Research on berth occupancy prediction model based on attention mechanism

To solve the problem that the berth occupancy prediction accuracy decreases while the prediction step was increasing, a berth occupancy prediction model based on an attention mechanism was proposed, which was the multivariate time pattern information obtained by convolutional neural networks (CNN).T...

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Main Authors: Zhurong WANG, Wei XUE, Yabang NIU, Ying’an CUI, Qindong SUN, Xinhong HEI
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Department of Journal on Communications 2020-12-01
Series:Tongxin xuebao
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Online Access:http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436X.2020241/
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author Zhurong WANG
Wei XUE
Yabang NIU
Ying’an CUI
Qindong SUN
Xinhong HEI
author_facet Zhurong WANG
Wei XUE
Yabang NIU
Ying’an CUI
Qindong SUN
Xinhong HEI
author_sort Zhurong WANG
collection DOAJ
description To solve the problem that the berth occupancy prediction accuracy decreases while the prediction step was increasing, a berth occupancy prediction model based on an attention mechanism was proposed, which was the multivariate time pattern information obtained by convolutional neural networks (CNN).The characteristic information was learned by the model training, and the sequence with higher correlation was assigned a larger learning weight, so that the highly correlated features output from the decoder could be used to predict the target sequence.Data sets of multiple parking lot were adopted to test the model.The test results show that the proposed model can estimate the real value well when the step length of berth occupancy prediction reaches 36.The prediction accuracy and stability of the model are improved compared with long short-term memory (LSTM) model.
format Article
id doaj-art-e03597255b0f4a18950742261b0acab0
institution Kabale University
issn 1000-436X
language zho
publishDate 2020-12-01
publisher Editorial Department of Journal on Communications
record_format Article
series Tongxin xuebao
spelling doaj-art-e03597255b0f4a18950742261b0acab02025-01-14T07:21:23ZzhoEditorial Department of Journal on CommunicationsTongxin xuebao1000-436X2020-12-014118219259739387Research on berth occupancy prediction model based on attention mechanismZhurong WANGWei XUEYabang NIUYing’an CUIQindong SUNXinhong HEITo solve the problem that the berth occupancy prediction accuracy decreases while the prediction step was increasing, a berth occupancy prediction model based on an attention mechanism was proposed, which was the multivariate time pattern information obtained by convolutional neural networks (CNN).The characteristic information was learned by the model training, and the sequence with higher correlation was assigned a larger learning weight, so that the highly correlated features output from the decoder could be used to predict the target sequence.Data sets of multiple parking lot were adopted to test the model.The test results show that the proposed model can estimate the real value well when the step length of berth occupancy prediction reaches 36.The prediction accuracy and stability of the model are improved compared with long short-term memory (LSTM) model.http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436X.2020241/time series predictionberth occupancy predictionattention mechanismsequence-to-sequence model
spellingShingle Zhurong WANG
Wei XUE
Yabang NIU
Ying’an CUI
Qindong SUN
Xinhong HEI
Research on berth occupancy prediction model based on attention mechanism
Tongxin xuebao
time series prediction
berth occupancy prediction
attention mechanism
sequence-to-sequence model
title Research on berth occupancy prediction model based on attention mechanism
title_full Research on berth occupancy prediction model based on attention mechanism
title_fullStr Research on berth occupancy prediction model based on attention mechanism
title_full_unstemmed Research on berth occupancy prediction model based on attention mechanism
title_short Research on berth occupancy prediction model based on attention mechanism
title_sort research on berth occupancy prediction model based on attention mechanism
topic time series prediction
berth occupancy prediction
attention mechanism
sequence-to-sequence model
url http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436X.2020241/
work_keys_str_mv AT zhurongwang researchonberthoccupancypredictionmodelbasedonattentionmechanism
AT weixue researchonberthoccupancypredictionmodelbasedonattentionmechanism
AT yabangniu researchonberthoccupancypredictionmodelbasedonattentionmechanism
AT yingancui researchonberthoccupancypredictionmodelbasedonattentionmechanism
AT qindongsun researchonberthoccupancypredictionmodelbasedonattentionmechanism
AT xinhonghei researchonberthoccupancypredictionmodelbasedonattentionmechanism