HAP-COVID: Hybrid Model Integrating Machine Learning and Neutrosophic Statistics to Estimate Mortality Risk in COVID-19 Comorbid Patients

This study aims to utilize a hybrid predictive model to evaluate the mortality risk in COVID-19 patients with comorbidities. It is challenging to make clinical decisions while dealing with SARS-CoV-2 because of the high death rate related to chronic conditions such as diabetes, hypertension, chronic...

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Main Authors: Daniel Iturburu-Salvador, Lorenzo Cevallos-Torres, Rosangela Caicedo-Quiroz, Irma Naranjo-Peña, Rosa Hernández-Magallanes, Rosa Gonzáles-Quiñones
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of New Mexico 2025-07-01
Series:Neutrosophic Sets and Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://fs.unm.edu/NSS/43.HAPCOVIDHybrid.pdf
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author Daniel Iturburu-Salvador
Lorenzo Cevallos-Torres
Rosangela Caicedo-Quiroz
Irma Naranjo-Peña
Rosa Hernández-Magallanes
Rosa Gonzáles-Quiñones
author_facet Daniel Iturburu-Salvador
Lorenzo Cevallos-Torres
Rosangela Caicedo-Quiroz
Irma Naranjo-Peña
Rosa Hernández-Magallanes
Rosa Gonzáles-Quiñones
author_sort Daniel Iturburu-Salvador
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to utilize a hybrid predictive model to evaluate the mortality risk in COVID-19 patients with comorbidities. It is challenging to make clinical decisions while dealing with SARS-CoV-2 because of the high death rate related to chronic conditions such as diabetes, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), renal failure, heart disease, and cancer. To overcome this obstacle, a Monte Carlo algorithmbased simulated database was created, with clinical variables represented by Bernoulli and truncated normal distributions. Several prediction models, including Decision Trees, Naive Bayes, and Neutrosophic Statistics, were trained using this database. While the neutrosophic model permitted risk categorization according to truth, falsity, and indeterminacy, the decision tree model outperformed the Naive Bayes model in terms of accuracy. When it came to controlling diagnostic uncertainty, the hybrid approach worked well. Ultimately, this technology provides significant assistance in intricate clinical settings, enhancing the process of medical decision-making.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2331-6055
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language English
publishDate 2025-07-01
publisher University of New Mexico
record_format Article
series Neutrosophic Sets and Systems
spelling doaj-art-d630d68f9bcf4246b1bf39f4645f746d2025-08-20T03:43:55ZengUniversity of New MexicoNeutrosophic Sets and Systems2331-60552331-608X2025-07-018958960310.5281/zenodo.16748496HAP-COVID: Hybrid Model Integrating Machine Learning and Neutrosophic Statistics to Estimate Mortality Risk in COVID-19 Comorbid PatientsDaniel Iturburu-SalvadorLorenzo Cevallos-TorresRosangela Caicedo-QuirozIrma Naranjo-PeñaRosa Hernández-MagallanesRosa Gonzáles-QuiñonesThis study aims to utilize a hybrid predictive model to evaluate the mortality risk in COVID-19 patients with comorbidities. It is challenging to make clinical decisions while dealing with SARS-CoV-2 because of the high death rate related to chronic conditions such as diabetes, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), renal failure, heart disease, and cancer. To overcome this obstacle, a Monte Carlo algorithmbased simulated database was created, with clinical variables represented by Bernoulli and truncated normal distributions. Several prediction models, including Decision Trees, Naive Bayes, and Neutrosophic Statistics, were trained using this database. While the neutrosophic model permitted risk categorization according to truth, falsity, and indeterminacy, the decision tree model outperformed the Naive Bayes model in terms of accuracy. When it came to controlling diagnostic uncertainty, the hybrid approach worked well. Ultimately, this technology provides significant assistance in intricate clinical settings, enhancing the process of medical decision-making.https://fs.unm.edu/NSS/43.HAPCOVIDHybrid.pdfcovid-19chronic diseasesmachine learningneutrosophic statisticshybrid predictive modelmonte carlo algorithm.
spellingShingle Daniel Iturburu-Salvador
Lorenzo Cevallos-Torres
Rosangela Caicedo-Quiroz
Irma Naranjo-Peña
Rosa Hernández-Magallanes
Rosa Gonzáles-Quiñones
HAP-COVID: Hybrid Model Integrating Machine Learning and Neutrosophic Statistics to Estimate Mortality Risk in COVID-19 Comorbid Patients
Neutrosophic Sets and Systems
covid-19
chronic diseases
machine learning
neutrosophic statistics
hybrid predictive model
monte carlo algorithm.
title HAP-COVID: Hybrid Model Integrating Machine Learning and Neutrosophic Statistics to Estimate Mortality Risk in COVID-19 Comorbid Patients
title_full HAP-COVID: Hybrid Model Integrating Machine Learning and Neutrosophic Statistics to Estimate Mortality Risk in COVID-19 Comorbid Patients
title_fullStr HAP-COVID: Hybrid Model Integrating Machine Learning and Neutrosophic Statistics to Estimate Mortality Risk in COVID-19 Comorbid Patients
title_full_unstemmed HAP-COVID: Hybrid Model Integrating Machine Learning and Neutrosophic Statistics to Estimate Mortality Risk in COVID-19 Comorbid Patients
title_short HAP-COVID: Hybrid Model Integrating Machine Learning and Neutrosophic Statistics to Estimate Mortality Risk in COVID-19 Comorbid Patients
title_sort hap covid hybrid model integrating machine learning and neutrosophic statistics to estimate mortality risk in covid 19 comorbid patients
topic covid-19
chronic diseases
machine learning
neutrosophic statistics
hybrid predictive model
monte carlo algorithm.
url https://fs.unm.edu/NSS/43.HAPCOVIDHybrid.pdf
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