Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score for Predicting Mortality among Older Korean Adults with Trauma: Is It Applicable in All Cases?

Background This study aimed to validate the Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score (GTOS) for predicting mortality associated with trauma in older Korean adults and compare the GTOS with the Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS). Methods This study included patients aged ≥65 years who visited the Chungbu...

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Main Authors: Jonghee Han, Su Young Yoon, Junepill Seok, Jin Young Lee, Jin Suk Lee, Jin Bong Ye, Younghoon Sul, Se Heon Kim, Hong Rye Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Korea Geriatrics Society 2024-12-01
Series:Annals of Geriatric Medicine and Research
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Online Access:http://www.e-agmr.org/upload/pdf/agmr-24-0095.pdf
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author Jonghee Han
Su Young Yoon
Junepill Seok
Jin Young Lee
Jin Suk Lee
Jin Bong Ye
Younghoon Sul
Se Heon Kim
Hong Rye Kim
author_facet Jonghee Han
Su Young Yoon
Junepill Seok
Jin Young Lee
Jin Suk Lee
Jin Bong Ye
Younghoon Sul
Se Heon Kim
Hong Rye Kim
author_sort Jonghee Han
collection DOAJ
description Background This study aimed to validate the Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score (GTOS) for predicting mortality associated with trauma in older Korean adults and compare the GTOS with the Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS). Methods This study included patients aged ≥65 years who visited the Chungbuk National University Hospital Regional Trauma Center between January 2016 and December 2022. We used receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration plots to assess the discrimination and calibration of the scoring systems. Results Among 3,053 patients, the median age was 77 years, and the mortality rate was 5.2%. The overall GTOS-predicted mortality and 1–TRISS were 5.4% (interquartile range [IQR], 3.7–9.5) and 4.7% (IQR, 4.7–4.7), respectively. The areas under the curves (AUCs) of 1–TRISS and GTOS for the total population were 0.763 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.719–0.806) and 0.794 (95% CI, 0.755–0.833), respectively. In the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) ≤12 group, the in-hospital mortality rate was 27.5% (79 deaths). The GTOS-predicted mortality and 1–TRISS in this group were 18.6% (IQR, 7.5–34.7) and 26.9% (IQR, 11.9–73.1), respectively. The AUCs of 1–TRISS and GTOS for the total population were 0.800 (95% CI, 0.776–0.854) and 0.744 (95% CI, 0.685–0.804), respectively. Conclusion The GTOS and TRISS demonstrated comparable accuracy in predicting mortality, while the GTOS offered the advantage of simpler calculations. However, the GTOS tended to underestimate mortality in patients with GCS ≤12; thus, its application requires care in such cases.
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spelling doaj-art-db902834019548f2b769a4d6926a96602025-01-06T08:12:12ZengKorea Geriatrics SocietyAnnals of Geriatric Medicine and Research2508-47982508-49092024-12-0128448449010.4235/agmr.24.00951159Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score for Predicting Mortality among Older Korean Adults with Trauma: Is It Applicable in All Cases?Jonghee Han0Su Young Yoon1Junepill Seok2Jin Young Lee3Jin Suk Lee4Jin Bong Ye5Younghoon Sul6Se Heon Kim7Hong Rye Kim8 Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Trauma Center, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheongju, Korea Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Trauma Center, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheongju, Korea Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Trauma Center, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheongju, Korea Department of Trauma Surgery, Trauma Center, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheongju, Korea Department of Trauma Surgery, Trauma Center, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheongju, Korea Department of Trauma Surgery, Trauma Center, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheongju, Korea Department of Trauma Surgery, Trauma Center, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheongju, Korea Department of Trauma Surgery, Trauma Center, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheongju, Korea Department of Neurosurgery, Trauma Center, Chungbuk National University Hospital, Cheongju, KoreaBackground This study aimed to validate the Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score (GTOS) for predicting mortality associated with trauma in older Korean adults and compare the GTOS with the Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS). Methods This study included patients aged ≥65 years who visited the Chungbuk National University Hospital Regional Trauma Center between January 2016 and December 2022. We used receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration plots to assess the discrimination and calibration of the scoring systems. Results Among 3,053 patients, the median age was 77 years, and the mortality rate was 5.2%. The overall GTOS-predicted mortality and 1–TRISS were 5.4% (interquartile range [IQR], 3.7–9.5) and 4.7% (IQR, 4.7–4.7), respectively. The areas under the curves (AUCs) of 1–TRISS and GTOS for the total population were 0.763 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.719–0.806) and 0.794 (95% CI, 0.755–0.833), respectively. In the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) ≤12 group, the in-hospital mortality rate was 27.5% (79 deaths). The GTOS-predicted mortality and 1–TRISS in this group were 18.6% (IQR, 7.5–34.7) and 26.9% (IQR, 11.9–73.1), respectively. The AUCs of 1–TRISS and GTOS for the total population were 0.800 (95% CI, 0.776–0.854) and 0.744 (95% CI, 0.685–0.804), respectively. Conclusion The GTOS and TRISS demonstrated comparable accuracy in predicting mortality, while the GTOS offered the advantage of simpler calculations. However, the GTOS tended to underestimate mortality in patients with GCS ≤12; thus, its application requires care in such cases.http://www.e-agmr.org/upload/pdf/agmr-24-0095.pdftraumatrauma severity indicesolder adults
spellingShingle Jonghee Han
Su Young Yoon
Junepill Seok
Jin Young Lee
Jin Suk Lee
Jin Bong Ye
Younghoon Sul
Se Heon Kim
Hong Rye Kim
Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score for Predicting Mortality among Older Korean Adults with Trauma: Is It Applicable in All Cases?
Annals of Geriatric Medicine and Research
trauma
trauma severity indices
older adults
title Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score for Predicting Mortality among Older Korean Adults with Trauma: Is It Applicable in All Cases?
title_full Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score for Predicting Mortality among Older Korean Adults with Trauma: Is It Applicable in All Cases?
title_fullStr Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score for Predicting Mortality among Older Korean Adults with Trauma: Is It Applicable in All Cases?
title_full_unstemmed Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score for Predicting Mortality among Older Korean Adults with Trauma: Is It Applicable in All Cases?
title_short Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score for Predicting Mortality among Older Korean Adults with Trauma: Is It Applicable in All Cases?
title_sort geriatric trauma outcome score for predicting mortality among older korean adults with trauma is it applicable in all cases
topic trauma
trauma severity indices
older adults
url http://www.e-agmr.org/upload/pdf/agmr-24-0095.pdf
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