Efficacy in predicting mortality of patients with heart failure using heart rate before intensive care unit discharge: a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV Database

Objective Heart rate serves as a critical prognostic factor in heart failure (HF) patients. We hypothesise that elevated heart rate in critically ill HF patients on discharge from the intensive care unit (ICU) could be linked to adverse outcomes.Design A single-centre retrospective cohort study.Sett...

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Main Authors: Yu-Cheng Chang, Chia-Ying Hsiao, Min-I Su, Ying-Hsiang Lee, Po-Lin Lin, Wei-Ru Chiou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2024-12-01
Series:BMJ Open
Online Access:https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/14/12/e087725.full
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author Yu-Cheng Chang
Chia-Ying Hsiao
Min-I Su
Ying-Hsiang Lee
Po-Lin Lin
Wei-Ru Chiou
author_facet Yu-Cheng Chang
Chia-Ying Hsiao
Min-I Su
Ying-Hsiang Lee
Po-Lin Lin
Wei-Ru Chiou
author_sort Yu-Cheng Chang
collection DOAJ
description Objective Heart rate serves as a critical prognostic factor in heart failure (HF) patients. We hypothesise that elevated heart rate in critically ill HF patients on discharge from the intensive care unit (ICU) could be linked to adverse outcomes.Design A single-centre retrospective cohort study.Setting This study used data collected between 2008 and 2019 from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (V.2.0) Database.Participants From the 76 943 ICU stays, we enrolled 2365 patients in this study.Primary and secondary outcome measures We observed correlations between in-hospital mortality and ICU discharge heart rate of 83.56±15.81 beats per minute (bpm) (survivors) vs 93.84±17.28 bpm (non-survivors, p<0.001). Total mortality showed similar trends, with 83.67±15.36 bpm (survivors) vs 85.23±17.25 bpm (non-survivors, p=0.027), as did ICU readmissions at 83.55±15.77 bpm (non-readmitted) vs 88.64±17.49 bpm (readmitted, p<0.001).Results Given multivariate analysis, the ICU discharge heart rate strongly predicted in-hospital mortality (HR 1.032 (95% CI 1.022 to 1.041), p<0.001), total mortality (HR 1.008 (95% CI 1.004 to 1.013), p<0.001) and ICU readmission (HR 1.018 (95% CI 1.010 to 1.025), p<0.001). Patients with an ICU discharge heart rate>90 bpm demonstrated significantly higher in-hospital mortality (HR 2.639 (95% CI 1.898 to 3.669), p<0.001), total mortality (HR 1.342 (95% CI 1.163 to 1.550), p<0.001) and ICU readmission rates (HR 1.781 (95% CI 1.413 to 2.243), p<0.001).Conclusion The findings suggest that HF patients with an elevated heart rate (>90 bpm) at ICU discharge are more likely to experience increased in-hospital mortality, total mortality and ICU readmissions, indicating potential negative outcomes.
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spelling doaj-art-eb46d3eae4ea4ab28004d73ae3a6fb122024-12-27T14:30:11ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Open2044-60552024-12-01141210.1136/bmjopen-2024-087725Efficacy in predicting mortality of patients with heart failure using heart rate before intensive care unit discharge: a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV DatabaseYu-Cheng Chang0Chia-Ying Hsiao1Min-I Su2Ying-Hsiang Lee3Po-Lin Lin4Wei-Ru Chiou5Department of Bioinformatics and Medical Engineering, Asia University, Taichung, TaiwanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Taitung MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taitung, TaiwanDepartment of Medicine, MacKay Medical College, New Taipei, TaiwanDepartment of Medicine, MacKay Medical College, New Taipei, TaiwanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Hsinchu MacKay Memorial Hospital, Hsinchu, TaiwanDepartment of Medicine, MacKay Medical College, New Taipei, TaiwanObjective Heart rate serves as a critical prognostic factor in heart failure (HF) patients. We hypothesise that elevated heart rate in critically ill HF patients on discharge from the intensive care unit (ICU) could be linked to adverse outcomes.Design A single-centre retrospective cohort study.Setting This study used data collected between 2008 and 2019 from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (V.2.0) Database.Participants From the 76 943 ICU stays, we enrolled 2365 patients in this study.Primary and secondary outcome measures We observed correlations between in-hospital mortality and ICU discharge heart rate of 83.56±15.81 beats per minute (bpm) (survivors) vs 93.84±17.28 bpm (non-survivors, p<0.001). Total mortality showed similar trends, with 83.67±15.36 bpm (survivors) vs 85.23±17.25 bpm (non-survivors, p=0.027), as did ICU readmissions at 83.55±15.77 bpm (non-readmitted) vs 88.64±17.49 bpm (readmitted, p<0.001).Results Given multivariate analysis, the ICU discharge heart rate strongly predicted in-hospital mortality (HR 1.032 (95% CI 1.022 to 1.041), p<0.001), total mortality (HR 1.008 (95% CI 1.004 to 1.013), p<0.001) and ICU readmission (HR 1.018 (95% CI 1.010 to 1.025), p<0.001). Patients with an ICU discharge heart rate>90 bpm demonstrated significantly higher in-hospital mortality (HR 2.639 (95% CI 1.898 to 3.669), p<0.001), total mortality (HR 1.342 (95% CI 1.163 to 1.550), p<0.001) and ICU readmission rates (HR 1.781 (95% CI 1.413 to 2.243), p<0.001).Conclusion The findings suggest that HF patients with an elevated heart rate (>90 bpm) at ICU discharge are more likely to experience increased in-hospital mortality, total mortality and ICU readmissions, indicating potential negative outcomes.https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/14/12/e087725.full
spellingShingle Yu-Cheng Chang
Chia-Ying Hsiao
Min-I Su
Ying-Hsiang Lee
Po-Lin Lin
Wei-Ru Chiou
Efficacy in predicting mortality of patients with heart failure using heart rate before intensive care unit discharge: a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV Database
BMJ Open
title Efficacy in predicting mortality of patients with heart failure using heart rate before intensive care unit discharge: a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV Database
title_full Efficacy in predicting mortality of patients with heart failure using heart rate before intensive care unit discharge: a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV Database
title_fullStr Efficacy in predicting mortality of patients with heart failure using heart rate before intensive care unit discharge: a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV Database
title_full_unstemmed Efficacy in predicting mortality of patients with heart failure using heart rate before intensive care unit discharge: a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV Database
title_short Efficacy in predicting mortality of patients with heart failure using heart rate before intensive care unit discharge: a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV Database
title_sort efficacy in predicting mortality of patients with heart failure using heart rate before intensive care unit discharge a retrospective cohort study from mimic iv database
url https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/14/12/e087725.full
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