Prediction of Corpse Model Drifting Trajectories in Pearl River Front Channel Based on Delft3D Model

To predict the drifting trajectories of bodies in the Pearl River Front Channel and assist local water police in locating the specific positions of drowning victims, this study uses Delft3D to construct a hydrodynamic model of the Pearl River Front Channel and conducts multiple on-site drifting test...

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Main Authors: CHENG Xiangju, CHEN Zehai, LI Bin, LI Xu, BI Jinjin, WANG Longwei
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2024-05-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.05.008
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author CHENG Xiangju
CHEN Zehai
LI Bin
LI Xu
BI Jinjin
WANG Longwei
author_facet CHENG Xiangju
CHEN Zehai
LI Bin
LI Xu
BI Jinjin
WANG Longwei
author_sort CHENG Xiangju
collection DOAJ
description To predict the drifting trajectories of bodies in the Pearl River Front Channel and assist local water police in locating the specific positions of drowning victims, this study uses Delft3D to construct a hydrodynamic model of the Pearl River Front Channel and conducts multiple on-site drifting tests using a corpse model. By fitting the surface flow velocity of the Pearl River Front Channel, the paper builds a prediction model for corpse model drifting with an <italic>R</italic><sup>2</sup> of 0.88. The results show that the corpse model released in the Pearl River Front Channel undergoes back-and-forth motion along the river channel under the influence of tides and flows, gradually drifting downstream. In the drifting model validation, the drifting speed and direction of the corpse model are generally consistent with the tidal current, and the error in simulation results is within 1 km, with a final distance error rate of less than 15%. In a case study, the simulated results for an adult female corpse have an error of approximately 300 m. External forces such as wave force caused by boats result in a north-south directional deviation in the drifting trajectory, indicating the need to further improve the simulation effect. The derivation mode of the model is also applicable to other tidal rivers, making it possible to measure the drifting trajectories of bodies and providing convenience and reference for body recovery work and police case processing.
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series Renmin Zhujiang
spelling doaj-art-ded3709daa23426da685c2869a90498e2025-01-15T03:00:55ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352024-05-0145657459362597Prediction of Corpse Model Drifting Trajectories in Pearl River Front Channel Based on Delft3D ModelCHENG XiangjuCHEN ZehaiLI BinLI XuBI JinjinWANG LongweiTo predict the drifting trajectories of bodies in the Pearl River Front Channel and assist local water police in locating the specific positions of drowning victims, this study uses Delft3D to construct a hydrodynamic model of the Pearl River Front Channel and conducts multiple on-site drifting tests using a corpse model. By fitting the surface flow velocity of the Pearl River Front Channel, the paper builds a prediction model for corpse model drifting with an <italic>R</italic><sup>2</sup> of 0.88. The results show that the corpse model released in the Pearl River Front Channel undergoes back-and-forth motion along the river channel under the influence of tides and flows, gradually drifting downstream. In the drifting model validation, the drifting speed and direction of the corpse model are generally consistent with the tidal current, and the error in simulation results is within 1 km, with a final distance error rate of less than 15%. In a case study, the simulated results for an adult female corpse have an error of approximately 300 m. External forces such as wave force caused by boats result in a north-south directional deviation in the drifting trajectory, indicating the need to further improve the simulation effect. The derivation mode of the model is also applicable to other tidal rivers, making it possible to measure the drifting trajectories of bodies and providing convenience and reference for body recovery work and police case processing.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.05.008Delft3Dtidal reachdrifting trajectoryprediction modelfitting
spellingShingle CHENG Xiangju
CHEN Zehai
LI Bin
LI Xu
BI Jinjin
WANG Longwei
Prediction of Corpse Model Drifting Trajectories in Pearl River Front Channel Based on Delft3D Model
Renmin Zhujiang
Delft3D
tidal reach
drifting trajectory
prediction model
fitting
title Prediction of Corpse Model Drifting Trajectories in Pearl River Front Channel Based on Delft3D Model
title_full Prediction of Corpse Model Drifting Trajectories in Pearl River Front Channel Based on Delft3D Model
title_fullStr Prediction of Corpse Model Drifting Trajectories in Pearl River Front Channel Based on Delft3D Model
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Corpse Model Drifting Trajectories in Pearl River Front Channel Based on Delft3D Model
title_short Prediction of Corpse Model Drifting Trajectories in Pearl River Front Channel Based on Delft3D Model
title_sort prediction of corpse model drifting trajectories in pearl river front channel based on delft3d model
topic Delft3D
tidal reach
drifting trajectory
prediction model
fitting
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.05.008
work_keys_str_mv AT chengxiangju predictionofcorpsemodeldriftingtrajectoriesinpearlriverfrontchannelbasedondelft3dmodel
AT chenzehai predictionofcorpsemodeldriftingtrajectoriesinpearlriverfrontchannelbasedondelft3dmodel
AT libin predictionofcorpsemodeldriftingtrajectoriesinpearlriverfrontchannelbasedondelft3dmodel
AT lixu predictionofcorpsemodeldriftingtrajectoriesinpearlriverfrontchannelbasedondelft3dmodel
AT bijinjin predictionofcorpsemodeldriftingtrajectoriesinpearlriverfrontchannelbasedondelft3dmodel
AT wanglongwei predictionofcorpsemodeldriftingtrajectoriesinpearlriverfrontchannelbasedondelft3dmodel