Has China’s Housing Security Policy Affected the Housing Market?—Analysis Based on Housing Market Data from 35 Monitored Cities

This study investigates how China’s affordable housing policies have shaped the real estate market, using data from 35 major cities between 2010 and 2023. By analyzing housing prices, sales, and investment trends with advanced statistical methods, we found that increasing the supply of affordable ho...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Guangjun Deng, Weihan Zhou, Dingxing Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Buildings
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/15/11/1847
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849331299268952064
author Guangjun Deng
Weihan Zhou
Dingxing Wang
author_facet Guangjun Deng
Weihan Zhou
Dingxing Wang
author_sort Guangjun Deng
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates how China’s affordable housing policies have shaped the real estate market, using data from 35 major cities between 2010 and 2023. By analyzing housing prices, sales, and investment trends with advanced statistical methods, we found that increasing the supply of affordable housing significantly slows down rising home prices, especially in cities with high housing costs. During the COVID-19 pandemic, these policies also helped stabilize the market by boosting housing sales and reducing price volatility. Our research highlights regional differences: affordable housing works best in economically developed eastern cities to curb prices, while in less-developed central and western areas, it may temporarily increase prices due to land competition. We also show that affordable housing absorbs demand from low- and middle-income buyers, easing pressure on commercial housing markets over time. This study provides practical insights for policymakers to design targeted housing strategies, optimize land use, and enhance urban resilience during crises, like pandemics. By combining real-world data with robust analysis, we offer a clearer picture of how housing security policies can balance market stability and affordability in rapidly urbanizing economies.
format Article
id doaj-art-ed2e4c1ed25344c5b6bc79d8c46fff12
institution Kabale University
issn 2075-5309
language English
publishDate 2025-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Buildings
spelling doaj-art-ed2e4c1ed25344c5b6bc79d8c46fff122025-08-20T03:46:38ZengMDPI AGBuildings2075-53092025-05-011511184710.3390/buildings15111847Has China’s Housing Security Policy Affected the Housing Market?—Analysis Based on Housing Market Data from 35 Monitored CitiesGuangjun Deng0Weihan Zhou1Dingxing Wang2School of Economics, Management and Law, Hubei Normal University, Huangshi 435002, ChinaSchool of Economics, Management and Law, Hubei Normal University, Huangshi 435002, ChinaSchool of Economics, Management and Law, Hubei Normal University, Huangshi 435002, ChinaThis study investigates how China’s affordable housing policies have shaped the real estate market, using data from 35 major cities between 2010 and 2023. By analyzing housing prices, sales, and investment trends with advanced statistical methods, we found that increasing the supply of affordable housing significantly slows down rising home prices, especially in cities with high housing costs. During the COVID-19 pandemic, these policies also helped stabilize the market by boosting housing sales and reducing price volatility. Our research highlights regional differences: affordable housing works best in economically developed eastern cities to curb prices, while in less-developed central and western areas, it may temporarily increase prices due to land competition. We also show that affordable housing absorbs demand from low- and middle-income buyers, easing pressure on commercial housing markets over time. This study provides practical insights for policymakers to design targeted housing strategies, optimize land use, and enhance urban resilience during crises, like pandemics. By combining real-world data with robust analysis, we offer a clearer picture of how housing security policies can balance market stability and affordability in rapidly urbanizing economies.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/15/11/1847affordable housing policyshift-share methodCOVID-19housing prices
spellingShingle Guangjun Deng
Weihan Zhou
Dingxing Wang
Has China’s Housing Security Policy Affected the Housing Market?—Analysis Based on Housing Market Data from 35 Monitored Cities
Buildings
affordable housing policy
shift-share method
COVID-19
housing prices
title Has China’s Housing Security Policy Affected the Housing Market?—Analysis Based on Housing Market Data from 35 Monitored Cities
title_full Has China’s Housing Security Policy Affected the Housing Market?—Analysis Based on Housing Market Data from 35 Monitored Cities
title_fullStr Has China’s Housing Security Policy Affected the Housing Market?—Analysis Based on Housing Market Data from 35 Monitored Cities
title_full_unstemmed Has China’s Housing Security Policy Affected the Housing Market?—Analysis Based on Housing Market Data from 35 Monitored Cities
title_short Has China’s Housing Security Policy Affected the Housing Market?—Analysis Based on Housing Market Data from 35 Monitored Cities
title_sort has china s housing security policy affected the housing market analysis based on housing market data from 35 monitored cities
topic affordable housing policy
shift-share method
COVID-19
housing prices
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/15/11/1847
work_keys_str_mv AT guangjundeng haschinashousingsecuritypolicyaffectedthehousingmarketanalysisbasedonhousingmarketdatafrom35monitoredcities
AT weihanzhou haschinashousingsecuritypolicyaffectedthehousingmarketanalysisbasedonhousingmarketdatafrom35monitoredcities
AT dingxingwang haschinashousingsecuritypolicyaffectedthehousingmarketanalysisbasedonhousingmarketdatafrom35monitoredcities