Advancing Heat Pump Adoption in Ukraine’s Low-Carbon Energy Transition

The European Union established a legislative framework to facilitate the transition to low-carbon energy sources. As Ukraine aspires to join the EU, it is progressively adopting similar legislation. The extensive damage to Ukraine’s fossil fuel-based heat generation infrastructure necessitates the r...

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Main Authors: Galyna Trypolska, Piotr Gradziuk, Andrii Semeniuk, Roman Podolets, Oleksandr Diachuk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/23/6110
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author Galyna Trypolska
Piotr Gradziuk
Andrii Semeniuk
Roman Podolets
Oleksandr Diachuk
author_facet Galyna Trypolska
Piotr Gradziuk
Andrii Semeniuk
Roman Podolets
Oleksandr Diachuk
author_sort Galyna Trypolska
collection DOAJ
description The European Union established a legislative framework to facilitate the transition to low-carbon energy sources. As Ukraine aspires to join the EU, it is progressively adopting similar legislation. The extensive damage to Ukraine’s fossil fuel-based heat generation infrastructure necessitates the reconstruction of heating and cooling supply systems, with a focus on low-carbon energy sources, particularly heat pumps. Notably, Poland achieved the highest growth in installed heat pump capacities in Europe, offering valuable insights for Ukraine’s energy transition. This study employs the TIMES-Ukraine model to assess the potential proliferation of heat pumps within the country. The findings suggest that, if capital costs for heat pumps decrease, their adoption could accelerate more rapidly than biomass-fired heating systems, particularly in urban single-family homes and buildings lacking central heating systems, over the next decade. While high investment costs may slightly diminish the attractiveness of this technology for space heating, heat pumps consistently outperform biomass heating appliances and potential biomethane-sourced gas boilers.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1996-1073
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
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series Energies
spelling doaj-art-ea3f3e788b854e12bcffb002648c0fbd2024-12-13T16:26:04ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732024-12-011723611010.3390/en17236110Advancing Heat Pump Adoption in Ukraine’s Low-Carbon Energy TransitionGalyna Trypolska0Piotr Gradziuk1Andrii Semeniuk2Roman Podolets3Oleksandr Diachuk4Institute for Economics and Forecasting, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, P. Myrnogo Str., 26, 01011 Kyiv, UkraineInstitute for Rural and Agricultural Development, Polish Academy of Sciences, Staszic Palace, Nowy Świat 72, 00-330 Warsaw, PolandInstitute for Economics and Forecasting, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, P. Myrnogo Str., 26, 01011 Kyiv, UkraineInstitute for Economics and Forecasting, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, P. Myrnogo Str., 26, 01011 Kyiv, UkraineInstitute for Economics and Forecasting, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, P. Myrnogo Str., 26, 01011 Kyiv, UkraineThe European Union established a legislative framework to facilitate the transition to low-carbon energy sources. As Ukraine aspires to join the EU, it is progressively adopting similar legislation. The extensive damage to Ukraine’s fossil fuel-based heat generation infrastructure necessitates the reconstruction of heating and cooling supply systems, with a focus on low-carbon energy sources, particularly heat pumps. Notably, Poland achieved the highest growth in installed heat pump capacities in Europe, offering valuable insights for Ukraine’s energy transition. This study employs the TIMES-Ukraine model to assess the potential proliferation of heat pumps within the country. The findings suggest that, if capital costs for heat pumps decrease, their adoption could accelerate more rapidly than biomass-fired heating systems, particularly in urban single-family homes and buildings lacking central heating systems, over the next decade. While high investment costs may slightly diminish the attractiveness of this technology for space heating, heat pumps consistently outperform biomass heating appliances and potential biomethane-sourced gas boilers.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/23/6110heat pumpsUkrainePolandenergy modellingTIMES-Ukraine
spellingShingle Galyna Trypolska
Piotr Gradziuk
Andrii Semeniuk
Roman Podolets
Oleksandr Diachuk
Advancing Heat Pump Adoption in Ukraine’s Low-Carbon Energy Transition
Energies
heat pumps
Ukraine
Poland
energy modelling
TIMES-Ukraine
title Advancing Heat Pump Adoption in Ukraine’s Low-Carbon Energy Transition
title_full Advancing Heat Pump Adoption in Ukraine’s Low-Carbon Energy Transition
title_fullStr Advancing Heat Pump Adoption in Ukraine’s Low-Carbon Energy Transition
title_full_unstemmed Advancing Heat Pump Adoption in Ukraine’s Low-Carbon Energy Transition
title_short Advancing Heat Pump Adoption in Ukraine’s Low-Carbon Energy Transition
title_sort advancing heat pump adoption in ukraine s low carbon energy transition
topic heat pumps
Ukraine
Poland
energy modelling
TIMES-Ukraine
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/23/6110
work_keys_str_mv AT galynatrypolska advancingheatpumpadoptioninukraineslowcarbonenergytransition
AT piotrgradziuk advancingheatpumpadoptioninukraineslowcarbonenergytransition
AT andriisemeniuk advancingheatpumpadoptioninukraineslowcarbonenergytransition
AT romanpodolets advancingheatpumpadoptioninukraineslowcarbonenergytransition
AT oleksandrdiachuk advancingheatpumpadoptioninukraineslowcarbonenergytransition