STUDY OF INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT ROUTING OPTIONS UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN NAVIGATIONAL RESTRICTIONS
Given the uncertainty of the navigating conditions on the Danube River, the hydrological situation on the Bulgarian leg of the river is predicted using ARIMA methods. The forecast is based on statistical daily hydrological data for a period of five years. A mathematical routing model is developed un...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Silesian University of Technology
2023-09-01
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| Series: | Transport Problems |
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| Online Access: | http://transportproblems.polsl.pl/pl/Archiwum/2023/zeszyt3/2023t18z3_08.pdf |
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| author | Velizara PENCHEVA Asen ASENOV Ivan GEORGIEV Boril IVANOV Ivelin ZANEV |
| author_facet | Velizara PENCHEVA Asen ASENOV Ivan GEORGIEV Boril IVANOV Ivelin ZANEV |
| author_sort | Velizara PENCHEVA |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Given the uncertainty of the navigating conditions on the Danube River, the hydrological situation on the Bulgarian leg of the river is predicted using ARIMA methods. The forecast is based on statistical daily hydrological data for a period of five years. A mathematical routing model is developed under the condition that it is not possible for a self-propelled vessel to continue its voyage due to draft limitation. Options including waiting for navigation opening, partial lightening on a barge, and a complete or partial modal shift to rail or road transport through an alternative port are considered. An acceptable option is determined, taking into account the additional costs and transit time. A routing simulation is made using SPSS software. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-dcec9e4519934c47a13d95c4dd29d2e9 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1896-0596 2300-861X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2023-09-01 |
| publisher | Silesian University of Technology |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Transport Problems |
| spelling | doaj-art-dcec9e4519934c47a13d95c4dd29d2e92025-01-16T15:16:41ZengSilesian University of TechnologyTransport Problems1896-05962300-861X2023-09-01183899910.20858/tp.2023.18.3.08STUDY OF INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT ROUTING OPTIONS UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN NAVIGATIONAL RESTRICTIONSVelizara PENCHEVA0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9809-4759Asen ASENOV1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9770-0403Ivan GEORGIEV2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6275-6557Boril IVANOV3https://orcid.org/0009-0000-5513-5074Ivelin ZANEV4https://orcid.org/0009-0007-9552-1739University of Ruse, Department of TransportUniversity of Ruse, Department of TransportInstitute of Mathematics and Informatics, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Department of Information ModelingUniversity of Ruse, Department of TransportUniversity of Ruse, Department of TransportGiven the uncertainty of the navigating conditions on the Danube River, the hydrological situation on the Bulgarian leg of the river is predicted using ARIMA methods. The forecast is based on statistical daily hydrological data for a period of five years. A mathematical routing model is developed under the condition that it is not possible for a self-propelled vessel to continue its voyage due to draft limitation. Options including waiting for navigation opening, partial lightening on a barge, and a complete or partial modal shift to rail or road transport through an alternative port are considered. An acceptable option is determined, taking into account the additional costs and transit time. A routing simulation is made using SPSS software.http://transportproblems.polsl.pl/pl/Archiwum/2023/zeszyt3/2023t18z3_08.pdfnavigating conditionsinland waterwaysarima methoddanube cargo transportationmultimodal transport routing |
| spellingShingle | Velizara PENCHEVA Asen ASENOV Ivan GEORGIEV Boril IVANOV Ivelin ZANEV STUDY OF INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT ROUTING OPTIONS UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN NAVIGATIONAL RESTRICTIONS Transport Problems navigating conditions inland waterways arima method danube cargo transportation multimodal transport routing |
| title | STUDY OF INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT ROUTING OPTIONS UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN NAVIGATIONAL RESTRICTIONS |
| title_full | STUDY OF INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT ROUTING OPTIONS UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN NAVIGATIONAL RESTRICTIONS |
| title_fullStr | STUDY OF INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT ROUTING OPTIONS UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN NAVIGATIONAL RESTRICTIONS |
| title_full_unstemmed | STUDY OF INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT ROUTING OPTIONS UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN NAVIGATIONAL RESTRICTIONS |
| title_short | STUDY OF INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT ROUTING OPTIONS UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN NAVIGATIONAL RESTRICTIONS |
| title_sort | study of inland waterway transport routing options under conditions of uncertainty in navigational restrictions |
| topic | navigating conditions inland waterways arima method danube cargo transportation multimodal transport routing |
| url | http://transportproblems.polsl.pl/pl/Archiwum/2023/zeszyt3/2023t18z3_08.pdf |
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