Electricity Theft Detection Using Rule-Based Machine Leaning (rML) Approach

Since electricity theft affects non-technical losses (NTLs) in power distribution systems, power companies are genuinely quite concerned about it. Power companies can use the information gathered by Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) to create data-driven, machine learning-based approaches for E...

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Main Authors: Sheyda Bahrami, Erol Yumuk, Alper Kerem, Beytullah Topçu, Ahmetcan Kaya
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Gazi University 2024-06-01
Series:Gazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi
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Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/gujsc/issue/85642/1443371
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author Sheyda Bahrami
Erol Yumuk
Alper Kerem
Beytullah Topçu
Ahmetcan Kaya
author_facet Sheyda Bahrami
Erol Yumuk
Alper Kerem
Beytullah Topçu
Ahmetcan Kaya
author_sort Sheyda Bahrami
collection DOAJ
description Since electricity theft affects non-technical losses (NTLs) in power distribution systems, power companies are genuinely quite concerned about it. Power companies can use the information gathered by Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) to create data-driven, machine learning-based approaches for Electricity Theft Detection (ETD) in order to solve this problem. The majority of data-driven methods for detecting power theft do take usage trends into account while doing their analyses. Even though consumption-based models have been applied extensively to the detection of power theft, it can be difficult to reliably identify theft instances based only on patterns of usage. In this paper, a novel rule-based combined machine learning (rML) technique is developed for power theft detection to address the drawbacks of systems that rely just on consumption patterns. This approach makes use of the load profiles of energy users to establish rules, identify the rule or rules that apply to certain situations, and classify the cases as either legitimate or fraudulent. The UEDAS smart business power consumption dataset's real-world data is used to assess the performance of the suggested technique. Our technique is an innovation in theft detection that combines years of intensive theft tracking with the use of rule-based systems as feature spaces for traditional machine learning models. With an astounding 93% recall rate for the rule-based feature space combination of the random forest classifier, this novel approach has produced outstanding results. The acquired results show a noteworthy accomplishment in the field of fraud detection, successfully detecting fraudulent consumers 77% of the time during on-site examination.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2147-9526
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publishDate 2024-06-01
publisher Gazi University
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series Gazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi
spelling doaj-art-cadbffc0fb814c07b28eac14a6d069172025-08-20T03:49:36ZengGazi UniversityGazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi2147-95262024-06-0112243845610.29109/gujsc.1443371 Electricity Theft Detection Using Rule-Based Machine Leaning (rML) ApproachSheyda Bahrami0https://orcid.org/0009-0009-8769-3738Erol Yumuk1https://orcid.org/0009-0001-0937-6755Alper Kerem2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9131-2274Beytullah Topçu3https://orcid.org/0009-0001-6677-5349 Ahmetcan Kaya4https://orcid.org/0009-0005-1750-7830Nar System Technology Inc.Nar System Technology Inc.Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Mühendislik ve Mimarlık Fakültesi Elektrik Elektronik Mühendisliği BölümüNar System Technology Inc.Nar System Technology Inc.Since electricity theft affects non-technical losses (NTLs) in power distribution systems, power companies are genuinely quite concerned about it. Power companies can use the information gathered by Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) to create data-driven, machine learning-based approaches for Electricity Theft Detection (ETD) in order to solve this problem. The majority of data-driven methods for detecting power theft do take usage trends into account while doing their analyses. Even though consumption-based models have been applied extensively to the detection of power theft, it can be difficult to reliably identify theft instances based only on patterns of usage. In this paper, a novel rule-based combined machine learning (rML) technique is developed for power theft detection to address the drawbacks of systems that rely just on consumption patterns. This approach makes use of the load profiles of energy users to establish rules, identify the rule or rules that apply to certain situations, and classify the cases as either legitimate or fraudulent. The UEDAS smart business power consumption dataset's real-world data is used to assess the performance of the suggested technique. Our technique is an innovation in theft detection that combines years of intensive theft tracking with the use of rule-based systems as feature spaces for traditional machine learning models. With an astounding 93% recall rate for the rule-based feature space combination of the random forest classifier, this novel approach has produced outstanding results. The acquired results show a noteworthy accomplishment in the field of fraud detection, successfully detecting fraudulent consumers 77% of the time during on-site examination.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/gujsc/issue/85642/1443371electricity theft dedectionnon-technical lossesadvanced metering infrastructuremachine learning
spellingShingle Sheyda Bahrami
Erol Yumuk
Alper Kerem
Beytullah Topçu
Ahmetcan Kaya
Electricity Theft Detection Using Rule-Based Machine Leaning (rML) Approach
Gazi Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Dergisi
electricity theft dedection
non-technical losses
advanced metering infrastructure
machine learning
title Electricity Theft Detection Using Rule-Based Machine Leaning (rML) Approach
title_full Electricity Theft Detection Using Rule-Based Machine Leaning (rML) Approach
title_fullStr Electricity Theft Detection Using Rule-Based Machine Leaning (rML) Approach
title_full_unstemmed Electricity Theft Detection Using Rule-Based Machine Leaning (rML) Approach
title_short Electricity Theft Detection Using Rule-Based Machine Leaning (rML) Approach
title_sort electricity theft detection using rule based machine leaning rml approach
topic electricity theft dedection
non-technical losses
advanced metering infrastructure
machine learning
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/gujsc/issue/85642/1443371
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AT alperkerem electricitytheftdetectionusingrulebasedmachineleaningrmlapproach
AT beytullahtopcu electricitytheftdetectionusingrulebasedmachineleaningrmlapproach
AT ahmetcankaya electricitytheftdetectionusingrulebasedmachineleaningrmlapproach