Prediction of white matter hyperintensities evolution one-year post-stroke from a single-point brain MRI and stroke lesions information

Abstract Predicting the evolution of white matter hyperintensities (WMH), a common feature in brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans of older adults (i.e., whether WMH will grow, remain stable, or shrink with time) is important for personalised therapeutic interventions. However, this task is...

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Main Authors: Muhammad Febrian Rachmadi, Maria del C. Valdés-Hernández, Stephen Makin, Joanna Wardlaw, Henrik Skibbe
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83128-6
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author Muhammad Febrian Rachmadi
Maria del C. Valdés-Hernández
Stephen Makin
Joanna Wardlaw
Henrik Skibbe
author_facet Muhammad Febrian Rachmadi
Maria del C. Valdés-Hernández
Stephen Makin
Joanna Wardlaw
Henrik Skibbe
author_sort Muhammad Febrian Rachmadi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Predicting the evolution of white matter hyperintensities (WMH), a common feature in brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans of older adults (i.e., whether WMH will grow, remain stable, or shrink with time) is important for personalised therapeutic interventions. However, this task is difficult mainly due to the myriad of vascular risk factors and comorbidities that influence it, and the low specificity and sensitivity of the image intensities and textures alone for predicting WMH evolution. Given the predominantly vascular nature of WMH, in this study, we evaluate the impact of incorporating stroke lesion information to a probabilistic deep learning model to predict the evolution of WMH 1-year after the baseline image acquisition, taken soon after a mild stroke event, using T2-FLAIR brain MRI. The Probabilistic U-Net was chosen for this study due to its capability of simulating and quantifying the uncertainties involved in the prediction of WMH evolution. We propose to use an additional loss called volume loss to train our model, and incorporate stroke lesions information, an influential factor in WMH evolution. Our experiments showed that jointly segmenting the disease evolution map (DEM) of WMH and stroke lesions, improved the accuracy of the DEM representing WMH evolution. The combination of introducing the volume loss and joint segmentation of DEM of WMH and stroke lesions outperformed other model configurations with mean volumetric absolute error of 0.0092 ml (down from 1.7739 ml) and 0.47% improvement on average Dice similarity coefficient in shrinking, growing and stable WMH.
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spelling doaj-art-dbbbde2ef17a462c81ffb1e600ac32532025-01-12T12:19:31ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-01-0115111610.1038/s41598-024-83128-6Prediction of white matter hyperintensities evolution one-year post-stroke from a single-point brain MRI and stroke lesions informationMuhammad Febrian Rachmadi0Maria del C. Valdés-Hernández1Stephen Makin2Joanna Wardlaw3Henrik Skibbe4RIKEN Center for Brain Science, Brain Image Analysis UnitCentre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of EdinburghCentre for Rural Health, University of AberdeenCentre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of EdinburghRIKEN Center for Brain Science, Brain Image Analysis UnitAbstract Predicting the evolution of white matter hyperintensities (WMH), a common feature in brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans of older adults (i.e., whether WMH will grow, remain stable, or shrink with time) is important for personalised therapeutic interventions. However, this task is difficult mainly due to the myriad of vascular risk factors and comorbidities that influence it, and the low specificity and sensitivity of the image intensities and textures alone for predicting WMH evolution. Given the predominantly vascular nature of WMH, in this study, we evaluate the impact of incorporating stroke lesion information to a probabilistic deep learning model to predict the evolution of WMH 1-year after the baseline image acquisition, taken soon after a mild stroke event, using T2-FLAIR brain MRI. The Probabilistic U-Net was chosen for this study due to its capability of simulating and quantifying the uncertainties involved in the prediction of WMH evolution. We propose to use an additional loss called volume loss to train our model, and incorporate stroke lesions information, an influential factor in WMH evolution. Our experiments showed that jointly segmenting the disease evolution map (DEM) of WMH and stroke lesions, improved the accuracy of the DEM representing WMH evolution. The combination of introducing the volume loss and joint segmentation of DEM of WMH and stroke lesions outperformed other model configurations with mean volumetric absolute error of 0.0092 ml (down from 1.7739 ml) and 0.47% improvement on average Dice similarity coefficient in shrinking, growing and stable WMH.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83128-6
spellingShingle Muhammad Febrian Rachmadi
Maria del C. Valdés-Hernández
Stephen Makin
Joanna Wardlaw
Henrik Skibbe
Prediction of white matter hyperintensities evolution one-year post-stroke from a single-point brain MRI and stroke lesions information
Scientific Reports
title Prediction of white matter hyperintensities evolution one-year post-stroke from a single-point brain MRI and stroke lesions information
title_full Prediction of white matter hyperintensities evolution one-year post-stroke from a single-point brain MRI and stroke lesions information
title_fullStr Prediction of white matter hyperintensities evolution one-year post-stroke from a single-point brain MRI and stroke lesions information
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of white matter hyperintensities evolution one-year post-stroke from a single-point brain MRI and stroke lesions information
title_short Prediction of white matter hyperintensities evolution one-year post-stroke from a single-point brain MRI and stroke lesions information
title_sort prediction of white matter hyperintensities evolution one year post stroke from a single point brain mri and stroke lesions information
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83128-6
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