang Dong
Cynthia Gerlein-Safdi
Santanu Halder
Robert J. Parker
Benjamin Poulter
Tianjiao Pu
Marine Remaud
Alexandra Runge
Marielle Saunois
Rona L. Thompson
Yukio Yoshida
Bo Zheng
author_facet Xin Lin
Shushi Peng
Philippe Ciais
Didier Hauglustaine
Xin Lan
Gang Liu
Michel Ramonet
Yi Xi
Yi Yin
Zhen Zhang
Hartmut Bösch
Philippe Bousquet
Frédéric Chevallier
Bogang Dong
Cynthia Gerlein-Safdi
Santanu Halder
Robert J. Parker
Benjamin Poulter
Tianjiao Pu
Marine Remaud
Alexandra Runge
Marielle Saunois
Rona L. Thompson
Yukio Yoshida
Bo Zheng
author_sort Xin Lin
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Record breaking atmospheric methane growth rates were observed in 2020 and 2021 (15.2±0.5 and 17.8±0.5 parts per billion per year), the highest since the early 1980s. Here we use an ensemble of atmospheric inversions informed by surface or satellite methane observations to infer emission changes during these two years relative to 2019. Results show global methane emissions increased by 20.3±9.9 and 24.8±3.1 teragrams per year in 2020 and 2021, dominated by heightened emissions from tropical and boreal inundated areas, aligning with rising groundwater storage and regional warming. Current process-based wetland models fail to capture the tropical emission surges revealed by atmospheric inversions, likely due to inaccurate representation of wetland extents and associated methane emissions. Our findings underscore the critical role of tropical inundated areas in the recent methane emission surges and highlight the need to integrate multiple data streams and modeling tools for better constraining tropical wetland emissions.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-f2a29a48d90a4a5a96fb4d1d0768e20e2025-01-05T12:34:38ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232024-12-0115111110.1038/s41467-024-55266-yRecent methane surges reveal heightened emissions from tropical inundated areasXin Lin0Shushi Peng1Philippe Ciais2Didier Hauglustaine3Xin Lan4Gang Liu5Michel Ramonet6Yi Xi7Yi Yin8Zhen Zhang9Hartmut Bösch10Philippe Bousquet11Frédéric Chevallier12Bogang Dong13Cynthia Gerlein-Safdi14Santanu Halder15Robert J. Parker16Benjamin Poulter17Tianjiao Pu18Marine Remaud19Alexandra Runge20Marielle Saunois21Rona L. Thompson22Yukio Yoshida23Bo Zheng24Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclaySino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclayLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclayCooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences of University of ColoradoSino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclayLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclayDepartment of Environmental Studies, New York UniversityNational Tibetan Plateau Data Centre, State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resource, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesInstitute of Environmental Physics, University of BremenLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclayLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclaySino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking UniversityDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of CaliforniaLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclayNational Centre for Earth Observation, Space Park Leicester, University of LeicesterBiospheric Sciences Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight CenterDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of CaliforniaLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclayAlfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine ResearchLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-SaclayNILUNational Institute for Environmental StudiesInstitute of Environment and Ecology, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua UniversityAbstract Record breaking atmospheric methane growth rates were observed in 2020 and 2021 (15.2±0.5 and 17.8±0.5 parts per billion per year), the highest since the early 1980s. Here we use an ensemble of atmospheric inversions informed by surface or satellite methane observations to infer emission changes during these two years relative to 2019. Results show global methane emissions increased by 20.3±9.9 and 24.8±3.1 teragrams per year in 2020 and 2021, dominated by heightened emissions from tropical and boreal inundated areas, aligning with rising groundwater storage and regional warming. Current process-based wetland models fail to capture the tropical emission surges revealed by atmospheric inversions, likely due to inaccurate representation of wetland extents and associated methane emissions. Our findings underscore the critical role of tropical inundated areas in the recent methane emission surges and highlight the need to integrate multiple data streams and modeling tools for better constraining tropical wetland emissions.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-55266-y
spellingShingle Xin Lin
Shushi Peng
Philippe Ciais
Didier Hauglustaine
Xin Lan
Gang Liu
Michel Ramonet
Yi Xi
Yi Yin
Zhen Zhang
Hartmut Bösch
Philippe Bousquet
Frédéric Chevallier
Bogang Dong
Cynthia Gerlein-Safdi
Santanu Halder
Robert J. Parker
Benjamin Poulter
Tianjiao Pu
Marine Remaud
Alexandra Runge
Marielle Saunois
Rona L. Thompson
Yukio Yoshida
Bo Zheng
Recent methane surges reveal heightened emissions from tropical inundated areas
Nature Communications
title Recent methane surges reveal heightened emissions from tropical inundated areas
title_full Recent methane surges reveal heightened emissions from tropical inundated areas
title_fullStr Recent methane surges reveal heightened emissions from tropical inundated areas
title_full_unstemmed Recent methane surges reveal heightened emissions from tropical inundated areas
title_short Recent methane surges reveal heightened emissions from tropical inundated areas
title_sort recent methane surges reveal heightened emissions from tropical inundated areas
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-55266-y
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