Assessment of Flood Risk Based on ISO Clustering and Maximum Likelihood Method --Taking Wuchuan City as an Example

Under the background of global climate change, extreme weather,especially heavy rainfall and storm surge, is becoming an important influencingfactor of flood disaster in coastal areas, endangering the safety of localpeople's lives and property. Taking Wuchuan City as the researcharea, with town...

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Main Authors: LIU Yang, SONG Feiyan, LIN Kairong, LIN Bo
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2020-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.10.003
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author LIU Yang
SONG Feiyan
LIN Kairong
LIN Bo
author_facet LIU Yang
SONG Feiyan
LIN Kairong
LIN Bo
author_sort LIU Yang
collection DOAJ
description Under the background of global climate change, extreme weather,especially heavy rainfall and storm surge, is becoming an important influencingfactor of flood disaster in coastal areas, endangering the safety of localpeople's lives and property. Taking Wuchuan City as the researcharea, with towns and streets as units, this paper establishes the flood riskassessment model based on the assessment indexes from three aspects of factorrisk, vulnerability of hazard-bearing body, disaster prevention and mitigationability, conducts space overlay analysis through ArcGIS platform, divides theflood risk into micro, low, medium, high and extremely high with ISO clustering-maximum likelihood method, and classifies Wuchunan City into five risk areasaccording to the assessment results. The results indicate that: the flood disasterrisk in Wuchuan City is at the medium risk level as a whole, with a risk value of3.04, and higher in the mid-west region and lower in the southeast region for thespatial distribution. After comparison validation with the survey data of proneflood points in Wuchuan City, it is indicated that 91% of them are located in theextremely high-risk and high-risk areas, which shows that the assessment resultsare relatively accurate and can be great of reference for the prevention andcontrol of local flood disaster.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-ed077891aa3a46dc883581ed0dcf500d2025-01-15T02:30:56ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352020-01-014147651270Assessment of Flood Risk Based on ISO Clustering and Maximum Likelihood Method --Taking Wuchuan City as an ExampleLIU YangSONG FeiyanLIN KairongLIN BoUnder the background of global climate change, extreme weather,especially heavy rainfall and storm surge, is becoming an important influencingfactor of flood disaster in coastal areas, endangering the safety of localpeople's lives and property. Taking Wuchuan City as the researcharea, with towns and streets as units, this paper establishes the flood riskassessment model based on the assessment indexes from three aspects of factorrisk, vulnerability of hazard-bearing body, disaster prevention and mitigationability, conducts space overlay analysis through ArcGIS platform, divides theflood risk into micro, low, medium, high and extremely high with ISO clustering-maximum likelihood method, and classifies Wuchunan City into five risk areasaccording to the assessment results. The results indicate that: the flood disasterrisk in Wuchuan City is at the medium risk level as a whole, with a risk value of3.04, and higher in the mid-west region and lower in the southeast region for thespatial distribution. After comparison validation with the survey data of proneflood points in Wuchuan City, it is indicated that 91% of them are located in theextremely high-risk and high-risk areas, which shows that the assessment resultsare relatively accurate and can be great of reference for the prevention andcontrol of local flood disaster.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.10.003flood disasterrisk divisionGISISO clustering
spellingShingle LIU Yang
SONG Feiyan
LIN Kairong
LIN Bo
Assessment of Flood Risk Based on ISO Clustering and Maximum Likelihood Method --Taking Wuchuan City as an Example
Renmin Zhujiang
flood disaster
risk division
GIS
ISO clustering
title Assessment of Flood Risk Based on ISO Clustering and Maximum Likelihood Method --Taking Wuchuan City as an Example
title_full Assessment of Flood Risk Based on ISO Clustering and Maximum Likelihood Method --Taking Wuchuan City as an Example
title_fullStr Assessment of Flood Risk Based on ISO Clustering and Maximum Likelihood Method --Taking Wuchuan City as an Example
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of Flood Risk Based on ISO Clustering and Maximum Likelihood Method --Taking Wuchuan City as an Example
title_short Assessment of Flood Risk Based on ISO Clustering and Maximum Likelihood Method --Taking Wuchuan City as an Example
title_sort assessment of flood risk based on iso clustering and maximum likelihood method taking wuchuan city as an example
topic flood disaster
risk division
GIS
ISO clustering
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.10.003
work_keys_str_mv AT liuyang assessmentoffloodriskbasedonisoclusteringandmaximumlikelihoodmethodtakingwuchuancityasanexample
AT songfeiyan assessmentoffloodriskbasedonisoclusteringandmaximumlikelihoodmethodtakingwuchuancityasanexample
AT linkairong assessmentoffloodriskbasedonisoclusteringandmaximumlikelihoodmethodtakingwuchuancityasanexample
AT linbo assessmentoffloodriskbasedonisoclusteringandmaximumlikelihoodmethodtakingwuchuancityasanexample