Shifting alpine plant distributions with global change: Testing the environmental matching hypothesis

Species facing novel temperature, precipitation, and nitrogen (N) deposition regimes must move or adapt to persist. For long-lived plants, a primary form of climate acclimation is through shifting geographic range limits or establishing in favorable microclimates. One commonly assumed but rarely tes...

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Main Authors: Clifton P. Bueno de Mesquita, Sarah C. Elmendorf, Jane G. Smith, Katharine N. Suding
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/15230430.2024.2393443
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author Clifton P. Bueno de Mesquita
Sarah C. Elmendorf
Jane G. Smith
Katharine N. Suding
author_facet Clifton P. Bueno de Mesquita
Sarah C. Elmendorf
Jane G. Smith
Katharine N. Suding
author_sort Clifton P. Bueno de Mesquita
collection DOAJ
description Species facing novel temperature, precipitation, and nitrogen (N) deposition regimes must move or adapt to persist. For long-lived plants, a primary form of climate acclimation is through shifting geographic range limits or establishing in favorable microclimates. One commonly assumed but rarely tested hypothesis is that these shifts can be predicted by environmental matching: that the environmental characteristics that define a current distribution should predict how a population will shift with environmental changes. To test this hypothesis, we transplanted four alpine and two subalpine plant species into environments with experimentally increased temperature, snow, and N. We predicted that species would perform best when environmental change matched their geographic distributional characteristics: increased temperature, snow, and N (two subalpine species), increased temperature (two dry meadow specialists), and increased snow (two snowbed specialists). Our results provided limited support for the environmental matching hypothesis. Snowbed specialists did not benefit from increased snow, dry meadow specialists' performance did not consistently differ among the treatments, and subalpine plants' survival was not affected by treatments while their growth response was variable among species. Our results suggest that global change effects will vary among species and distributional shifts are not easily predicted by species environmental preference.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
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series Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research
spelling doaj-art-e86d3e018c29475cb29c13bdc5a35f0b2025-01-13T14:40:40ZengTaylor & Francis GroupArctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research1523-04301938-42462024-12-0156110.1080/15230430.2024.2393443Shifting alpine plant distributions with global change: Testing the environmental matching hypothesisClifton P. Bueno de Mesquita0Sarah C. Elmendorf1Jane G. Smith2Katharine N. Suding3Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USAInstitute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USAInstitute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USADepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, USASpecies facing novel temperature, precipitation, and nitrogen (N) deposition regimes must move or adapt to persist. For long-lived plants, a primary form of climate acclimation is through shifting geographic range limits or establishing in favorable microclimates. One commonly assumed but rarely tested hypothesis is that these shifts can be predicted by environmental matching: that the environmental characteristics that define a current distribution should predict how a population will shift with environmental changes. To test this hypothesis, we transplanted four alpine and two subalpine plant species into environments with experimentally increased temperature, snow, and N. We predicted that species would perform best when environmental change matched their geographic distributional characteristics: increased temperature, snow, and N (two subalpine species), increased temperature (two dry meadow specialists), and increased snow (two snowbed specialists). Our results provided limited support for the environmental matching hypothesis. Snowbed specialists did not benefit from increased snow, dry meadow specialists' performance did not consistently differ among the treatments, and subalpine plants' survival was not affected by treatments while their growth response was variable among species. Our results suggest that global change effects will vary among species and distributional shifts are not easily predicted by species environmental preference.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/15230430.2024.2393443Distributional shiftclimate changeglobal changealpine plantssubalpine plants
spellingShingle Clifton P. Bueno de Mesquita
Sarah C. Elmendorf
Jane G. Smith
Katharine N. Suding
Shifting alpine plant distributions with global change: Testing the environmental matching hypothesis
Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research
Distributional shift
climate change
global change
alpine plants
subalpine plants
title Shifting alpine plant distributions with global change: Testing the environmental matching hypothesis
title_full Shifting alpine plant distributions with global change: Testing the environmental matching hypothesis
title_fullStr Shifting alpine plant distributions with global change: Testing the environmental matching hypothesis
title_full_unstemmed Shifting alpine plant distributions with global change: Testing the environmental matching hypothesis
title_short Shifting alpine plant distributions with global change: Testing the environmental matching hypothesis
title_sort shifting alpine plant distributions with global change testing the environmental matching hypothesis
topic Distributional shift
climate change
global change
alpine plants
subalpine plants
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/15230430.2024.2393443
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