Spatiotemporal pattern of water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) distribution in Lake Tana, Ethiopia, using a random forest machine learning model

Water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) is an invasive weed that covers a significant portion of Lake Tana. The infestation has an impact on the lake’s ecological and socioeconomic systems. Early detection of the spread of water hyacinth using geospatial techniques is crucial for its effective managem...

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Main Authors: Matiwos Belayhun, Zerihun Chere, Nigus Gebremedhn Abay, Yonas Nicola, Abay Asmamaw
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2024-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Environmental Science
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2024.1476014/full
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author Matiwos Belayhun
Zerihun Chere
Nigus Gebremedhn Abay
Yonas Nicola
Abay Asmamaw
author_facet Matiwos Belayhun
Zerihun Chere
Nigus Gebremedhn Abay
Yonas Nicola
Abay Asmamaw
author_sort Matiwos Belayhun
collection DOAJ
description Water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) is an invasive weed that covers a significant portion of Lake Tana. The infestation has an impact on the lake’s ecological and socioeconomic systems. Early detection of the spread of water hyacinth using geospatial techniques is crucial for its effective management and control. The main objective of this study was to examine the spatiotemporal distribution of water hyacinth from 2016 to 2022 using a random forest machine learning model. The study used 16 variables obtained from Sentinel-2A, Sentinel-1 SAR, and SRTM DEM, and a random forest supervised classification model was applied. Seven spectral indices, five spectral bands, two Sentinel-1 SAR bands, and two topographic variables were used in combination to model the spatial distribution of water hyacinth. The model was evaluated using the overall accuracy and kappa coefficient. The findings demonstrated that the overall accuracy ranged from 0.91 to 0.94 and kappa coefficient from 0.88 to 0.92 in the wet season and 0.93 to 0.95 and 0.90 to 0.93 in the dry season, respectively. B11 and B5 (2022), VH, soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), and normalized difference water index (NDWI) (2020), B5 and B12 (2018), and VH and slope (2016) are the highly important variables in the classification. The study found that the spatial coverage of water hyacinth was 686.5 and 650.4 ha (2016), 1,851 and 1,259 ha (2018), 1,396.7 and 1,305.7 ha (2020), and 1,436.5 and 1,216.5 ha (2022) in the wet and dry seasons, respectively. The research findings indicate that variables derived from optical (Sentinel-2A and SRTM) and non-optical (Sentinel-1 SAR) satellite imagery effectively identify water hyacinth and display its spatiotemporal spread using the random forest machine learning algorithm.
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publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
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spelling doaj-art-e6f8c61ff61e45a3acc07f4d164d88222024-11-14T06:21:17ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Environmental Science2296-665X2024-11-011210.3389/fenvs.2024.14760141476014Spatiotemporal pattern of water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) distribution in Lake Tana, Ethiopia, using a random forest machine learning modelMatiwos Belayhun0Zerihun Chere1Nigus Gebremedhn Abay2Yonas Nicola3Abay Asmamaw4Dire Dawa University, Dire Dawa, EthiopiaDire Dawa University, Dire Dawa, EthiopiaDire Dawa University, Dire Dawa, EthiopiaEthiopian Space Science and Technology Institute (ESSTI), Addis Ababa, Addis Ababa, EthiopiaAddis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Addis Ababa, EthiopiaWater hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) is an invasive weed that covers a significant portion of Lake Tana. The infestation has an impact on the lake’s ecological and socioeconomic systems. Early detection of the spread of water hyacinth using geospatial techniques is crucial for its effective management and control. The main objective of this study was to examine the spatiotemporal distribution of water hyacinth from 2016 to 2022 using a random forest machine learning model. The study used 16 variables obtained from Sentinel-2A, Sentinel-1 SAR, and SRTM DEM, and a random forest supervised classification model was applied. Seven spectral indices, five spectral bands, two Sentinel-1 SAR bands, and two topographic variables were used in combination to model the spatial distribution of water hyacinth. The model was evaluated using the overall accuracy and kappa coefficient. The findings demonstrated that the overall accuracy ranged from 0.91 to 0.94 and kappa coefficient from 0.88 to 0.92 in the wet season and 0.93 to 0.95 and 0.90 to 0.93 in the dry season, respectively. B11 and B5 (2022), VH, soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), and normalized difference water index (NDWI) (2020), B5 and B12 (2018), and VH and slope (2016) are the highly important variables in the classification. The study found that the spatial coverage of water hyacinth was 686.5 and 650.4 ha (2016), 1,851 and 1,259 ha (2018), 1,396.7 and 1,305.7 ha (2020), and 1,436.5 and 1,216.5 ha (2022) in the wet and dry seasons, respectively. The research findings indicate that variables derived from optical (Sentinel-2A and SRTM) and non-optical (Sentinel-1 SAR) satellite imagery effectively identify water hyacinth and display its spatiotemporal spread using the random forest machine learning algorithm.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2024.1476014/fullaquatic invasive plantLake Tanamachine learning modelremote sensing indicesSentinel imagewater hyacinth
spellingShingle Matiwos Belayhun
Zerihun Chere
Nigus Gebremedhn Abay
Yonas Nicola
Abay Asmamaw
Spatiotemporal pattern of water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) distribution in Lake Tana, Ethiopia, using a random forest machine learning model
Frontiers in Environmental Science
aquatic invasive plant
Lake Tana
machine learning model
remote sensing indices
Sentinel image
water hyacinth
title Spatiotemporal pattern of water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) distribution in Lake Tana, Ethiopia, using a random forest machine learning model
title_full Spatiotemporal pattern of water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) distribution in Lake Tana, Ethiopia, using a random forest machine learning model
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal pattern of water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) distribution in Lake Tana, Ethiopia, using a random forest machine learning model
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal pattern of water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) distribution in Lake Tana, Ethiopia, using a random forest machine learning model
title_short Spatiotemporal pattern of water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes) distribution in Lake Tana, Ethiopia, using a random forest machine learning model
title_sort spatiotemporal pattern of water hyacinth pontederia crassipes distribution in lake tana ethiopia using a random forest machine learning model
topic aquatic invasive plant
Lake Tana
machine learning model
remote sensing indices
Sentinel image
water hyacinth
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2024.1476014/full
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AT yonasnicola spatiotemporalpatternofwaterhyacinthpontederiacrassipesdistributioninlaketanaethiopiausingarandomforestmachinelearningmodel
AT abayasmamaw spatiotemporalpatternofwaterhyacinthpontederiacrassipesdistributioninlaketanaethiopiausingarandomforestmachinelearningmodel