Sunk cost predictions as theory of mind

People often predict that they, and others, will be biased by sunk costs—they think that investing in an object or goal increases how much one values or wants it. In this article, we use sunk cost predictions to look at people’s theory of mind and their conceptions of mental life. More specifically,...

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Main Authors: Amy Howard, Claudia Sehl, Stephanie Denison, Ori Friedman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2024-01-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297524000251/type/journal_article
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author Amy Howard
Claudia Sehl
Stephanie Denison
Ori Friedman
author_facet Amy Howard
Claudia Sehl
Stephanie Denison
Ori Friedman
author_sort Amy Howard
collection DOAJ
description People often predict that they, and others, will be biased by sunk costs—they think that investing in an object or goal increases how much one values or wants it. In this article, we use sunk cost predictions to look at people’s theory of mind and their conceptions of mental life. More specifically, we ask which mental states and motivations are seen as underlying the bias. To investigate this, participants in two preregistered experiments predicted whether different kinds of agents would be biased by sunk costs, and also assessed the agents’ mental abilities. Participants predicted that some kinds of agents (e.g., human adults and children, robots) would show the sunk cost bias and that others would not (e.g., raccoons and human babies). These predictions were strongly related to the participants’ assessments of whether the different kinds of agents are capable of seeing actions as wasteful, but also related to their assessments of the agents’ capacities to feel regret and frustration.
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issn 1930-2975
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series Judgment and Decision Making
spelling doaj-art-e8e59a65538247c29433eff4b446b4912024-11-20T07:47:33ZengCambridge University PressJudgment and Decision Making1930-29752024-01-011910.1017/jdm.2024.25Sunk cost predictions as theory of mindAmy Howard0Claudia Sehl1Stephanie Denison2Ori Friedman3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2346-9787Department of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, CanadaDepartment of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, CanadaDepartment of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, CanadaDepartment of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, CanadaPeople often predict that they, and others, will be biased by sunk costs—they think that investing in an object or goal increases how much one values or wants it. In this article, we use sunk cost predictions to look at people’s theory of mind and their conceptions of mental life. More specifically, we ask which mental states and motivations are seen as underlying the bias. To investigate this, participants in two preregistered experiments predicted whether different kinds of agents would be biased by sunk costs, and also assessed the agents’ mental abilities. Participants predicted that some kinds of agents (e.g., human adults and children, robots) would show the sunk cost bias and that others would not (e.g., raccoons and human babies). These predictions were strongly related to the participants’ assessments of whether the different kinds of agents are capable of seeing actions as wasteful, but also related to their assessments of the agents’ capacities to feel regret and frustration.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297524000251/type/journal_articlesunk cost biastheory of mindaspects of mental lifewaste
spellingShingle Amy Howard
Claudia Sehl
Stephanie Denison
Ori Friedman
Sunk cost predictions as theory of mind
Judgment and Decision Making
sunk cost bias
theory of mind
aspects of mental life
waste
title Sunk cost predictions as theory of mind
title_full Sunk cost predictions as theory of mind
title_fullStr Sunk cost predictions as theory of mind
title_full_unstemmed Sunk cost predictions as theory of mind
title_short Sunk cost predictions as theory of mind
title_sort sunk cost predictions as theory of mind
topic sunk cost bias
theory of mind
aspects of mental life
waste
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297524000251/type/journal_article
work_keys_str_mv AT amyhoward sunkcostpredictionsastheoryofmind
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AT stephaniedenison sunkcostpredictionsastheoryofmind
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