SELECTED PROBLEMS OF RISK EVALUATION OF CHANGE IN CERTIFIED CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATIONS

This article presents some of the generalised results of this research conducted in the form of a diagnostic survey among Safety Managers and a review of safety risk management procedures, including the rules of change risk evaluation, applied in selected civil aviation organisations subject to the...

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Main Authors: Telesfor Marek MARKIEWICZ, Piotr MAKOWSKI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Silesian University of Technology 2022-03-01
Series:Scientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport
Subjects:
Online Access:http://sjsutst.polsl.pl/archives/2022/vol114/079_SJSUTST114_2022_Markiewicz_Makowski.pdf
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author Telesfor Marek MARKIEWICZ
Piotr MAKOWSKI
author_facet Telesfor Marek MARKIEWICZ
Piotr MAKOWSKI
author_sort Telesfor Marek MARKIEWICZ
collection DOAJ
description This article presents some of the generalised results of this research conducted in the form of a diagnostic survey among Safety Managers and a review of safety risk management procedures, including the rules of change risk evaluation, applied in selected civil aviation organisations subject to the survey. This publication aimed to put them under the discussion of experts interested in the issues. Important problems resulting from the necessity to meet general guidelines standardising processes of risk management, formulated in international law regulations [2], as well as in advisory materials of the International Civil Aviation Organisation [6-8], and others [3, 4], including national ones [11], in confrontation with the need for their practical application, were described. Concerning the general rule of risk evaluation described there, inconsistencies in interpretation of the scale of probability and frequency indices and their influence on the evaluation context were pointed out. A model, considering the time aspect in Event Tree Analysis - ETA procedures based on [5, 9], was proposed. Perceived threats to the results of change risk evaluation caused by applying the "the worst foreseeable situation" principle were described. A different approach in the evaluation of change risk based on a comprehensive assessment of the impact of all identified risks on the defined effect was also proposed. Proposals were made to eliminate the disadvantage resulting from the definition of the probability index value – "extremely improbate".
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spelling doaj-art-df080b72a2b24b07962769b6da32c1ba2025-01-02T01:09:16ZengSilesian University of TechnologyScientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport0209-33242450-15492022-03-01114798910.20858/sjsutst.2022.114.7SELECTED PROBLEMS OF RISK EVALUATION OF CHANGE IN CERTIFIED CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATIONSTelesfor Marek MARKIEWICZPiotr MAKOWSKIThis article presents some of the generalised results of this research conducted in the form of a diagnostic survey among Safety Managers and a review of safety risk management procedures, including the rules of change risk evaluation, applied in selected civil aviation organisations subject to the survey. This publication aimed to put them under the discussion of experts interested in the issues. Important problems resulting from the necessity to meet general guidelines standardising processes of risk management, formulated in international law regulations [2], as well as in advisory materials of the International Civil Aviation Organisation [6-8], and others [3, 4], including national ones [11], in confrontation with the need for their practical application, were described. Concerning the general rule of risk evaluation described there, inconsistencies in interpretation of the scale of probability and frequency indices and their influence on the evaluation context were pointed out. A model, considering the time aspect in Event Tree Analysis - ETA procedures based on [5, 9], was proposed. Perceived threats to the results of change risk evaluation caused by applying the "the worst foreseeable situation" principle were described. A different approach in the evaluation of change risk based on a comprehensive assessment of the impact of all identified risks on the defined effect was also proposed. Proposals were made to eliminate the disadvantage resulting from the definition of the probability index value – "extremely improbate".http://sjsutst.polsl.pl/archives/2022/vol114/079_SJSUTST114_2022_Markiewicz_Makowski.pdfsafety riskrisk of changeaviation safety management system
spellingShingle Telesfor Marek MARKIEWICZ
Piotr MAKOWSKI
SELECTED PROBLEMS OF RISK EVALUATION OF CHANGE IN CERTIFIED CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATIONS
Scientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport
safety risk
risk of change
aviation safety management system
title SELECTED PROBLEMS OF RISK EVALUATION OF CHANGE IN CERTIFIED CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATIONS
title_full SELECTED PROBLEMS OF RISK EVALUATION OF CHANGE IN CERTIFIED CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATIONS
title_fullStr SELECTED PROBLEMS OF RISK EVALUATION OF CHANGE IN CERTIFIED CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATIONS
title_full_unstemmed SELECTED PROBLEMS OF RISK EVALUATION OF CHANGE IN CERTIFIED CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATIONS
title_short SELECTED PROBLEMS OF RISK EVALUATION OF CHANGE IN CERTIFIED CIVIL AVIATION ORGANISATIONS
title_sort selected problems of risk evaluation of change in certified civil aviation organisations
topic safety risk
risk of change
aviation safety management system
url http://sjsutst.polsl.pl/archives/2022/vol114/079_SJSUTST114_2022_Markiewicz_Makowski.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT telesformarekmarkiewicz selectedproblemsofriskevaluationofchangeincertifiedcivilaviationorganisations
AT piotrmakowski selectedproblemsofriskevaluationofchangeincertifiedcivilaviationorganisations